Let’s discuss the flattening Yield Curve, Why Facebook Started Declining, and the future of Cryptocurrency – Enjoy! Add me on Instagram: GPStephan
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FLATTENING YIELD CURVE:
This occurs when SHORT TERM 2 YEAR BORROWING RATES INCREASE, while LONG TERM 10 YEAR RATES DECREASE…thereby signaling that investors see MORE risk investing in the short term than they do in the long term.
When this happens, it’s used as an indicator that economic growth is expected to slow down, and IF those yields invert – meaning, the 2 year bond pays more than the 10 year bond…it’s typically a warning sign of an upcoming recession. Even if we look back, in history…an inverted yield curve has correctly signaled nine recessions since 1955, with only one false positive in the 1960’s…where there was economic slowdown, but no official recession.
Although, in this case…even though Credit Suisse says we currently have a 25% chance of an upcoming recession…they explain that, since people have so much much money saved – more than usual is held within 10 year treasuries, thereby pushing yields down slightly more than usual…giving us a higher chance of a “false positive” recession signal…
USUALLY…when people refer to a “recession,” the first thing that comes to mind is a falling stock market, declining real estate values, high unemployment, and an overall “BAD economy” – but, TECHNICALLY, a recession occurs when we see “two consecutive quarters of economic decline, as reflected by GDP”…or, in more simple terms – that just means that our economy begins to shrink, as fewer goods and services are produced…HOWEVER…when it comes to the stock market…here’s what I found really surprising:
Since 1950…not every recession coincided with the stock market going down…according to them, “On average, the market declines 5.3% during an economic recession…. the worst drop totaled a loss of -36.4% and the stock market’s best gain totaled +16.6%.” On top of that, “We won’t know we are in a recession until we have been in for six months. Hence, predicting one is a fool’s errand,”
Although – it DOES SEEM as though – when you look throughout the last 70 YEARS…every recession, so far, has marked a great buying opportunity – where, within the following 3-5 years, prices are significantly higher than where they started. So, short term – IF a recession happens, prices tend to go down – BUT NOT ALWAYS – and, in the big picture – if stocks do DECLINE…they’ve always signaled the relative “low” of the market.
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but Facebook is an evil big data giant. I’m glad apple did that cause my data is my data and I don’t want them knowing every little thing.
Honestly I’m stoked for Apple’s privacy changes as an iphone user. I have trouble feeling bad for the poor poor trackers trying to stalk my every move online
1:02 if you want to avoid being asked to hit the like button….
The jobs report was actually quite strong. The forecasts were wrong.
No it’s gonna continue to crash.
Nobody with a brain pays for dinner with Bitcoin! Thats what Doge is for! Bitcoin is for holding.
That sweater is dope af, Graham
I am a financial analyst with a bachelors degree in finance, and the way you explain things is so refreshing. Quick, simple yet effective. Love the content
I’m a college student with no degrees and also love the way he explains things : )
I am God. This man is eloquent
@Phil Swensenlol
Definitely the most informative and concise financial YouTuber
@Vic C. and I’m a cashier with a Ph.D. In money handling finances. I manage a whole drawer of paper cash monies. I understand the explaining of finance to so easy to be
On all his YT thumbnails he seems desperate in lately
Lol 😂 that face like a meteor is hitting earth soon…
Graham, I’d do anything to work for you for free. I could really use you as my mentor.
Weird ringing in the audio
We will dip back down to 33k-34k soon
Hey, great video, a friend advised me to buy into NFT games at the moment. Do you think its a smart move? He said i should put all my money into Spellfire and Skyweaver, but i am not sure i should do that. Any advise?
Giving users the autonomy to choose who sees their data and information is the right thing to do regardless of the cost. The cost is evidence that the ethically superior approach to marketing was not adopted initially.
We don’t like our data being sold… And fakebook has more problems than just simply illegally selling data… Up chuck Zuck’s time is limited…
It makes sense that PayPal’s numbers are down since we’re all going to be taxed on transactions totaling $600 or more.
PayPal says spending has begun to decrease? Maybe PayPal forgot that they are reporting to the IRS if more than $600 is moved in to someone’s account within a year. The vote for this failed but everyone is doing it now.
That only applies to business transactions, not personal, unless PayPal has begun doing something other pay apps have not.
Aaww, the Let’s go Brandon regulations
That graph at 7:48 is golden. Never seen a log scale of the SnP where it puts into perspective the inflation factor. You look at normal graphs and always wonder why the recent market growth always flatlines the historical data.
I have a new found respect for Apple now🥺
This is mediocre advice. Read Unscripted: The Great Rat Race Escape by MJ Demarco to learn how to live a better life.
Pushin P
Bull market 😂 ya you better just stick to pumping out YouTube videos and getting that ad revenue sponsor revenue stock market is going to be crap all year up-and-down bud
Meta is going to rebound. While I think the company is overhyping the metaverse and its potential, there’s too much money in targeted advertising for Meta to consistently miss earnings expectations like last quarter
Meta is going to be the next MySpace tiktok is the new insta these cycles just repeat and repeat
@A R I think Facebook is too large to fail at this point. While it has a lot of fake/duplicate users, it is still the platform of choice for older generations (ie the ones with money). And let’s face it Meta will likely buy out Bytedance to get TikTok or something one day lol
It’s a company in transition and transition generally takes time and only time will tell if it pays off
Hope you make mugs, tumblers that say “Bankroll: Buy The Sip”
It’s all rigged, making money off others peoples losses is over
Bro, you would need OVER 50% to say they’d be more likely to date the person for that statistic to mean anything positive lool
My man Graham is on that TRT. Looking good bro 👏🏼💪🏽
I think Apple’s update is amazing. Even when considering all the negatives you mentioned, everyone has a right to their privacy.
If 14500 does not hold for NDX, then high probability bottom is going to be 10k-12500. Range . ✅
It would be great to learn about your research and content creation process 🙂
Hey Graham, I’m sorry to say that its time for me to unsubscribe. I understand that you want to be creating content at the rate of MeetKevin but you’ve begun sacrificing quantity over quality like him. It seems like your channel is becoming a doomsday news headline channel and it’s unfortunate because I used to really enjoy your content. I appreciate everything you’ve taught me about personal finance. Thank you.
Stocks begining to trade like Sh*it coins
I love this
If the like button was a stock I would totally invest.
Especially with the amount of pumping it gets from Graham
Yes, financial crash will not coming ahead, the market already crash on bubble stocks and will moving ahead, Fed tapering is already under expected. market ahead may be up and down a bit, but not a historical crash again just like 2008.
In reality no-one knows when a crash will happen, so just invest for the long term and everything will be okay
Monday we could hit the floor
Bottom, lol, they are just starting to raise rates. Think again
Capital gains tax is mostly a scam anyway. If you buy a cow then sell it after the federal reserve plundered the nation with inflation, why should you pay a tax on “gains,” when the asset and it’s real value stayed the same…
Graham please react to Jordan Belfort , you can have leonardo dicaprio as the thumbnail for the clicks lol
One day it’s market crashing sell everything, next day it’s bull market back on buy buy buy
There is a subtle buzzing noise in the background? And it’s In the whole video, it’s annoying?
HAMSTER!
Apple and Google together can annihilate Facebook if they want to. 💥
Facebook is a horrible company. They should go to Zero.
Jokes on you graham I saw the hamster before hitting the like button
Finally! A clickbait thumbnail picture where Graham’s mouth isnt wide open……
My n!gg@, what?!?!!?……………😶……….
Nowhere near bottom…
Remember if its a value stock like tesla buy on dips… ill leave it at that
Wtf dude, I’ve been following your videos for the last fortnight or so, you post that markets will crash then you post markets are going into a bull run. Decide properly 😂
I see the cute hamster two times, so I clicked the like button twice.
You’re welcome
Byoex
🤘🦄
Good
Hello 👋🥇
So apple privacy update shook everything up!
The best
Great video! Did you use a different mic? Audio sounded different.
I buy and use Apple so people can’t track me as easily.
I did but i dont know if anyond else did hah!
Byepex
Not watching this, just came here to say you’re perpetuating toxicity in the retail market by spreading FUD or hopium( depending on day to day market conditions) to naive retail investors and maybe you should stfu and make more videos on real estate or something. Thanks.
There is some intense feedback in the audio hurting my ears 🙁 I want to listen to your sage advice, but alas it is too difficult for me. <3
i dont like you always talking and spreading nagtive and making people hopeless gandoo
If you pay your bill with Bitcoin you’re a fool for trading one of mankind’s greatest assets for food. Hodl Bitcoin; dispose of fiat.
With the Apple tracking information being removed, Warrant less searches of private information and GPS location Are no longer shared. While you’re advertising may have suffered, you’re, your personal information and security has greatly seen an improvement. Honestly the practice of sharing one’s data without consent, true consent, should have never been allowed.
One more dip then the bull run
DWAC UP 748%. 🚀🚀🚀. Market down. DWAC skyrocketing 🚀🚀🚀🚀.
sleep you look tired
Hey guys do you think we should buy meta?
Recession coming but just keep buying? I don’t know man…
Graham respond to me!! 🙏🏾
Wrong on jobs numbers
Thanks graham for pumping the same content you’ve always had and not getting into stock market videos like meetkevin
Yea but it would be nice if 25% of the vidéos he makes werent advertisements themselves. Affiliâte this affiliate that subscribe subscribe like like like brought to you by, sponsored by, click the link below
Hshhahahahahhahahaha
It’s just begun.
Tha thumbnail was confuseing
Why is this audio sound like it came from Jeremy’s channel?
I smashed the like button like I smashed your mother. You’re welcome for both
Does the 2019 inverted rate predict the 2020 recession which was triggered by COVID? Seems like an unfortunate timing, not a true prediction.
Of course👆👆👆👆
Helpline 📱 ☎️ 📞
For support and mentorship 💰💵
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Dude low key flaunting his Ford GT. My absolute dream car. Well played sir, well played.
HODL or Buy the Dip hmmmm
What’s his Te l e g r am
Asking ?
@steph monik Breykent
@steph monik Breykent ..Te le gr am ,.📧📧📧
@Miguel Stanley Thanks for dropping this information, I just sent him a detailed message on tele
I recently started trading with him. His strategies has been quite impressive.
Hi
Maaaaan, I like your content but fuckinh hate how. You push the subscribe and like button thing all the time. So needy. You have 3,5M subs. Dont fucking push me 😀
dump all shares of SARK now! Semper Fi
It’s hair-olds not her alds
It hit bottom on Jan 27th look at the monthly chart. Stocks still are goign up and down in price but not as low as Jan 27th. Buy now…
(so I can short😈)
Jkjk
Actually buy now
What happened to Graham’s lights ??
Stop making the same video, told a different way, every single damn day. You’re worse than Kevin.
I’ve never been so happy with the fact that I replaced samsung to Iphone – lucky update. I hate the idea of companies stalking me and my data, creating a profile purely to make me effectively spend money on sht I don’t really need.
Of course👆👆👆👆
Helpline 📱 ☎️ 📞
For support and mentorship 💰💵
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EVERYONE NEEDS MORE THAN THEIR BASIC INCOME TO BE FINANCIALLY SECURED. THE BEST THING TO DO WITH YOUR MONEY IS TO INVEST IT BECAUSE MONEY LEFT IN THE BANK ALWAYS END UP BEEN USED ONE WAY OR THE OTHER WITH NO RETURNS. I USED TO BE A VICTIM OF SUCH, NOT ANYMORE. I INVESTED AND MAKE STEADY PROFITS.