Before #2024Election Day results start coming in, there’s a lot of attention paid to early #voting numbers. #SteveKornacki warns that those numbers don’t necessarily forecast a winner.
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I’m particularly worried about the states that have had a higher than expected number of mail-in ballots that have to be counted by hand. I’ve heard some election workers in different states say that they’ll be counting these ballots until after midnight.
States like Pennsylvania has laws that they cant count mail in ballots until after the in person voting
I don’t think party registration will be much of an indicator this election. I think gender (female vs male) will be a MUCH more telling metric in this election.
Overall, all (or nearly all) Dems will vote for Kamala. Over the last 4-6 weeks, we’ve seen a number of registered republicans voice their support for Kamala. We also know (from 2022), when women’s rights are on the ballot, it drives more women to vote. Harris has a sizable advantage with women voters. Lastly, the young/new voters (regardless of party affiliation) are more likely to vote for Kamala because of women’s rights, climate, etc.
Are we stating the obvious? Who’s going to win the superbowl?
Steve getting hyped up for the show down. 😅
Dudes recording at home for work, I wish I love my job like that 😂
Something to keep in mind: I am a Texas early voter who chose a Republican primary ballot just to vote against Trump. So my early vote for straight D ticket might be erroneously forecast for Trump.
So you, a Democrat, tried to skew the Republican primaries? Imagine if Republicans voted on the democratic primaries. Shame on you.
So you voted in a Republican primary? Imagine if Republicans voted in democratic primaries. Shame.
Well done 👍
Polls don’t mean nothing because poll companies are reporting to decieve to support Trump so it’s the votes are the best notice.
Geb coming in with a 538 vote sweep. Calling it now