#Recession #Economy #market
Lakshman Achuthan, Economic Cycle Research Institute Co-Founder, joins Yahoo Finance anchors Julie Hyman, Brian Sozzi to discuss the odds of a recession occurring, the causes of a potential downturn, and the outlook for the economy.
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Eventually everything will happen. Recessions, expansions, booms and busts….
No kidding.
ohhhhhhh how insightful…
The recession is happening from bad economic policy.
SQQQ
A double dip recession is a depression people that’s what we’re heading into a depression
wow is everyone lol afraid to say or mention that we’re In a recession lol it’s not our first rodeo. If we’re not in a recession than why is everything so high and why does inflation exist today!?! just come out and say we’re In a recession because most ppl know or think it anyways!!!!
with today’s CPI depression talk will be on the table very very soon. Leave the issue of recession, everybody knows we are in a recession. let’s brainstorm about the response to a probable depression
@Asif Alam Khan also, right now the labour market is tightest in history. a recession loosening in the labour market will add fuel long term for the economy.
@Marko S. In 1929, the same was the situation. there was so much complacency about the sky-high level of prosperity. ultimately the economy suffered 2 decades of depression. now, the situation is so much more alarming. all the macroeconomic indicators are getting depressing by the day. Fed will wind up 5T from 9T balance sheet and ultimately get into the previous 4T pre-pandemic level. I do not think Fed can go to 4T. I think the economy will already be in depression when Fed will move to 7T level with 2T QT. Then all artificial levels of rosy scenarios will evaporate. The economy was always under pressure from 2006 and every time stock market went down substantially Fed came into rescue with something really artificial. This time you are seeing that market went down 19% but Fed has nothing to do rather it will need to tighten far more as inflation is 41 year high. So, nobody is coming to resue the economy or stock market from entering a depression. But, I do not think a 25 year long depression will happen, this time the span may be shorter than 1929 event.
@Asif Alam Khan Ok cool, you can take that chance and sit in cash for the next 20 years. I’ll keep on investing and we’ll see who was right. If you cannot control your emotions (primarily fear and greed), then you should not be investing anyway.
@Marko S. I shorted S&P Futures and already earned big time, almost 500% return on my capital. I always stay in the market no matter what
Many do not like to scream aloud about a “Recession It’s mainly here in our USA.. but will be a global Depression if anything else, since everyone is closely connected to the Global market. I’m 66 y/o… I lived during the USA Recession Oil shortages of the 70’s… Lost market $$$ in late 2008-2009 dip. I’ve stopped gambling in the market after that. 😉 the bald headed guy is crazy. Things in the World are more volatile than ever before…
You should not gamble in the market but instead buy and hold. You lost money only if you sold. We are 5X in the dow where we were at the bottom of 08, even with this correction.
@Marko S. All due to no interest rates from the Fed and now look where we are when we barely see then move up 1% 8, interest rates. The market had been fluff for over 10 years.
@Quinn H Wow, you sound like an investing expert. Are you a billionaire, or at least a millionaire? We’ve had great stock market returns in past decades of 10% interest rates.
@Marko S. I guess you don’t realize some companies will bankrupt in a bad economy. People sell as to try not to lose everything.
@LynnS0027 That is true. I only invest in the total market, not in individual companies.
these people need a psychiatrist
This video is a few weeks late…we’re already in a recession genius.
No, not really. A recession is defined as two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth, and in our last quarter, we had +6.5% GDP growth.
@Mark Watlow You are confused. First of all, 1Q GDP growth was not 6.5%, it was -1.5%. Second of all, the second quarter ends in two weeks. While the existence of a recession is determined by GDP numbers, the start of that recession is retroactive to the first day of the first quarter of negative GDP growth. So if 2d quarter numbers show negative growth, we will have been in recession since January 2022. In short there is no “not really” – we are either really in a recession right now, or really not in one. Which one it is is an ironclad fact – we just don’t know which one yet.
@Mark Watlow Ahh, another investor that has no clue what he’s talking about. Q1 2022 GDP was -1.5 percent. Please tell me your trades so we can all inverse them.
We’re in a recession.
Barely in the 1st inning. This is just getting started. Once the FED starts hiking more aggressively, 2023 will be a tough ride with no consumption
SAVE your money!
Already done that years ago and debt free.
You’re at least 14 years too late
The sad part is, the left side of the political spectrum will watch their own children suffer and think… this is all Trumps fault!!! All you have to do is read or listen to their thinking.
What?! No fresh tennis balls?!! 😱
Sorry, we ARE in a recession now. The Fed is useless and Yellen is a dufus.
Depression
So much waffling
Real estate, used car market is way over priced. Dont understand where people get all there money.
It’s all on credit and they could never pay it off in their lifetime
Digital or thin air printing money
In a few months they all will be talking positive in order to increase sells because they bought low
All you have to do is drive down wages for men and hire more less qualifed women. It’s worked for 40 years. It’s all fun and games till Chinese slaves stop building your widgets.
Seems like a recession already. For the average person the Great Recession never seemed to have ended.
This time it is not just a recession cycle. US has accumulated 31trillion of debt. And never before like this. The rise in interest rate will cause a sharp rise in payment for the interest in our 31trillion national debt. In fact it will bankrupt the US government, and cause a reset in US currency. All the money will become worthless overnight.
Hahahaha BANK RUN NEXT WEEK, Dummy…
This inflation is totally made up by the big companies and by the democrats, even here in Bulgaria people sees it, totally selfish evil and greedy people which are businessmen and politics! Trump and the republicans is the only hope for a good society and USA to survive and the church. USA are full with greedy people, big consumers, selfish, foolish and hedonistic, sorry for saying this but this is true. This is about 50% of USA people and they all vote for the democrats. There are still a lot of good and noble people in USA but they don’t influence the rest so much unfortunately. The church and the noble people should become more noble and godly this is the key in moral values and in fate(good spiritual practices, fast prayer sharking the gospel! And not strife against other churches and leave this hypocrisy)!
90% of Americans think Recession is because of the American economy , they don’t know rest of the world or how world economies impact America.
The technical definition of a recession is: two or more quarters of negative GDP growth, after factoring for inflation. The high inflation rate will put us there sooner than later. But that is just a technical recession. The real recession won’t happen until consumption declines
What about when the Dollar dies?
@DetroitLove4U The world runs on the dollar
all time highs last year followed by all time lows?
It’s like…..endlessly printing money and poor policy hurt the economy somehow???
Nah, just over thinking things.
@Jeiku Anime Review Somehow we printed $40 billion for Ukraine.
Recession!? Sleepy Joe just told me this is the greatest economy in the world. Is this DISINFORMATION????
We are in recession silly !!
Last time the Great Recession happened was when Gas hit $4 and now we’re close to $5. Once it hits $5 or $6. We’ll see a bigger recession than last time.
Thank you for quality programming.< What you are describing here is accurate - the flight to safety to the US stock market and dollar. This is what is keeping the market going at this time and preventing a crash. This "melt UP" phase will go on for a while, then as the global economy crashes so will US markets only harder due to the "No Win scenario" that has been created by so much obscene debt. Next comes the "Default Phase" with mega-massive bankruptcies and lastly "Asset Seizures" where banks and the Fed government will simply declare an extreme national emergency to justify the crisis and debit your account directly. The fools will think that this could never happen. The actual legislation for this type of action is already in place. My advice to anyone feeling the heat in this inflation, just trade long term more than ever, I have made over 523k from day trading with Shirley Bagshaw in few weeks, this is one of the best medium to backup your assets incase it goes bearish....
I stopped worrying about bitcoin price ever since i started using Bagshaw strategy, it gives me gain daily even with the downtrend.
Very nice, I was just holding before I found Shirley. In my opinion she is the best out there.
Great skills and knowledge about the market. I enjoy full profits and easy withdrawal with no complains, trade with the best.
I invested with Shirley too, she understands every beginners intention and fix you to a trading plan that matches your capacity..
Assets and lnvestment is that tiny Iine that separates the rich from the poor.
Resession is coming
Once this GDP print comes out and we are in a recession 2022 im going to find everyone of these videos and cuss yall the hell out. The best economist in the US said CPI would be 8.3 – 8.2. Cpi came in at 8.6. Its so high we have lost cabin pressure in here!! NONE OF YOU ANALYSIS KNOW. Just STFU.
As bad as it is, and we still haven’t hit a recession yet? I need to find a cheaper brand of dogfood for dinner.
For you or for your dog ?
Maybe saving some leftovers from your plate for your 🐶 will do. No recession. Only some fluctuations.
Oil price spikes are a pretty solid harbinger of a recession. Unless something comes about to reverse the oil price spike quickly, a recession seems highly probable. Interest rate hikes are just increasing the probability of a recession even more. But recessions do have positives. Gets rid of bubbles like in housing and the stock markets.
A friend just told me this morning that Vladimir Putin is dead. 😂 If the rumor were true, it might help bring down the oil price.
hey when do u think we getting into a recession? will it be this year?
@Suma Iza Ask Warren Buffett. He knows best.😁
The real problem is Biden. It all started when he became president.
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“Build back better” Bidenflation
Even the feds don’t know the answer; they embellish the facts and make it seem like the economy is fine.
These idiots are the same ones saying the housing market was safe in ’07. This won’t be a recession. A debt crisis is coming.
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this guy knows what hes talking about
Tantalizing??????
“Politicians are the lowest form of life on earth. Liberal Democrats are the lowest form of politicians.”
I want to start investing. Is it safe to start now, or should I wait until the end of this possible correction/bear market, despite the economic crisis facing the world, is this the right time to invest in stock,Gold/crypto?
Trading and minimizing losses was also possible for me thanks to melisa pamela perez, Glad to see this, her work ethic speaks for itself. so does people too. an amazing IA.
Dear Lord. Thank you for providing me with the financial good sense to have recently paid off my mortgage under these current extreme conditions. AMEN!! I wish good health, peace, and happiness to my fellow Americans during such difficult times as well. God Bless! sure consulting with a reputable service exprt is absolutely the best thing to do.
There is no crystal ball on when to invest. Investment advisors are always good for the investment advisor & in a bull market their clients should make money, but not always. In a bear market like now, you make the most by buying when the market bottoms. Bottoms are hard to pick, so I buy small & wait & see. You can buy more anytime you still have funds available. If it goes lower, I buy more. Lower, I buy more. At the bottom the market will rise, sometimes for years & all your buys will be profitable in time. My last suggestion…buy quality companies that are on sale & pay dividends. They are not going out of business. I never buy hyped companies. They often go bankrupt & you will lose your total investment.
Invest now and invest all you can. The sooner is the better. Let’s all go broke with all world markets. We are in this together.
Achuthan is most famous for his recession call in 2011. It never happened and he disappeared off of media for some time. Is he right about his recession call now? Maybe.
Not yet because we will see it tmrw 😂🤣
We are in the recession now
Oh lordy we are already in the recession, at least in a town in north Texas. When there has been no wage increases and you have to drive 80 to 90 miles for doctor visit figure it out.
Why is the war in Ukraine not even talked about?
I don’t understand how it could be Biden assault
This recession is because of China and Russia…
LOL, we’re already in one. We just won’t be able to confirm it until next month.
Trump pressured Jerome Powell to keep rates low for an extended time. There was never a President who talked about the Fed Chair as much as he did.
Recession comes only companies decide to prioritize labor cost saving over the growth. However, if capitalists see the potential to grow, they will invest, which is the nature of capitalists, and that labor costs are just part of company’s spending, while growth represents whole activities of the company.
This was all due to poor decision making by the Biden administration. Why did we give these people power, even Trump with all his bloviation would have kept this from happening.
5:01 he falted with grin smile “stuffed 😀 “
We are in a recession.
Remember when things were amazing just 2 years ago? Elections have consequences. Ask yourself what do you prefer? Mean tweets or no job, no house or anything.
Why is oil in Saudi Arabia still at $1.15 per liter?
I super listened to the super insightful analysis and I super want to super understand how super inflation affects super recession. This is super important (imagine I am up-talking or super duper up-talking).
Keep your job. 😭
“find your dream job and save your money” sounds like the typical consumer tactics… why don’t we buy gold and silver like central banks instead?
it seems clear that FIAT is going to 0, the system is about to crumble to peices.