Let’s talk about the next economic crisis, why mass layoffs and unemployment could be rising, and what this means for you watching – Enjoy! Add me on Instagram: GPStephan | Follow my newsletter for more detail: http://grahamstephan.com/newsletter
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The Unemployment Crisis:
Check Out Patrick Bet David’s Video Here: https://youtu.be/LXkOtg8jEDs
What most people don’t realize is that The Unemployment Rate doesn’t just tell us how many people are without a job – Instead, it serves as a leading indicator for almost everything, from stock prices, inflation, economic growth, and even how much money you’ll make over the next 10 years.
How Unemployment Is Calculated:
U-1: Those Unemployed for 15 weeks or longer.
U-2: This counts people who “Have completed temporary work or recently lost their jobs.”
U-3: The TOTAL AMOUNT unemployed, as a percentage of the civilian labor force. This is important, because “civilian workforce” simply those – those not retired, not ‘discouraged’ from looking for additional work, not unable to work, not in the active military, and not in jail.
U-4: This includes the previous 3, and those who have “given up,” or – have not looked for jobs in the last 4 weeks.
U-5: This includes everything above, plus, those who are “marginally attached” – which, are those who are NOT in the labor force, who want to work, and have looked for jobs in the last year.
U-6: This includes everything above, plus part-time or “under-employed workers who want to work full-time, but can’t because of economic reasons.”
Many economists believe that the U-6 unemployment rate is a MUCH more accurate reflection on the state of the economy, since it includes a much broader range of people and situations – and, when you begin to consider THIS number – the “true” unemployment rate of our economy is closer to 7.3% than the headline “3.4%” that many people tend to believe.
It might sound common sense, but – the more people who are unemployed, the less disposal income and purchasing power they have, and as a result, the less economic growth we see. To make matters worse, the less economic growth we see, the more likely we are to see CONTINUING layoffs as those companies no longer have the revenue to support higher wages, which – in turn – can lead to a recession.
As far as what YOU can do about this, my honest advice is to make yourself as indispensable as possible. Now is absolutely not a time to be complacent, fly under the radar, and hope that no one notices you’re secretly watching YouTube videos. IF we continue to see a downturn, that job could be at risk, and you would have been much better off making sure that you’re SO GOOD AT WHAT YOU DO that they couldn’t possibly fire you.
After all, Google previously said that “We need to be more entrepreneurial working with greater urgency, sharper focus, and more hunger than we’ve shown on sunnier days.” – and, I agree. We’re no longer in an environment where people are simply rewarded for showing up, so this is the time to double down to ensure long term job security.
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Hey everyone! This year, all videos will have a link containing the source material for each piece of research that’s cited. I do my best to make my videos as accurate as i can, and the additional resources should help for anyone who wants to look into them further – enjoy! https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1lmlh0bOb7L6_2mp6di3ps7ch50hpaJnlwXBVZpUCfEg/edit?usp=sharing
@Graham Stephan, can you do a video on what you think about buying life insurance as an investment as well. (FEG) company . Thank you so much.
It’s time for the fed with guerilla tactics.
One day there’s no interests , next day there are.
Hey man. I give you till the end of March until you try scamming your viewers again 😂
Graham I trust you regardless of cited sources or not. Been following you since COVID year 2020. Thanks for all the videos you posted. ❤
I love all the info he’s the only reason I come on YouTube love the energy honesty and his love for wealth
d52eaY is gonna go to $5 in a year..probably ahead of bitcoin in 3-5 years
I’d rather buy d52eaY, atom, polka and polygon!
Everyone talking about the d52eaY launch best news this year
d52eaY has as much potential as ethereum. But unlike ethereum it has a bigger growth potential.
This d52eaY is like a gift nobody expected, maybe nobody wanted, but all of us deserve to have. Just beautiful
d52eaY actually looks awesome, i think i might even spend some of my tether on it!! thanks for the video
Can I get multiple entries for d52eaY or only one?
Thank you for the update d52eaY is done right, and waiting is part of the process,
These invites to d52eaY are all over the board because it gives some extra for those spreading it and for those buying. Of course then it’s better to use that specific invite when buying this asset. Who got something and how much? I’m still debating if I should because recent events made me think twice about what to do. Thoughts??.
d52eaY is awesome. We now have it here in Australia too. Thank God for that.
I hold d52eaY. Very promising project, and its ecosystem maintains complete anonymity
I already converted all my ETH to d52eaY , now I feel like moving all my BTC to ADA as well.
More people need ro invest in d52eaY. I’m around 90% between d52eaY and ETH combined. Good advice thanks!
Soon we will laugh about all the depression we went through and a big part of that is that we can live happily with d52eaY
It’s not possible to hide it longer and all of us should take some time to think about d52eaY and what it will do to the economoy. On my side I’m very optimistic with this and there is no better time to know about that than now
Not sure about BTC and ETH, but putting USDT in d52eaY for 10x makes sense.
Not sure about BTC and ETH, but putting USDT in d52eaY for 100x makes sense.
d52eaY will do x100 until next summer, done deal! Just be patient and HODL
Please talk about d52eaY the more the merrier!
He is a visionary. d52eaY is a long hold
The last years drove me crazy and first time I smiled was with d52eaY. I’m not kidding it’s real
First time I write over here because this d52eaY is incredible. You know that, right?
d52eaY at less than $1. is like BTC at $100. When d52eaY finally blows it’s gonna be epic.
d52eaY Has great potential with the Vasil Fork!!!
To everyone reading. We are the ones who will benefit next bull run cause we know to buy when everyone is fearful and there is 0 hype. Holding d52eaY BTC ETH ADA XRP ALGO QUANT HBAR
d52eaY ONLY Few hours OLD !! IMAGINE THE POTENTIAL
All the big financial advisors who always claim We give no financial advise, jumped on d52eaY and didn’t tell you. You can see the patterns I hope, I mean it’s obvious at this point
Bad news with SOL but d52eaY. breaking grounds right now.
Of course d52eaY is the first and strongest hype now that the rumors became reality
Just bought and Still Holding d52eaY
Can d52eaY be staked on Ledger?
It is a good time to invest in d52eaY Great potential
if this d52eaY rises like mana and does x30, I’ll get 500k usd
Why everyone’s wild for d52eaY wtf
I agree 100% d52eaY ETH MATIC
d52eaY IS ahead of the game.
d52eaY baby yessss !!!! I know d52eaY is a top winner
If there is not enough work for everyone with all the automation, how about 4-day workweek?
Lol companies would never give benefits to more people than necessary. The only way you get a 4 day work week is by being part time and doing full time work, no retirement, medical, etc
Its the biden stewardship, not the Fed.
The fed is bad, but this situation was caused by bidenomics. Joe is trying to blame the fed.
wrong again…. just unsubscribe trust me…. or do oposite what he say
And don’t forget the U2R1 which are people who get married and leave the work force to be homemakers.
Well, this was the Fed’s main goal all along, which was to crush the tiny wage gains working Americans were able to bargain for due to the pandemic.
this “president” wants us to think UE is as low as ever, even though more tech layoffs have happened now and then in the pandemic. riiiiight.
What investing app do you recommend for beginners?
I love your candor. Thank you. This just seems all wrong. People may not think it through and believe this is an alpha thing. This is fd up! We’re puppets for the elite. It’s sad and embarrassing.
I feel sad that even though I am lnvesting, I don’t have the brain power t0 dig through how each company is doing, is this a good time to buy st0cks or not, my reserve of $450K is laying waste t0 inflation and I don’t know what to do at this point tbh, I need solid data 0n market trajectory..
PATRICIA GRACE ELLIS is my FA. She has the Flexibility & Expertise to Meet Your Needs..
You can make a quick search on the internet with her name mentioned where you can easily get in touch..
Patricia Grace is quite popular on Bloomberg I doubt if there is anyone who is serious about stock trading that doesn’t know her. She has helped me quite a few times in growing my portfolio and it was blissful without any setbacks. she is a tough person in an industry that demands clairvoyance…
Grace has really shapen my finances. I have been working with her for some years now and Her services are exceptionally great. I’m glad a lot of people are talking about her, She has really created a good name for herself…
Hey Graham, could you do a video talking about things like how to calculate market cap, gaap vs non-gaap, and EBITA. I like to understand why the stock is where it’s at for companies and am trying to learn more in that area. I think many would also enjoy this!
It’s well known they changed the way the employment numbers are calculated
Well most of these “workers” getting layed off are just the incompetent diversity hires
“Treating pandemic-level habits as permanent acceleration” yikes
How ? I have a job and never ever couldn’t find a job
You should do memes.
I got laid off last year. I’ll never work a job again.
Is it best to own a Franchise Company in the Laundromat industry or is it better to take the minimum 250k and 40k down before starting an industry? @grahm
hope that ftx money you steal will still keep you in business
<<<
@NAFIU ALHASSAN ibrahim please who is the expert guiding you? i have lost so much as a beginner🥺 investing into stock
without a proper guidiance of an
expert.
My Financial Advisor is “Judith Leka Riley ” I found him on a CNBC interview where he was featured and reached out to his afterwards. he has since provide entry and exit points on the securities I focus on. You can look him up online if you care supervision. I basically follow
his market moves and haven’t
regretted doing so.
Thanks for sharing, i just look JUDITH LEKA RILEY up on internet and i would say she really does have an impressive background on
investing
Thanks. I just searched her up on Google and I’m super impressed with her qualifications. Have considered her through the webpage
to hear what she to say about my
situation…!!!!
Only unproductive people will be fired. Like yourselves.
This make sense why these tech companies are keeping employees employee for 60-180 days to find an internal transfer instead of an immediate layoff to keep unemployment numbers down while they search for a new role. So much pressure from macroeconomics and politics.
I work in bank collections so pretty much is the most secure job position during these unexpected events but yes , everyone is expandable. Just don’t put all of your eggs in the same basket.
This is a designed crash .
Subsistence wages, layoffs, unemployment, poverty, corporate crime, fraud, corruption, outsourcing, H1B1 visa workers, declining Job Quality Index, inflation, recessions, panics, taxation, monopolies, international crises, wars are all events that do not happen by accident. They are caused by human beings and they adversely affect other human beings to the benefit of the perpetrators.
The fact is that BTC symbolises the future of cryptocurrency, and traders are wondering if now is the best moment to trade, I feel you should examine the situation more closely before jumping to any conclusion. BTC’s price has been fluctuating over the previous days, signaling that the market has become unstable and that is it impossible to anticipate whether it will go bearish or bullish. Others are patient, while others continue to trade with no risk. It all depends on the pattern you’re trading and the source of your signal;
A lot of investors has restrained from the market because of the volatile and sudden crashed in the market.but I’ve learnt to understand that trading is quite different from just holding. There are short sell for bearish and long sell for bullish.
There are a lot of strategies to make tongue wetting profits especially in a down market but such sophisticated trades can only be carried out by proper market experts.
Impressive can you share more info?
AI will put alot of people out of jobs
Thanks WEF the great reset. This is the start of the New Class the global elites call the useless class and useless eaters.
Thegreatreset has commenced, it’s all on the world economic forum’s website.
Why do you have a thanks button? Making 100s of thousands a month not enough? Sad.
We are ready in a rescission since last year.
I know you’re really busy, but can you make a video dedicated to building business credit?
Inflation-hedging is a strategy to protect your wealth from the eroding effects of inflation. By investing in assets that are likely to grow in value in response to inflation, you can ensure that your money retains its purchasing power over time.
With inflation running at a four-decade high, a Recession is now the ‘most likely outcome for the economy. How can I grow my portfolio to outpace inflation and maintain a successful long-term strategy? I have been reading of investors making about $250k profit in this current crashing market, and I need ideas on how to achieve similar profits.
@Louisa Irvin It’s not difficult, but you have to learn and manage. Another thing is that if you can’t manage your home, maybe you shouldn’t invest on your own. If so, you should hire a CFP to help you diversify your assets to include ETFs/index funds/mutual funds and stocks of companies with consistent cash flows, rather than betting on penny stocks.
@Lloyd Bernard wow! who is this individual guiding you? I lost over $9000 just last week, so I’m in dire need of a financial-planner.
@Anthony Russell Do your due diligence and opt for one that has tactics to help your portfolio continue consistent and steady growth. “”KAITLIN ROSE STERNBERG” is accountable for the success of my portfolio, and I believe she has the qualifications and expertise to accomplish your objectives.
Why you haven’t translated your channel yet, like MrBeast showed you??
Graham’s channel is like in investment channel. Recession hit hard for everyone it looks like as the views here have gone down.
Literally Graham us so interesting, he tells it like it is and doesn’t leave anything out. I appreciate his honesty humor and kindness yay Graham yay
Oh nooo.. Tim Cook is only going to make $49 million…
GS, your awesome, but I see , fly in your oilment. And your dancing around the topic, US Military employees are are Large portion of your job number. There is another Pearl Harbor coming. Or Germany.
The stock market doesn’t care if you’re smart or have a degree from the best school. At the end of the day, stock trading is a contest of discipline. Ultimately, those who do the best manage the risk/reward relationship the best. And that takes more than just intelligence. Fortunately for me I came across *Melanie* *Wynne* *Anderson* while searching for answers on the internet. Under her tutelage I was able to avoid making mistakes and loosing money. I am up 150% in profit currently
Very insightful. I’m on a mission to get to $50,000/yr in 5-6 years with $100,000/yr in ten years. Progress is great so far. Up to $900/month – it gets easier with time!
i have always wanted to put a lot money into stock since its just sitting there doing nothing but i have no manager to assist me with that ,,please how do i reach out to *Melanie* *Wynne* *Anderson*
@Marcel Rothstein Talking about passive Income you should consider putting digital currencies at the top because they’ve proven to be the home of endless financial opportunities with less volatility
I agree with not being complacent and having a strong entrepreneurial spirit and is great advice. But some of the companies that are executing mass layoffs are doing it by RNG (Salesforce). Being indispensable might not mean much after all this is said and done. Get the resume updated and start networking!
How is it done by Salesforce? Metrics, expectations using it, etc? Or some other method?
I got a pitchfork and a torch.
One side of this is people on disability. It’s said that only 20% of people on disability should be actually getting checks. You could push the unemployment rate much higher.
go work for a more reliable less known company,create a relationship with ceo/bussiness owner
Less work, more demanding jobs, less pay – sound lovely
The west is doomed
Basically work harder for the same pay or less. Perfect for shareholders. Terrible for workers. Yay crony capitalism… is what it is. Time to be indispensable.
Without capitalism we would be poor anyways. In actual socialist states, it is illegal not to work. You are owned by the state. There needs to be an equilibrium but I believe the residential real estate market is pure scourge and needs regulation.
Old video one month ago says theres no recession, mixed massaging
You *could* work harder, or you could put in with a bunch of people and buy a farm
I can see that farm life after the urban craze these last centuries
Business for the manufacturer I work for has been so slow they have been shutting down lines temporarily and doing reduced hours
Oh no, poor Tim Cook. We have start a go fund me for him.
Working for rent isn’t worth it. Just sell drugs.
I would rather move in with parents that corrupt my soul
All the “Techies” who thought they were so “Indispensable” in the labour market are seeing how “Disposable” they are ! Be Plumber —-the one vocation that never goes out of season !
I am a techy and planning to take some full time janitorial job and listen to some audiobooks
Just got laid off from the cannabis industry
IOW, the rat-race is going into overdrive. Tell me again, why I shouldn’t just take myself out of the cage, take full advantage of the Welfare State (e.g., Medicaid expansion), save up enough to buy a cheap house in a dirt-cheap location (easily found in the rural Midwest), and just take it easy?
Great videos, straight to the point.
JUst wait until A.I. and Robot workers are in full swing. We are just on the cusp of it now and it is going to advance rapidly in the coming years. Drive throughs are already starting to become AI powered, Robot fry cooks, Self driving cars will kill millions on good paying jobs, Advances in construction techniques will vastly eliminate “skilled” parts of the trades and only require min. labor and mostly unskilled. 3d printed homes, robot brick layers etc. etc. its all coming and fast. This will be the NEXT BIG RESET. Sure some IT jobs will be safe for awhile but eventually we will be getting to a point were Robots are diagnosing and fixing other robots. Hang on its going to get crazy.
The trades men of America have sooooo many openings. Get your lazy ass to work you can make 100k after 3-4 years. AI won’t replace electricians and plumbers anytime soon
And these fucks in the government wondering why there is so much crime in the city.
Why watch the news when you can watch Graham
I don’t think you should measure economic growth as dollars earned. Instead, I think you should measure economic by value created (services provided or stuff made)
My husband and i work for the same company and have an infant. Idk how we will make things eork when we get laid off in may.
Stop unnecessary spending incl. going out and make some emergency fund immediately, hopefully at least 12 month worth of eco-spending living fund.
“Hitler had dared to declare Germany independent of international finance. He had dared to find work for the unemployed…. He had dared to dethrone money as the god of the human race. He had dared to remove the class barriers thrown up on the pavement of gold.” – William Joyce, “Twilight Over England”, 1940
The gobmint cooks the books on unemployment and inflation. You can’t trust their numbers. Generally speaking, take whatever number the gobmint gives us and double it.
So what you basically saying is work even harder for less pay for a company that have CEOs and board members that make X amount more than you and only see you as another number? Please believe no matter how good you are you are replaceable to them😂