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In terms of where we currently stand, a Guggenheim analyst suggests that stocks could be poised to decline 45-75% from their peak…much like the collapse of the internet bubble…all because of a delayed reaction from the federal reserve to keep raising rates until it’s clear that inflation has gone away.
This also coincides with a term known as the “Bullwhip Effect” – because, when businesses order inventory…they do so by forecasting demand, shipping costs, and prices. Although, when businesses order more…manufacturers order more…so, suppliers make EVEN more…eventually leading to a point where there’s a MASSIVE SURPLUS in excess of what the markets can handle.
That, in combination of slowing demand, and higher interest rates, is causing the market to fall at a pace that we haven’t seen since 2020 – and NOW – retailers are warning of STAGFLATION CONCERNS, where inflation persists, during a time where growth is low, and unemployment is rising.
According to CNBC, these are the 7 Categories that will need to turn in order for us to see a recovery:
One: Housing.
Redfin says that in April, just 60.7% of home offers written by its agents faced competing offers, compared to 63.4% a month earlier and 67.4% a year ago.”
Second: The Automotive Industry
Used car prices have fallen 6.4% since January…and, as supply chains begin to normalize throughout the next year – values could begin to “reverse” – pun intended.
Third: Labor
Earlier in the year, there was a concern of a “Wage Price Spiral,” where employees would have to earn more, to pay for the products that cost more, leading to employees that earn more…repeating the cycle over again. But, with widespread layoffs and declining wages…a spiral looks less and less likely to happen…
Fourth: International Turmoil.
For the time being, we’ve seen commodity prices like oil and grains skyrocket…leading to brand new record gas prices across several states. That, of course, increases the cost of shipping, travel, transportation, and everything else that makes up inflation readings, leading to a greater likelihood of more rate hikes.
Fifth – Higher Freight Costs, which lead to higher prices getting passed on to consumers. It’s said that these costs will NEED to begin slowing down…if we’re to get inflation under control.
Sixth: Airfare fares are also increasing, leading to less travel, less spending, and the fears that this may contribute to an upcoming recession.
And FINALLY…SEVENTH…consumer spending will need to see a comeback, because – throughout 2022 – rising prices are deterring buyers, and leading to low..or, in some cases….NEGATIVE growth.
As far as my own thoughts about this, and how I’m investing…I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again: the term “Riches Are Made In Recessions” is a perfect motto to live by.
The fact is, the best times to buy tend to be the times where EVERYONE thinks it’s a bad idea to buy, and things can get worse…if the market isn’t preparing for something to go wrong, be worried that MAYBE it’s higher than it should be, so don’t fear drops like this.
For business or one-on-one real estate investing/real estate agent consulting inquiries, you can reach me at GrahamStephanBusiness@gmail.com
*Some of the links and other products that appear on this video are from companies which Graham Stephan will earn an affiliate commission or referral bonus. Graham Stephan is part of an affiliate network and receives compensation for sending traffic to partner sites. The content in this video is accurate as of the posting date. Some of the offers mentioned may no longer be available. This is not investment advice. Public Offer valid for U.S. residents 18+ and subject to account approval. There may be other fees associated with trading. See Public.com/disclosures/
This period Making a good profitable investment should be in every wise individual’s list.
I’m currently about 80% through “Playbook to Millions by Grant Cardone. I have read a lot of entrepreneurial books and self improvement books, and this new book is my absolute favorite. This book is extraordinary and really gets you to work extremely hard toward your goals in life and succeed at multiple different areas like career, investing and business negotiation. This is an absolute must buy if you need a push to get you going in business or you want more out of life during recession
I don’t know what all the fuss is about. The market cycles and what we are going through is part of the cycle. Go outside and ride some trails, go fish, go for a hike, enjoy nature and relax.
You are awesome Graham, just like DAN, GUY and Ben J, but I lost at all the commercials and dropped out.
I’ve sold all my bitcoins last november and just waiting to buy the dip and never touch the market ever again.
Trading has been a hit on my mental health, Can’t wait to just to relax in a few months.
Bro, the only thing out of control is your clickbait.
He’s right. I bought a house during May 2020. The peak of the recession. I got the home for 120k and it is now work 270k. Yeah I’m about to invest 1k in the market tomorrow.
$PSTI have been able to preform well in this terrible year for the market. Would love to get a video on them.
DOOM AND GLOOM!!!!!!
buy puts
Are you seriously saying that the Russian war is affecting our gas prices? It was clearly an issue well before this stupid proxy War
Fake rally. A trap.
Can you make a video on vanguard being horrible? You tell us to invest in vanguard index funds but I can’t open a new account cause apparently these asscans haven’t fixed a glitch in creating actts since last year.
Chat me up ☝️☝️
Tell that to my nio stock
Test
Dude I know you’re probably right but please I’ve got calls that I need to be in the money, give me some good news dear god
Hit me up✍️✍️✍️
In need of a second opinion. My fiancé and i bought a house in Austin, TX back in january. We locked in our price at 395k back in march 2021, and a rate of 3.5%.
We pay about 2400 (mortgage + prop taxes a month) and are renting a room out for 750.
between my fiancé and I we pull in about 13.5k a month pre tax and have a lot left over to either throw at mortgage/invest. I have maxed my roth for the year, and am throwing 15% in 401k. she is currently throwing 300/month in roth and 250 in a 403b account, while paying off a car at a 3% interest rate.
my question to all who can throw some advice, is where should we put the extra $$ we have left over every month?
invest/hoard cash/throw extra at mortgage, or pay off car? i don’t feel like the house or car are on a bad interest rate, and stock market just seems to keep going down. what do y’all think?
Any advice i’d appreciate, only 24 and 25 year olds here, so still tryna figure this all out 🙂
Dump that rapidly depreciating house and bloated mortgage while you still might find a buyer.
Gold and silver bars. It might be to late to buy them now.
@Mong Xeem Phab Minnesota Considering gold and silver are cheaper today than they were 10 years ago, how so?
*Destin, FL Housing Prices Crater 24% YOY As Double Digit Price Declines Blanket Florida*
This is financial advice and I never give financial advice: DONT LEAVE DURING THE BEAR. If you don’t want to invest…learn. If you don’t want to learn…build. If you don’t want to build observe. DO SOMETHING…other than leave. There is so much opportunity here. Take advantage!
Coca Cola is relatively stable even in market downturns.definitely buy even if you are down.cha ching cha ching. Warren Buffett loves Coca Cola.
Disney has been going through hell but they are going to pull through and become even stronger if anything.
I could only buy during recession.
Chat me up ☝️
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