#Fed #Inflation #Recession
T. Rowe Price Capital Market Strategist Tim Murray joins Yahoo Finance Live anchors Brad Smith, Julie Hyman and Brian Sozzi to discuss Fed policy, inflation, recessionary risks, supply chain issues, and the labor market.
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Let’s go mr.power
FED chooses neither
Transitory 🤡
Persistent.
📉📉📉📉📉
It’s not coming down you had more then enough chances to change. A body can’t survive without blood the earth needs oil back in. globally next I will save the last oil in the earth Noone will find oil anymore soon oil will be a issue forcing the to change regardless what anyone think the tool are in place no government has control of the electricity globalizing its transforming all current building just disconnect main source of electricity. And let systems running electricity wireless will take control they source is available to all countries if you build a building that is on the country to build it doesn’t need to be with all high tech it is simple it just need a source of energy to be open to receive electricity. This is a free electricity system globally on behave of I god of God’s any attempt to profit in this will cause me shutting of and blocking the electricity of to those that do such thing if someone in power trys such thing it will cause your entire country with no electricity free is free but u God of God’s don’t charge anything but if someone trys to won’t succeed cutting off electricity to your people will bring issues upon yourselfs this is need to be to secure self sustainability in every country. Who else more then the creator to have control I am freedom free will but the consequences are greater impact if fail to obey I the creator God of God’s.
Yahoo 👎
Mass layoffs will get the job done.
More Homelessness
This is a wrong move. Fed is only looking at the data rather than seeing what is driving behind the data and the whole picture. Supply is retreating while demand is strong. This is stagflation in the short term signaling deflation around the corner. You must quickly react to fight stagflation by increasing supply before it is too late. Once deflation sets foothold, it will be more costly to solve it. Powell is wrong. This stagflation is caused by external factors and not internal factors within the US economy. You fight external factors working against the economy by increasing supply especially energy supply lowering the cost of production. Rate must stay as is by using it as a known known. Strategic oil reserves must be released aggressively while injecting tax incentives to oil companies to increase domestic petroleum production and allowing fracking. Environmental concerns must be delayed for the short term as supply is fragile threatening the demand. This is known unknown in its impact in rectifying energy supply. This surge in energy supply must support the demand to hold firm. Federal Reserve does not get it that it cannot act unilaterally in this fragile times. The Congress must inject tax incentives to energy companies rather than spending war time level funding to Ukraine. Focus on domestic economy first and address everything else later. GDP is not something anybody especially Federal Reserve to mess with by increasing interest rate and subsequently hampering growth at this time. Federal Reserve must pressure Congress to increase energy supply rather than acting unilaterally increasing interest rates to get recession to arrive earlier than expected.
Brandon and his handlers aren’t about to increase energy output… they’ll probably spend a trillion dollars on batteries and windmills.. but oil and gas, what we desperately need, no.
Powell knows he cannot control supply side, he’s said it repeatedly. Energy is the job of congress maybe they fix it maybe they don’t but the FED cannot (should not) intervene in fiscal policy unless it wants its credibility and independence to be permanently shattered. Powell has to play with the hand he’s dealt and only has 2 goals, stable prices and full and inclusive employment. Powell cannot increase supply so he must decrease demand to meet the constrained supply, he’s said that 20 times in the past few months.
If Powell cannot influence supply side, why is he the Fed Chairman?
@A K huh? You think the fed can print oil and grow wheat? What fed chair could ever do that?
You need to plan for a minimum of 100years thats how i do things up to 1,000 years
I want to jump on this before prices go up and incestors and share holders get used to a huge cash influx n i cant fet things lowered back down hence why the government and ruler should own everything in the nation and users in forgein nations
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Nobody needs this junk.
Powell is way behind the curve and can’t do his job right..get rid of him. Now
Thank you
Inflation is what should be controlled, let these false prophets be destroyed…Let their fraud cause their downfalls
The FED knows. They aren’t committed to “attacking ” inflation. I have been trying to stick with index funds. I feel these new interest rate hikes could crash this economy. I’m looking out for a better-investing strategy, I have a lump sum in a savings account yielding next to nothing.
@James Bernard where can I get the link?
My savings have been almost fully invested in stocks, as of today they gains from 2019,2020, 2021 have been almost wiped out – so today I am poorer, and I cant retire early and I can’t buy a new Tesla SUV and a new home, for which I was planning… (I spend my entire paycheck to pay for the daycare for my 3 kids!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!)
@Cornelius Chika Link below
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Savings account = Bad decision
Invest that money….a savings account has been a joke for a few decades now
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We need to protest the fed people need to stand against them.. the people is the only way to stand against what they are doing… if no one makes noise then they will keep sinking the economy
this dude fucked it up royally he manipulated the market so badly he didnt let it take its organic course. because of him I lost 800k usd
It’s done. Going down.
Fed is useless and always has been. They just can’t get it right.
END THE FED
What resolve? Interest rates need to be above inflation rates to crush it. Can anyone see them doing this?
It seems like .5 interest rates are a big deal while inflation is hitting at 8.3% annually. Does not even make a dent yet the stocks are diving. I don’t see how this ends well.
High-interest rates will destroy the stock market.
@Rico Suave Good, it’s a bubble and will pop. Hopefully along with every other bubble as well.
The economy has been run irresponsibly for the past few decades… Going 30 Trillion in debt, having uncontrolled immigration, and having insanely low interest rates was never sustainable… Pure selfishness from those in DC not caring about the future of the country or future generations.
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Biden is the worst administration
With the pace of inflation devouring the US and the rest of the world, the economy is on the verge of a terrible recession, and no one seems to care. A Chinese proverb says that a tiger kills an elephant by biting it every day and that the economy is deteriorating as time passes.
This has an impact on everyone, whether directly or indirectly. For example, investments or stocks keep their value quite well, but I’m still considering whether to liquidate my $113k worth of equities or stay on to them since I’m afraid they may lose value.
@Fred Gallag It’s critical to be cautious of economic hazards while making any major financial choice. Smart planning, time management, and getting financial guidance may all help you keep your money and yourself secure.
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@chris We keep the hopes alive…. Inflation is everywhere.
Dirty sock full of ice cubes
They’re both of the same thing lol
Overly stimulating the economy while interest rates are zero, always proves to trigger high inflation. When has it ever proven different? If we don’t relax we’ll look like Germany after WW1.
Tim Murray made good points
The Fed can’t save the USA stock exchange because it’s a BLACK HOLE created by fiat $ currency.
The good old days of cheap Fed money through QE are over. Before buying any stock make sure the Price to Earning PE is less than FOUR !?! The 99% of S&P500 are living on borrowed time and money with very high or no PE even after the mini crash !
You cannot solve supply side inflation with an economy that has not recovered from the pandemic….simple…fix the economy get back to work
According to the latest number we have the lowest unemployment numbers since 1965. Who’s not working?
I made a video on my channel this week about Jerome Powell and who is really is. 😉 It might be helpful to you.
its not ironic that inflation spiked around a year after all the funny money printed for stimulus checks and bailouts from lockerdownerism. Get out of any debt you have asap, because when august comes and the farmers pass on all the high fuel prices /fertilizer prices to us consumers we will need as much money as we can use to buy the basics. FJB
Biden re-entered the Paris Climate Accord; canceled the Keystone pipeline; halted leasing programs in ANWR; issued a 60-day halt on new oil and gas leases on federal lands and waters; he directed federal agencies to eliminate all supports for fossil fuels; he imposed new regulations on oil and gas and methane emissions —you’re telling me that had no effect
Mr. Powell says inflation is his top priority, talk is cheap. If he was serious interest rates would be substantially higher already. Stop delaying the enviable, we need Mr. Roaker raise interest rates substantially now.
This is what smart people have been warning of. Money printing leads to debt, high prices. When the Government has to act they risk hurting a lot of people as everyone’s costs go up without an increase in wages, savings or trade surpluses. The Fed created this mess and now the people are suffering.
How about removing tariffs on Chinese goods to ease inflation ? That’s one easy fix
How does that kill demand? Inflation happens when demand exceeds supply
@Darren Prior You can also kill inflation by flooding the market with goods. ( Increase supply so much that demand falls below available supply )And only China has the production capacity to do that . But for that the US needs to remove tariffs on Chinese goods imposed by the last administration .
@Isaac But removing the tariffs isn’t going to ‘flood the market with goods’ is it. That’s not the problem. The problem is the goods can’t get to the customer. Having said that I I work in the furniture business and deal with many of the main furniture retailers in the US and they’re all telling us that demand has died off and they now have an overstocking issue, coupled with massive demurrage charges due to stock sitting on ships that they have no room for. They over-ordered. Same problem with Amazon, Target and Walmart.
@Darren Prior You have a good point. I agree 👍
@Isaac Cheers. However I’m still unsure of the answer. My hunch is that the fear of inflation has been way overblown and if the overstocking v demand drop is real, then we are in for deflation – not inflation. The cure, they say, for high prices is high prices. Logically if you get too greedy customers will vote with their feet, especially if essentials such as food and oil are killing them. My experience has been that businesses tend to over-order during the good times and over order even MORE when there is an uncertainty in delivery times. If the furniture business is any indication, that human nature has just repeated itself. I think the Fed needs to just let this thing sort itself out and not go nuts with the rates. The jawboning (with little action) is already killing the stock market which will filter down to lower demand just on its own (reverse wealth effect) and then we’re going to be staring at lowering rates -not raising. But what do I know?
Financing the Regime: More likely the Federal Reserve has to finance the huge National Debt and Deficit Spending of the Regime than anything else.
if they are seen as not serious against inflation, they will lose the fight against inflation.
DEFUND THE FED, CUT FED PENSIONS = REDUCE INFLATION, THATS THE BEST WAY TO REDUCE INFLATION
There’s going to be a lot cut. Austerity isn’t a situation to choose what I believe we can cut, it’s cuts everything. Social security, pensions, govt jobs, military. This is the price for fiscal and monetary arrogance.
🙍The economy policies lapse of the previous administration is 12 month to 18 month that has ended 01/20/2022, now is time to welcome the Joe Biden Democrats shithole economy policies. Let see Nov. 2020, to Dec. 2020. Democrats had 3 month planning to kill the Trump economy, In January 20, 2021 Joe Biden signed all night and day the killing of the trump economy, and we are in May of 2022. “An economic recession is starting now”
“The new economic catastrophe created by Joe Biden, Boris Johnson Japan and European Union.” Economic sanctions to Russia put in misery the economy of every country in the planet not just Russia. Welcome to the Joe Biden, European Union shithole economy. China is in high alert; INDIA, MEXICO, Brazil, ARGENTINA Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates know that Europe, Joe Biden, and the democrat can ‘not be trusted.🧑
The Administration actions to drive Russia out of Business, seems to indicate they do not care about the Inflation they seem to have caused by their sanctions?
The FED can try, but eliminating so many essential Commodities from Markets comes at a cost…..
The actions of several Administrations have been promoting Victoria Neulands War.
Until that ends we seem to be blessed with inflation?
This guy saying buy bonds is an isiot buy SQQQ which is owning volatility UVXY
Interest rates need to be at around 20% to tackle inflation not 2%.If Powell is serious about getting inflation under control he will crash the housing market and destroy the economy.The sad truth is it’s actually the right move.The can can’t be kicked down the road any longer.This will be a major recession or even a 1929 style depression.
Its all Putin’s fault
If it can not be choosen i hope fed will flip the coin to choose then it is easy 😂
U can’t fix supply chain by destroying demand. Drill 4 oil open. Pipelines fix supply
IAM WHO IAM?
well i wonder why there is so much inflation? its almost like someone printed trillions of dollars and gave it away. i wish people would stop running from the recessions. just let it happen already. we been in all this pain all this time because we just wont let a full blown recession happen. it needs to happen. when there is too much growth, there needs to be a destruction of wealth. thats how a boom bust economy works and thats what we have now days, boom bust economies.
When will people finally get it, liberal democrats ARE the problem of so many of our woes!
choose between inflation and “economy”, translation: average people or super rich and bankers. guess what every single time in history they always pick the super rich and bankers
Cooking the inflation figure is not getting the rate lower
I say we all protest outside the fed, occupy wall street style only on steroids.
Yes, that pst part is correct, at least for a while rates are going to come back down. But is it really smart to add treasuries to your portfolio for the terminal leg in this bond bull market? When yields do collapse and prices spike one last time it will be because we are entering recession and everyone is acknowledging that. But know one knows how long this last leg will last and we all know that over the next several decades bonds are going to build back all yield they lost. So do you really want to buy into a small final wheezy drop in yields at the risk of being stuck in these bonds when yields double and triple and quadruple? I don’t. I understand right now it looks like there is nowhere to hide but bonds aren’t the place to go when the music stops this time. Hope everyone reads this and understands the gravity of staying out of Treasuries.
I doubt everything govt does under Brandon.
We need Trump back.
An institution that can crash global economy but can’t be controlled by a government should not exist.
One of the silliest titles I have read….you mean the Fed has to choose between the short term benefits or long term benefits of the economy…runaway inflation is an economy and society killer
He is just doing nothing.. At the moment Biden and Democrats are interested in regim change in Russia.
And open border so they have 5+million new loyal voters.. ( illegal migrants are loyal future voters for democrats)
After if Time left then they will think about American economy and people.
This is continuing from Clinton and Obama policy.. 😇
Inflation will go up again and again until 2025 or longer.
The guy who sells bonds says “now it is time to look at bonds” …go figure
Jerome Powell does not care about the people everything is going according to plan.
Biden worst corrupt president in history he destroyed the country that was thriving even after Covid
Next week another 0.25 raise in interest rates
Powell is an impotent clown. He bubbles like a cheap suit under a little heat. I’ll believe rates above 3% with a “depressed” market when it actually happens.
Looking at the CPI yr/yr is a mistake; we should be looking at mo/mo. The rate of inflation is *already* falling, and we’re about to enter a deflationary period (until the money printer gets started again). How can no one else see this???
🧑One 76 Gas Station in Auburn, Washington, reprogrammed its gas pumps to “make room” for gas upwards of $10 a gallon, according to The Post Millennial. Gas prices have constantly risen since President Joe Biden’s inauguration. Biden has launched a “war on oil” that included ending the Keystone XL and Enbridge Line 5 pipelines. More recently, Biden canceled three oil and gas lease sales near Alaska’s coast and in the Gulf of Mexico.🙍♀
Digital currency is the future of finance, anybody still in doubt of that isn’t in touch of reality.
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if you are not making money while sleep then you are in the bad situation, just you feel numb and don’t feel it.
As you said, the fed has been the driver for 15 years. 15 years of fake bull markets. Now it’s time to pay the piper. 15 years up will take more than 4 months down to fix. Heck of a lot more.
The economic hardship,unemployment and the loss of jobs caused by covid is enough to push people into financial venture’s. Am taking a trip into investing because I’ve lost so much during pandemic and post pandemic🤔🤔
@Popoola Seyi I wanna Invest too, how do I get to Linda Bradford
My kids always tell about Crypto,and how lucrative it is in this modern age
Where did all the trillions of dollars go to?? To boost inflation? Why?
Was that a fart at minute 6:08?
Their going to kill the economy either way. The question is are we going to face hyperinflation or sovereign debt crisis. Why does no one connect the dots?
Anything nominated by Donald Trump you need to dispose of when you come into office. Mistake number one Biden. Postmaster General, get rid of him too… Anything tied to Donald Trump will undermine your administration.
This is too little too late… This guy was appointed by Donald Trump and why would you keep him Biden; he’s a lawyer not an economist.🤔 Biden should have cleaned house immediately when he got into office. Sad to say but stagflation is here to stay and Biden will be blamed for something beyond his control.
FOR RELEASE 2022-05-13
By aggregating data from many sources, we’ve developed a US misery index which excludes food, energy and inflation, as shown below:
Bankruptcies: up 33% M/M, Commercial up 34%
First-time unemployment claims: up 200k M/M
Foreclosures: up 50k M/M
Evictions: up sharply even as rents spike
Repossessions: uptick expected in Q2 2022
Domestic violence: (NA)
Social unrest: low in 2022
Job openings: apparently high, phantom openings abound
Late bill payments: 42 million Americans expect to miss a payment (including electricity) in the next 6 months
Store closures: up
Homelessness: expected to rise this summer
Crime: remains high post-pandemic
Initial conclusion:
Although one month’s data does not suggest a trend, an initial review points to a US recession in Q3 2022 or earlier. When inflation, food and energy prices are included in the index, the data points to a deep US recession imminently.
This will also impact world events and commerce.
This summary is authorized for publication by Analytical Associates of Bethesda, Maryland, LLC.
FED may be convinced that the inflation is averted when devaluation of stock and housing takes place, i.e. recession. They will keep on tightening the monetary policy, rising the interest rate, until recession will be certain. During the adjustment, they may de-prioritize the jobless rate; it will be re-visited when the devaluation hits the bottom.
Quickly ? You are way way behind the curve by at least 9 months and 4 hikes and you will crash the economy.
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@Alexander
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Didn’t the fed attacked a sitting President. So how is anyone going to trust a corrupt establishment. The fed isn’t even recognized as a branch of the US Government. Sounds like congress cronies.
If the FED chooses to fight inflation the economy will keep getting worse until it bottoms out. If the FED chooses the economy the perceived outlook will be a facade and leave 80% of Americans in financial shambles. It seems like the level playing field would be fighting inflation, the rich will still be rich, the poor will still be poor but the middle class still might have a fighting chance when it’s all said and done.
The fed won’t do anything Jerome Turned on the money printer then complained he turned it on good lord after the stimulus checks in 2021 they should have stopped payed people too much to leave work and made too little