Danielle DiMartino Booth of QI Research says a soft-landing scenario for the U.S. economy is unlikely and the Fed cut interest rates more than expected because it expects negative revisions to the GDP print.
Danielle DiMartino Booth of QI Research says a soft-landing scenario for the U.S. economy is unlikely and the Fed cut interest rates more than expected because it expects negative revisions to the GDP print.
She’s breathing deep during those pause. I usually don’t comment this type of thing but it’s was crazy noticing
Shes really smart. She needs the oxygen to feed her enlarged brain.
I feel maybe she’s a smoker?
@@SimonTemplarDude definitely lol
Jesus Christ chill man 🤣 @@wolfpackforlife1
She’s probably nervous, plus she’s talking very fast. It’s normal, stop harping on things that don’t matter
Smart real analysis..
DIMARTINI BOOTH 🔥🔥🔥🔥 ANALYSIS
so govt is lying?
Danielle DiMartino Booth has been calling for a recession for three years. I am sure if she keeps saying this eventually she will be correct.
Shes a crackpot
She may be right, but there still will be a massive rally between now and the end of the year.
Just like the ’07 rally?
@@ralphjessee2688 🤣🤣👍👍
There is no soft landing possible in the US economy
US economy is not strong enough to bear higher interest rates(fragile economy that breaks too often)
Exactly – If the economy is chugging along so well, why cut rates?
You don’t read much do you. Inflation is under control but their focus is on the unemployment rate. It’s a balancing act.
@@patrickm6012 Are you in the US? I am in India but I know inflation is still high than what it is reported in the US US is in recession already possibly from Q1 of 2024 wait and see after elections lots of data will be revised on the downside
@@patrickm6012 You were mumbling, again. Yeah, I read plenty. And I’m told the economy is robust and the consumer is doing well.
What would be Harris’s response on the soft-landing scenario? “I grew up in a middle class family and we need to create hope in the community, and to support small business. More importantly, to realize the significance of the passage of time!” Anyone understand? Precisely!
Well, once again as a reminder, the economy always does better with Democrats in power. If Trump got empower and increased tariffs and extended, the tax breaks or even increased tax break for the rich, it would only cause a huge deficit that we’ve never seen before.
@@tterb777 Your comment doesn’t seem to reflect the reality most experience.
The deficit and borrowing have exploded under the Harris/Biden regime.
@@ralphjessee2688Result of Trump/COVID.
@@ralphjessee2688the deficit skyrocketed under Trump. Also the bond market was inverted in 2019, signaling a recession prior to COVID and his bungled response to it.
@@aceyage Trump didn’t create Covid and the initial Cares Act was under 2 trillion. The balance of the debt explosion was all Harris/Biden.
I seem to recall a certain market whisperer predict a coming recessionary print in Q3-Q4 2023 and then again in Mar 2024 (massive tech layoffs would have precipitated it supposedly), and now the third time must be the right call! Oh my!
When ALL of the data is either a survey, or completely fabricated. It is hard to get it right.
Whenever pundit talk about things that will happen a year from its fake news lol. When interest start falling it also means more credit available equals more buying power e.g. mortgage cars loans etc. Big companies can start doing share buy backs again due to lower borrowing cost. Probably the greatest will be when CDs, saving account no longer seems feasible and where is that $950 B going; the stock market or other higher yielding financial product or real estate?
Who actually takes this woman seriously, she’s been screaming for a US rescission for the past 2 years. She couldn’t predict the winner of a one man race. 🤡
We’ve been hearing cries of recession since 1995. I’ve been watching this almost daily people freaking out on social media and even business media sites.
Totally agree. Fear sells.
We’ve been in a recession for the last 2 years.
Seems like an unhinged conspiracy theorist trying to make her family prepare for the Terminator…..
People have been talking about a recession or even even depression frankly since 1995. I still remember the day when interest rates were going down and people were fearful that there was a problem because they decrease the interest rates only in their mind to predict a massive recession down the road once the interest rates stopped, dropping or worse, yet went up. This chatter is old news
The economic backdrop at at time was totally different, yield curve was never inverted, but dont feel bad theres plenty of talking heads comparing unalike datapoints
Right…. And there were NO recessions since 1995!! 😂
All of her argument boils down to consumer spending. So since that is the case, and we put more cash in peoples hands by lowering the interest rates… To me sounds like it will be addressing the consumer confidence.
Consumer expenditure PCE actually rose for last June and July. The most troubled indicator would be unemployment rate which triggered Sahm rule but she did not articulated that.
The GDP has been sustained above neutral since the 3rd quarter of 2022,
by European Consumers being forced to buy overpriced LNG.
So any variation of the figures brings you back to ask,
where is the real Baseline for this economy?
Is Europe going to continue to support the USA?
@@danielhutchinson6604 Are you Russian troll? LNG sales to Europe from US is about $35 billions a year, and US GDP is $27+ trillions. US GDP is hardly supported by LNG sales. Domestic consumer spending is 70% of the US economy, that is where the critical component of US economy is.
Its been at least 40 straight months that she is been 100% wrong. Maybe she should get a Ph.D, so that maybe she’ll at least be right some of the time. She just keeps repeating the same wrong information/predictions over and over and over again.
You believe data heading into an election. You’re a good lil sheep
If she had sex with Jim Cramer and they had an offspring, you would have the 100% perfect market contra indicator.
Sheesh, Danielle is exuding anxiety through my computer screen. This lady is neurotic. Can’t stand her😑
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Cnbs always pushing soft landing 😂😂😂
spending will increase when the Hurricane hits…
There are 0.00% chance of a recession. We are going into a painful stagflation period
That is because illegal aliens are getting American jobs, also why nobody is talking about China’s fake GDP numbers. The U.S is still in a robust market, Danielle is not reporting the truth.
We need the federal government to again issue $750 billion more in forgivable PPP loans to dental practices, car dealerships, and lawyers offices so that it can be funneled into the sputtering real estate and stock markets. Biden save us!
Trillion dollars every 100 days or GDP would be massively negative.
Alarmist hysteria…..
Deficit spending has a way of propping up things.
This is some great analysis. The consumer is holding up the economy right now and a lot of the employment reports we see are lagging indicators.
Every analyst has an opinion but here are the facts: The average return of the S&P 500 12 months after the first rate cut is 15%. For small caps it’s 27%. These include periods of recession and non recession.
When I saw that GDP numbers where coming out this week, I decided to prepare for a down day. The math is mathing for a slowdown on all things consumer
I’m just going to point out in all the years I’ve watched her talk she has never not been worried and scared about some impending doom scenario 😂 I’m not sure she’s ever been bullish equities, like ever
Most experts on Bloomberg have a conflict of interest and so must scream “soft landing”, where history and an inverted yield curve signal the obvious.
Soon the governments will provide new coke to banks & corporations so that they can hire poorly-paid workers while keeping stock buy backs programs going.
The market can remain irrational for very long, hence it doesn’t even matter what you do
This segment would never be aired in the US 😂😂😂😂
wow, she is so wrong. and no good track record proves it
4 week account. Bot
Finally, thought I was the only one who noticed.
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first thing don’t listen to this woman. She is always wrong. If you are worried, have some cash and short term bonds
The blonde lady has arms like hulk Hogan
Sahm rule and uninverted 102 yr yield curve recently should have everyone worried. Add threat of war, elections and and downward revisions… Yeah you should be thinking about hedging at the very least!
A wise person once cautioned : you cannot spend your way out of a recession. Guess we will see , huh ? I am with the wise man on this one.
Car lots are full because dealers can’t get folks to pay $100,000 for a vehicle. It’s not rocket science. Deflation is around the corner and the FED is terrified.
She is a joke. CNBC’s timepass.
You were wrong about the GDP. Why? The revised number was 3.0% again! Did they not include the 818,000 job revision, making it a total fraud? Or was it something else?
This person needs to duck into the shadows. She’s always wrong or off timing. So sick of people being given MSM credibility just because of their race or gender.
She’s a partisan Trump Supporter rooting for a bad economy to get Trump re-elected. Her opinion is worthless.
Dibbert Club
The market doesn’t care about bad news. It’s a crack cocaine market full of addicts, no matter the cost. Like a broader version of the Game Stop scam a few months ago.
Leta Hills
Can anyone tell me when and about what this lady has EVER been right about. Why do they keep coming back to her for her worthless analysis. She’s been calling for a recession for over 3 years. There will be no recession. A new bull market started with a breakout to new highs Nov 2020. My S&P 500 year end targets are 6118.34 – 6237.28. That’s based on weekly technical indicators. I guess no one wants to talk about it because they would have to give Biden some credit for something but fundamentally this run should last at least another 3-5 years maybe 7. We have 3.1 trillion $ of bipartisan fiscal stimulus spending in the pipeline to go through. We’ve spent less than 20% to date. It should keep this economy humming no matter what the Fed does and in the worst case should act as a safety net against recession.
comical! shes literally been saying this same kind of doom and gloom for 2solid years now…
Bears 😂😂😂
I think the market missed this video. There is no bad news and the Dow will be at 50,000 by end of Oct at this pace. Trees apparently do grow to the heavens.
STOP HATING LADIES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Garcia Kevin Harris Timothy Hernandez Jessica
Wilson Sharon Perez Maria Anderson Linda
The 100 year anniversary of the Great Depression is around the corner. I guarantee the powers at be will aren’t going to let that event slide. Perfect timing for another one. 1917-18 the Spanish flu, 2019-2020 COVID, after the Spanish flue was the “roaring twenties”, we we’ve been seeing that the past few years as well, then the Great Depression. What’s next for us, with all the gov debt, BRICS expanding, and high inflationary environment.. Yeap the dollar will be challenged and and on our way to another Great Depression… It’s what it is. Doesn’t matters who’s elected, it’s going to happen. However, I believe Trump is better suited to handle the situation
Administration need to stop spending and giving money away.
Our government lowering the prime rate will only encourage the consumer to take on more debt. The rate should automatically be raised when consumer debt reaches a level agreed by the public vote. Discouraging our consumer to take on more debt.
Banks have to pass a stress test each yr. The consumer as a whole nation should have to pass a stress test determining the prime interests rate. The higher the debt level the higher the prime rate. That will Discourage the consumer from going bankrupt.
They not listening
Why did they put an indian chick on there who can’t speak English fluently? It’s America btw
She has been always wrong and never in doubt. She is a marginal figure at the Fed and somehow has parlayed this into being an expert on the markets. She manages no money and is basically a dilettante. Listen to her and lose money.