#FederalReserve #Fedratehike #yahoofinance
University of Chicago Booth School of Business Professor of Economics and former Fed Reserve Board member Randy Kroszner joins Yahoo Finance Live anchors Brad Smith, Julie Hyman and Brian Sozzi to discuss market uncertainty, the possibility of more rate hikes, inflation, recession fears, and the outlook for the unemployment rate.
Don’t Miss: Valley of Hype: The Culture That Built Elizabeth Holmes
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!['People are not going to have money to buy food once they lose their jobs,' says Roubini [Full]](https://iml-jp.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/People-are-not-going-to-have-money-to-buy-food-once-they-lose-their-jobs-says-Roubini-Full.jpg)
Double diget rates? This would weaken the euro dollar and nations who borrowed cheap money when rates were low.
Yeah market is way ahead of itself. Pricing in a FED pivot as if inflation is going to collapse. Inflation will prove to be sticky and higher unemployment and recession is likely IMHO in order to stop inflation. Stocks will reprice way lower and this will proof a bear market rally.
Everything is priced in. The biggest companies such as big tech will be fine no matter what happens moving forward with rates
LOL…just wait until China invades Taiwan..you will wish you had bought energy stocks.and its gonna happen maybe even sooner than you think. That animal Pelosi went to Taiwan for a reason, to get the war going. The US central bankers and the ECB NEED THIS WAR TO START SOON!! Its the only way they will be able to print more cash
“the possibility of a recession” … we’re already officially in a recession. check the news.
Very well done interview! I appreciate the specificity and thoroughness of the questions and answers.
I would much rather hear from a housewife regarding the economy than an economist….
FED keeping the average investor out of the market while the Black Rocks jump in and drive it to new highs.
Some “advisors” made that up to move bond prices.
Sir, It appears that in strong market, NQ goes up more(and faster) than e mini Sp500. When the market is doing poorly, NQ comes down more & faster compared to e mini. Does it make sense that if market is up strongly for say 2- 3 days in A row, then sell NQ & buy e mini AS PAIR TRADE, and wait. Say 3 days later market is falling strongly 2-3 days in A row,–then reverse the pair trade. Any suggestions for other indices pairs trades, comments ? Thank you.
Projecting out to next year? 😂 Yeah, right.. 🙄
Lets see real life inflation is 15-20%, and the FED has rates at 2.25%. This is still highly accommodative and negative real rates. Savers earn nothing and are punished via inflation. Where is the QT and MBS sales Powell?…wait for it…🦗Stagflation is here. Volcker where are you?🤦🏻
Yep. Current rates have made any dent in inflation. Ridiculous they are debateing cutting rates.
@Runner C exactly! 🤷🏻♂️
So if deep recession happens they’ll cut so the market sees deep recession
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The only cuts are going to be employees
The fed can never seem like they are pivoting because the speculators will go right back at it again
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The <,Fed funds rate is close to a point where the US will not be able to service its debt if the rate gets much higher. The FED is almost at its max capable rate increase wo defaulting. I'm expecting a 50bps hike in Sept and the beginning of its pivot. It cannot raise rates passed this point wo causing a default risk. These factors indicate that inflation has most likely peaked. Yes we have had two consecutive quarter with negative GDP but it was slightly negative and the latter smaller then the previous. Unemployment just in the last month also just starting to go up after being at historical lows at 3.5%. So in summary the global markets are at an inflection point...If the trend continues as it has of late that means a global financial crisis is inbound, one similar to 1929 or worse. My money is that the markets are more likely to pivot based how overbought and oversold they are. I am financially set though can't stop thinking on how the baby boomers and, the two generations following are going to make it. With the way of the world today these large groups are not going to be able to fend for themselves putting the pressure onto the younger generations too carry their weight or? It's not going to be pretty for sure! A million dollars doesn't go that far anymore. But Investment is the key to beat every financial crisis. I invested in cryptocurrency and trade with the aid of an Advisor Mrs Robin Moore. She provided and guided me on how to trade with her daily trade strategy in which i have been able to won trades of over 13.8 BTC with an initial 1.5 BTC just in few months of trading. She’s no doubt the best bitcoin trading platform handler or broker if I’m asked to say beginners can talk to her for help I also found out about her here on YouTube. Invest today, so you don't turn your children to retirement package. We all should learn from our previous mistakes and start investing and trading. You can reach out to Mrs. Robin on ͲeIєɠɾαm @moorerobin or What'sapp +12132627458 for more info on how to invest, trade and earn with her explicit trade signal ..
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Inflation not going anywhere soon.
Typical, the fed going from one extreme to another. Slow down the rate hikes, give things a couple of months.
Agreed! CORECT CORRECT CORRECT! I think considering the insane levels of inflation the markets are smoking a lot of “hopium” to think that the FED will be lowering rates so soon. And it would be very prudent for the Fed to let up. MAybe they level off soon if CPI/PPI data starts to come down. But a “status quo” would be more prudent than suddenly lowering rates and just spurring on inflation again.
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The current real inflation is 17-19%. Fed has overnight rates at 2.25%. This won’t tame inflation in any way. Also, Fed made two mistakes: Instead of raising rates by 100bps, they raised 75bps. They sent a soft and wrong message. I believe FED would keep tightening.
Raising rates has no effect on energy and food prices so raising rates too much will only destroy an economy
@Cobi Cobi economy addicted to cheap rate is not a healthy economy.
It needs bitter medicine of high rates to get well.
High rates would also bring down fuel prices for sure.
This rate suppression helped no one but the rich people become richer. Just look at the exacerbating wealth inequality in the last 12 years or more when Fed started to pander their rich friends.
Dude, where the F has this guy been? Definitions matter. Two consecutive quarters of contraction. There is no “risk” of recession. We ARE in a recession.
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It’s the FED’s credibility on the line! They HAVE TO bring inflation down, whatever it takes! There are of course components in inflation which they have no influence on but they have to raise rates! Soft landing is not important right now. Inflation is the destroyer of worlds, the worst what can happen!
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Traders should avoid attempting to predict trend reversals, or even worse, I believe there is more to this market than we currently understand. Trade coins to make huge gains it’s far better than holding…
Oh yeah. Ok 🤡. Raise the rates. Go ahead. And then…let’s all watch the debt markets earth quake. QT will tame inflation not rates.
“push us into a recession’ – we’re already in one, stop being dishonest.
It’s all orchestrated by the Federal reserve and them ONLY , the dollar is 💩
we are literally in a recession, the wikipedia revised definition is BS
So far this year the Fed & Chairman Powell has done nothing when they said they would. This is the New transparency of the Fed. The MPC of the Bank of England clearly stated today what they expect to see in the UK economy for the next 5 quarters and what they intend to do about it. Powell has no clear idea what the future looks like in the U.S. Therefore he has no clear and reliable strategy. The Powell Fed looks more and more like the Burns Fed of the 1970’s. No vision. No strategy. Just confusion and no leadership.
What I learnt from this was subtle but vital as an investor. When the Fed talk about a soft landing being possible they mean soft from an unemployment view. They mean only 5 or 6 percent unemployment.And that’s all they mean. They don’t mean soft from a market view. If the Nasdaq goes down 70 percent from peak and s and p down 50 percent Fed would still call it softish if unemployment less than 6. Lol if that’s true theres a lot of fund managers running on hope rather than logic.
NO You Guys are WRONG. We are going into web 3 technology and alot of monetary policy boosting is going to occur during these years to come
Good information tq