What a labor market slowdown could mean for Fed policy

According to RBC Captial’s November jobs report forecast, the unemployment rate will increase to 4% with labor force participation to remain the same. Growth in ADP’s private payroll data has also shrunk in recent months. What does this mean for the labor market at large?
RBC Capital Markets US Economist Michael Reid joins Yahoo Finance’s Diane King Hall to discuss his forecast and what this could mean for the labor market and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy going forward.
“We’re looking for the headline payroll gain to come in around 185,000. But, We are looking for the unemployment rate to tick up to 4%. That would be in line with what we saw with the continued claims number ticking up throughout November,” Reid says, following up: “I think for the Fed, they’re still keeping an eye on inflation. We don’t expect them to turn their focus to labor just yet. We need inflation to come down much more in line with their target.”
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