The Upcoming Stock Market Collapse | Round 2

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THE STOCK MARKET:

MarketWatch noted that, when the economy was NOT in a recession – the average SP500 correction saw a decline of just 15.4%…with VERY FEW resulting in a BEAR MARKET, where prices would decline 20% or more.
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/bears-beware-past-corrections-for-the-s-p-500-are-only-15-on-average-outside-of-recessions-11643664801

CNBC also analyzed 11 periods since 1990 after the SP500 declined by 10% OR MORE in a quarter…and THEY found that the index posted an AVERAGE return of 7% that FOLLOWING quarter….and, even more surprising…both the SP500 and Dow Jones have posted positive results after a 10% decline in ALL PERIODS…except during the Dot-Com Bubble.
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/02/how-dow-sp-perform-in-quarters-following-their-worst-drops.html

And, if we want to take it a STEP FURTHER…”since 1990, both indexes posted average one-year gains above 18% in the annual periods after a quarterly decline of 10% or more in the S&P 500.”
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/02/how-dow-sp-perform-in-quarters-following-their-worst-drops.html

The moral of the story is just this: when you invest, as long as you’re diversified and holding within a good company or index – the best thing you could do is just DO NOTHING. Keep holding. Stay invested.

CRYPTOCURRENCY:

1. CRYPTO WINTER:
This is when prices routinely fall – and then lay dormant for sometimes months or even years while the market consolidates. BUT, if history is any indication, most likely, a “Crypto Winter” is nothing to panic about – and, it’s just a normal part of staying invested.

2. EXECUTIVE ORDER:
The executive order is most likely going to make an appearance in the next few weeks, with the goal of developing a framework from which cryptocurrencies can operate. Bloomberg also reported that “The administration is expected to weigh in on the possibility of the U.S. issuing a government-backed coin, known as a central bank digital currency,” according to the people familiar with the talks.

In the big picture, I see regulation as a sign that they’re taking it VERY seriously, and intend for it to be a part of our long term economy…even Bank of America argues that regulation is a GOOD THING…and that, “Once rules are established, the uncertainty over how to invest in crypto will be lifted.”

THE REAL ESTATE MARKET:
Throughout the COUNTRY…rents are 14% higher year over year…and, with a lack of supply, combined with an increase in cost – rents HAVE to increase to make financial sense. Of course, it’s EASY to blame it all on GREEDY LANDLORDS TRYING TO EXTRACT AS MUCH MONEY AS POSSIBLE…but, the fact is: Increasing housing costs means the overhead and breakeven price is more expensive…and, that is reflected in rents. Labor is now more expensive, as well. Materials are backlogged and sometimes cost double or triple what they used to.

Since so many rental agreements are beginning to expire and renew…IF you’re in a position where you’re renting and want to keep your costs fixed…do your best to shop around, negotiate with your landlord, lock in a longer term upfront, and be as indispensable as possible.

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