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0:00 – Intro
0:45 – Arguments For Bubble
9:23 – Arguments Against Bubble
15:58 – Sponsor
I am not a financial advisor. The ideas presented in this video are for entertainment purposes only. You (and only you) are responsible for the financial decisions that you make.
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Beware of scammers in the comment section impersonating me. I will NEVER contact you via whatsapp or give you my phone number
One time, a scammer tried to impersonate you and tried to trick me. He even used your profile picture.
@Venkata Chengalvala yes they all do it on finance channels. I pretended to fall for the bait emailed him for a month called him out and he apologized and said he has no money and was begging for money
Great video man! Interesting arguments both for and against a potential index fund bubble.
If the bubble pops ……the run up will be a spectacular part of financial history.
Is that not the point of a index fund like S&P 500 to not have to research each company but just buy a Small part of each?
EXACTLY! Diversify your investments with an index.
All that extra money flowing into the market now was a result of money being pumped out by the federal reserve at record rates. majority of the population got a hold of that money with the checks+aid congress passed, even me — a 20 year old college student got a piece of the pie too.
I think Michael needs to be straightforward and declare he believes we are in a bubble as a result of COVID, and how the government possibly mishandled how much money they pumped out (rather than pointing out the market value, or how people are blindly entering the market) All that money being pumped out made the market very accessible to enter.
Oh wow this is interesting.
Good point Nate! We may just grow into these valuations.
VTI till I die
Bubbles are good for people to buy the dip 😃😎
Can you make a video saying what you’re looking at for 2022, your strategy?
Next week
Could you share some podcasts or channels that you like/listen to?
You need to post more. This is the best channel on yt.
Thank you! I will try to release about two per month
Thanks NATE! I need an Iced Turbo.
Its a bubble. Mike Greens argument. Look into it
Great Video!
i love index funds and i will never stop buying them LOL. Great video Nate! appreciate the transparency
How the hell u have money I watched old videos and stuff and all I see is a middle class guy that just started spewing financial advice and I wonder is it the fake it till u make it so now u made it and ur knowledge is now useful or what idk 🤔
Yeah right, my TikTok financial advisor said stonks always go up!
Thanks for this info, Nate 🙂 I’m slowly, but surely starting to understand these things.
The simplest way to know you’re in a bubble/potential crash in when everyone just seems to be making money so easily. Free markets don’t work like that.
And that’s what’s happening today
Nice video that shows your knowledge in this field: You show the points and then counter them as well. I like it!
Very good video nate , you really brought some solid argument’s from both sides of the table.
Ladies and Gentlemen, this is why Dollar Cost Averaging is very important. Sure you will buy when it’s high, but you’ll also buy when it’s low. In the long term you should be victorious. Time is in your side!
Totally agree! Also, if you automize your investments you don’t even have to remember to invest. Actually, Nate also touched on this in his previous video.
I am new , should I invest in tesla?
Thanks mate , I really appreciate it
Country code ?
That was a scammer impersonating me. I will never give you my phone number
Well a good majority of active investors can not beat the market, so I will not bother and not assume I am better than all these people.
Good 👍 thing that you clarified that you think 🤔 we are not in a bubble 😉 😜! You had me concerned 😉 there for a minute because I thought 😉 you had turned into a bear! I’m anxious 😟 😰 to see your next 😬 video 📹!
Thank you for this. I have a whole lot of videos to catch up on.
So do I continue to invest in my Roth or not?
łnvestment Helpline⬆️⬆️📩⤴️⤴️.
Would love to hear you opinion on NFT. Do you see a future in it or is it just some trend to make money.
Love the breakdown and perspectives!
Ok
My advice to new investors: Buy good companies stocks and hold them as long as they are good companies. Just do this and ignore the forecasts and market views which are at best entertaining but completely useless.
Agree. However, the question here is how do you define a “good company”. There are a lot of different KPI’s to evaluate companies which could get easily confusing…unless you spend lots of time in research and educate yourself about it. ETF’s are also usually a great start and you could combine those to a core satelite portfolio. What do you think?
@avenue2revenue so what i think you need is a Financial Adviser, who can help you get in and out of any stock you buy at any time and you’d sure be in Profit
@Wedson Olivia I actually disagree. A financial advisor might not be independent and the stocks you would get recommended might not be in your best interest. They may recommend stocks to you, if they get a bonus of that. The same is happening with financial advisors in banks. Unless you know someone who truly is independent and you can trust. That is probably rather a rare case. Anyway, it’s up to each individual. I fully with you on the “entertainment factor” of forecasts though 😀
Index fund bubble has been going for the last 80 year lol
Seeing your video brightens up my day.
Gaaah-gaaah, model material. Look at em eyes, Ey Nate 😉
I think equal weighted index funds is worth looking at.
the younger generation can’t catch a break. New fucking bubble when the younger generation has to consider investing.
Whatever happened to living in your truck?
🤔🤔
I’m also optimistic but have a lot staked on that position.
I also see a lot of new funds being developed to satiate the average investor which I assume spreads that money across a wider swath of companies than 5-10 years ago
Anymore minimalist videos in the works? Really enjoy those!
You are missing a key fact. Nearly all retirement plans are the 401k type. Nearly all 401ks invest in index funds. In the near term, there will be more and more inflows into 401ks.
What if you get in now, and next week the S&P 500 goes down 20%, how long do you guys think it will take to go back up to the same pre crash levels? Would 2 years be a reasonable timeline, 3 years? If so it wouldn’t be a big deal for someone who’s planning to hold for at least 10 years?
Look at the SP500 Chart
Lol, i like how you got this script and just ran with it. You shouldn’t pretend to know what you’re talking about.
I always feel late with the stock market. 🤣
Thanks NATE! I need an Iced Turbo.
No likes thank god 🙏
I would love more information on how independent investors can do their own price discovery. Is that something we can even do?
Your thumbnails give me Zoolander vibes
Yoy really need to do a lot of research to get to know more before investing.
So we can’t predict the market. Hence, we might be in a bubble or we might not be – i.e. no one knows and i.e. risk only what you can afford to lose.
It’s fantastic!
It reminds me that there’s a lot to learn before you start investing, or else you risk causing harm to the market.
I’ve recently begun my journey to financial freedom and spent a day filling out and assessing my net worth balance sheet using your (and Kiyosaki’s) template.
Thank you very much for that, and best wishes for 2022!
COOL! Enjoy your journey. It’s a marathon as Warren Buffet says. Also, you should set up an emergency fund first before investing…just in case 👍
Is this the best time?
This market really feels like a party at 4 am
Couple points, first one: can you please tell me what Burry has done correct beside shorting the housing bubble? Nobody is talking about his awful Tesla position but just talking about his one success!? Point is not Burry, Buffet, or Dalio, nobody can predict the market crash. Second point: ETFs are valuable tools to build long term wealth because of track record and diversification. They’re also very cheap and obviously those money managers don’t like them, specially because they actively manage portfolios, charge a lot of fees and still fail to outperform the S&P 500. Last point: it doesn’t matter if you have $1000 or $100000, you should always dollar cost average rather than putting everything at one time. Good luck investing ✌️
Major market correction incoming, will be a violent sell off to the down side.
One other way we might be in a stock bubble is the fact that bank savings rates are abysmal right now. Anyone smart is going to try to put their money where they can get yield higher than inflation.
What would be the course of action for an investor if they believed that the market is on a bubble? What other vehicles would you use to protect your investments in something like a 401k or ROTH IRA?
All gambling today as ppl have nothing to do. Passing through weird times. No guarantee of anything tomorrow morning. You may end up seeing what you never imagined.
Investing is a marathon. Not a sprint. So, the investments should go up in the next +15 years… but you’re right…there is no guarantee. But what are the alternatives??
Wonder what Nancy Pelosi has in mind. What she has planned. Again. Weird times we are passing through.
During covid, many sold their index funds due to fear of not having liquidity and goods. So they lost out the insane gains we saw in 2020-2021. It’s best to just hodl. But new investors should wait until the market crashes.
Wait till it runs sideways for true value*
what is the shiller PE ratio?
Probably the worst sponsor for your topic of the video.
Thank you. I have been saying this for 2 years and no one has believed me. Lol.
Same with housing. The REIT is buying without regard to market value. The REIT has to deploy money out in the trust within a certain time period. The disregard for price because of the amount of money and the lack of time makes, in my opinion, the REIT not a sure thing alternative to owning real estate physically. I don’t think there will be a real estate crash, I think the REIT will eventually have much lower returns for investors in the future. And that they will have to sell assets when communities get tired of investors owning and people living in the communities not able to buy.
This is something I was worried about back in 2017 when I was working as a Financial Advisor…. Only time will tell. Great video!
Where’d you get that sweater my boy
Thanks for the quality stuff Nate.
Mentorship and łnvestment Helpline..
Let me just say how incredibly challenging it is to watch a video where you point out three pros and three cons reasons for your subject. It’s really hard to find content creators who makes us actually think thoroughly. Great video 🙂
As the situation in too volatile during this Covid crises, but still hopeful for the future index growth….
I made my first million during a self acclaimed foreseen crash, what i can say to early investors is diversification and solid management. I Reserve much gratitude for Jane Marie Kunak my humble advisor.
I did read about Jane Marie Kunak., quite an interesting lady to look up on the web.
If you invest $2,545 into the S&P, then assuming a 10% annual rate of return, your child at the an early retirement age will be a Million plus rich, excluding every other income channeled to this. We need to invest much more.
Consistently investing in quality dividend paying companies over the long term is a relatively easy strategy to create generational wealth,
I googled the lady you mentioned, i found her instagram through that i saw her website and after going through her credentials, I can tell she’s a pro, I’ll be writing her a mail shortly.
What’s causing you to change so much and so quickly? Your pacing is not your usual.
This guy has no idea what he’s talking about. When the market P/E is near 40 versus a historical 15-16, what’s coming is not good
Mentorship and łnvestment Helpline.
I don’t trust you.
Hi Nate, I want to collaborate with you to promote my website for influencing marketing on your Channel.
Email sent out, kindly check please.
Passive Index fund investing is stupid. There’s only a handful of companies that make up most of the index that you’re in, therefore you’re not as diversified as you think. If those handful of companies go down, so does your whole portfolio, significantly, according to the percentage of loss in the handful of companies.
łnvestment Helpline⬆️⬆️📩⤴️⤴️..
Wouldn’t stock picking have an even higher risk??
We’re in an everything bubble tbh
The problem regarding price discovery and the car analogy is that it really doesn’t matter what problems one car has, because when buying index funds you buy a piece of the entire international car market.
You should look into Islam.
łnvestment Helpline⬆️⬆️📩⤴️⤴️
I agree with the argument against overvaluation because of money printing/inflation. Everything is going up in value like crazy because inflation is affecting everything. So yes, while it seems concerning that the stock prices are high and keep climbing, it is a reflection of the changing financial environment. Inflation plays a role in the growth of stocks over time anyway so it is not at all far-fetched to suggest that it is one big reason the markets have been going up a lot post March 2020 when the stimulus started. I would be very concerned if I didn’t see similar trends in housing and consumer goods. Since this trend appears to be all-encompassing, this does suggest relative stability in these “all time highs” and that dips will be relatively minor. The dollar just isn’t what it used to be and we see evidence of that everywhere. Don’t worry too much. Just buy and hold good businesses and make sure you are sufficiently diversified.
łnvestment Helpline⬆️⬆️📩⤴️⤴️,.
I agree. Inflation can be brought about by economic changes that seems pretty normal as businesses expands and our overall resources don’t, so raw materials can become extra for each and every one of us. While, investing may be affected by these economic matters, it is important for us to invest wisely as good investments in good companies is never that bad after all.
Hard times create strong men
Strong men create easy times
Easy times create weak men
Weak men create hard times!!
Great video and are you investing yourself in Index funds?
Yes, the Japanese stock market hasn’t gone up but if you invest in Index funds you don’t invest just in one country.
It is truly a pleasure to listen to your content because you have a fantastic way of breaking things down for the layman and those new to active investing. Thank you and please keep it up.
I haven’t even started watching but my immediate 2cents is. You could argue indexing is always a bubble because index price is not correlated to value of the companies within it, people just buy whatever and it gradually detaches from reality like a tesla stock or whatever. But, indexing still makes up such a small % of stocks bought that I don’t think we need to worry too much. When the stock market becomes 90% indexes and only 10% active traders/funds I’ll worry but that would never happy because human nature is greedy and we don’t settle for average returns. If anyone knew what was good for them they’d only buy indexes and forget the rest.
If you don’t invest you can guarantee 100% no returns. So if every keeps buying the S&P500 index with Vanguard for example, it will only go up. Yes it’s a ponzi scheme type scenario but better that than joe bloggs buying Tesla and then realising it can’t compete with BMW, Nissan, etc in 20 years and elon dips to Mars.
The everything bubble. God help us
1’30” and 2’40”: whenever I look at these Down Jones graphs, I wonder if the Graham Stephans of the world (Tony Robbins and Warren buffet included) are right assuming that, overall it will always go up, that that is an infinite pie. And that is because what I see in that graph is no overall growth other than bubbles (tech, subprime, etc.) and reconstruction booms (post world wars, the Oil Crisis, etc.).
Talk too much without getting to the point
You’re in Calgary?! Nate, you inspired me to start a channel 2 years ago and it’s changed my life. I live in Calgary man, and id love to meet up if you’re around!
Last summer when the S&P 500 was above 4000 I thought for sure we were going to crash soon, but I’m happy I didn’t sell my S&P holdings. After all, quarterly dividends win the day, and time in the market beats timing the market. 💪🏽💰
Unless you’re very good at timing the market
@TOP RALLY MOMENT SHORTS WHO is good at timing the market? It’s rather gambling as there are so many external factors driving the performance.
The dollar is loosing its value………a trillion dollar valuation today is like a million dollar during the 1920’s or 30’s. The Stock market is flooded with stimulus money.
Hit me up directly for more info 📩📩🔝🔝📩☝️
Just follow 1 mantra: “Time in the market > timing the market.”
you’re free to invest now the market is affordable and profitable strategies$$
Investing is much better if you focus your goal for the time invested instead of the amount you invest. Starting with huge amount when starting investing doesn’t really equate to huge returns. Good investments for longer periods of time will usually outperform larger investments over shorter periods.
We are DEFINITELY in a bubble ………………………………..
Love these professoral videos. Van life mixed with pro series investment videos are an awesome mix lately
Fractional shares bringing in the average Joe and massively increasing the volume or maintaining that volume with the increased number of companies, has allowed the bubble to shift for sure.
If you are young you just buy more when it bubbles
For guidelines, investment and financial tips!..
To the *worthwhile person* seeing this, your dream is not dead. Don’t allow the past and current pains and hurts stop and define you. You’re more than a conqueror. Rise up and put yourself together. Keep pushing your future depends on it. I wish you all the best in life
Awesome video. Just a quick question, would mutual funds be part of this bubble?
*^Thanks For Watching😊🙏🏻,Be Part of My Success Today.For Questions Guidance’s, Ideas And Support Anytime,msg⤴️📥⬆️:*