Allan Lichtman, presidential historian and distinguished professor of history at the American University, discusses the implications of U.S. President Joe Biden’s decision to withdraw from the U.S. election race.
Kamala Harris would be in a strong position to win upcoming election, historian says
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Great news
Trump derangement syndrome in full effect here!
Lichtman says a lot of interesting thing’s but, he’s been wrong before… He’s also a big democrat. He’s got bias here. Kamala hasn’t done much during her tenure as Veep!
Third party? Tons this year. Military failure? Afghanistan. Military success? None that I can think of. No scandal? Hunter/Biden’s age cover up. Dude is willfully ignoring his own methodology, or he’s smokin’ some damn good stuff.
Yes, just like Walter Mondale and Michael Dukakis 😂😅😂😅😂
weird to compare Mondale to Trump…. nowhere close… Mondale was doing better than trump thern…..
Thanks profesor allan linchmant
The fact that he has been right so many times I tend to trust his system more then I trust polls
I was a skeptic about Alan Lictchman… literally uses his proprietary “13 keys system” and I don’t think anyone can beat him. He even applies it to working back into the 1800’s/1900’s if I’m not mistaken. The dude is a GANGSTER and doesn’t tell you what you want to hear. He sticks to his “proprietary keys system”.
Just remember he’s been screaming from the rooftops (google it) that if Biden dropped out the DEMS would certainly lose.
It’s even better than that. His system never failed even when it predicted an outcome against all odds. For example Trump in 2016.
yeah, no method is foolproof, but his method does have more merit than the polls.
What has more merit is the betting odds. Being wrong only twice since 1868.
Enough with the keys already geez
Why? The keys have been consistently right since the 70s.
😂😂😂😂
@@Arthus850 not about Gore but he tends to take credit for that also. And I believe it’s since Reagan.
@@d.d.jacksonpoetryproject Only because he hadn’t considered the electoral college at that point and has since updated his model to account for that.
@@Arthus850 that’s my point. He’s tweaking and there’s much more subjectivity than he makes it seem even in terms of how he interprets what constitutes a key. He was doubling down on how Biden should stay in and I think he was very much on the wrong track. Perhaps if Trump ended up winning in that scenario he would’ve created a “assassination attempt key” 🙂
Lichtman has his own channel, I recently subscribed to. He’s got great insights.
Did you see his recent live stream of where the keys fall now?
This man has lost his credibility.
Now he predicted Kamala to win 😅
No. He hasn’t
He said he will wait until after the DNC@@nicholasjolt6200
He hasn’t yet! Stop crying MAGA tears!!!
@@tanyaingridritchie1516 then i will vote blue 💙
Can’t stop change
Bet the house per his predictions, though Trump still a -200 favorite…
If hes wrong this time all previous years of credibilty is wiped out
Independent here who loathes both sides but this guy is the biggest flake! He says different crap that contradicts itself on different shows.
Unfortunately Trump derangement and weak emotional feelings will give us another 4 years of inflation, skyrocketing interest rates, unaffordable housing and wars! America wake up!
Trump 2024
Keys
How!!! She is the Failed CURRENT Vice President. Insulting the people. Same issues. Opèn border caused by her and Binden. Poor economy. Trump wins.
He said he hasn’t made a final prediction, so he is not changing his tune.
The keys
@@DreamArchitect😂😂😂😂 yea thE KeYzzzzzss
he has been saying its not looking good for trump…. now it’s a fact
I need some of the same weed he is smoking.
He knows Harris will lose. He failed to give a definitive answer. It says it all.
Then why is the Republican party flipping out?
@@Danny-bd1ch Your statement is inconsequential.
Your comment is inconsequential. Discuss what Allan presented in the video. and only what was presented in the video.
@@nicholasjolt6200 Nice gatekeeping troll. You reached so hard into this video for something you _wanted_ to hear just to confirm your bias. And here you are acting all smart, lol using a big word too! did the little cultist read a dictionary?
@@nicholasjolt6200 I think I will write whatever I choose too.
PAY ATTENTION AMERICANS! HARRIS’S RESUME, U.S. SENATOR, FEDERAL PROSECUTOR, ATTORNEY GENERAL, AND VICE PRESIDENT. TRUMP KILLED THE BI-PARTISAN IMMIGRATION BILL! VOTE DEMOCRATS, VOTE YOUTH, VOTE HARRIS!
Vote for vp president Kamala Harris in November!
Don’t vote for liar loser felon trump forever!!!
Kamala Harris wil win! If a felon convicted of 34 felonies can win against a distinguished prosecutor, America has no more hope!
Democrats are still delusional, Harris is even less popular than Biden.
Lose the Beatle haircut
I love VP Harris but I am voting for Trump. He’s a real manly man. Trump does not condone unlimited abortions, and he’s pro gay marriage. We don’t really know Kamala
💙🇺🇸💙🇺🇸
This guy was fluffing Biden last week, now he’s saying Harris. The keys have subjective Keys.
He is sure milking this
Clearly, you’re not a professor of history.
@@thespecialist3608😂😂😂😂
The Dems will rig it again ‼️
This man is being so disingenuous. He’s let his personal opinions cloud his judgement & as such continues to flip flop on the issue of dumping the incumbency. Good news is that we will find out at some point whether he’s right or wrong. Election Day has a winner & a loser (save for 2000).
They lose the incumbency key. That’s a lost key for Harris. That has not changed and that’s not his opinion.
Harris 2024 💙🇺🇲
Barack Obama said Harris can’t beat President TRUMP Barack obama won’t even endorse her…. TRUMP 2024.
This did NOT age well.
🇺🇸✨💙💙❤️✨✨✨Kamala Harris For President 2024💪✨✌️💫🇺🇸
Professor Lichtman better choose and predict President Trump as the victor. We don’t want that Wicked Negress winning the Presidency. 🪨🪨🪨
This guy is beginning to have Trump derangement syndrome
But this video and many many more on YouTube, just like it tells me is, nobody knows how this election is going to end up! Everybody can speculate, and have an opinion on it, but nobody really knows how its gonna end up!
The worst thing that could happen to this nation is Harris. The toxic democratic party is destroying our country.
This guy keeps moving the goal posts. What’s been the most accurate determinator of election results since 1868 is the betting odds. Being wrong only twice, in 1948 when Dewey beat Truman and in 2016 when Trump beat Clinton. Research it.
maybe they followed Professor Lichtmans theory and placed their bets given his many successes
Don’t look now but Harris is getting very close to Trump gradually in the betting odds too…and this is before naming a VP and DNC.
@zach5381 Now, go look at the swing states. Odds right now, even after the media blitz Trump leads 61% to kamala 39%. We’re in the honeymoon phase. Trump can lose another 10% and still be favored.
@zach5381 close, but as Hillary said, no cigar.
❤❤❤❤TRUMP 2024❤️❤️❤️❤️!!!! Vote for Regular Hard Working Americans !!!!
🙏🏽 Kamala Harris to be the next president.
He’s basically predicting Harris to win. Which she will. Just no more chaos from Dems.
Your comment may not age well. Remember this isn’t 2020 anymore.
allan is a trump hater never mind his system, he cant name one positive accomplishment harris made during her 3 years as a vice president. i want facts not accusations , this guy is democrat disquise as historian.
Kamale, Democrats, White House and Mainstream media hid Bidens condition for years. So we are supposed to trust Kamale a liar with a brutal track rerecord to run the country?
😂😂😂
JUST saw Ms Harris salute at the bottom of the steps. This BS tradition was started by 🤡Ronald Reagan, who did NOT serve on active duty during WW2. He was in the reserves. And NOT EVEN President Eisenhower, formerly General Eisenhower, saluted ANYONE when he was NOT in uniform. Not as President, not at all.
I voted for Joe Biden, and I will vote for Ms Harris, but the salute has to go.
Supporting Harris for President!! 🇺🇸🗳️
Okay – so how does Harris address both the Southern Border issue and Inflation? How can she & the Demos spin the narrative back onto MAGA/GOP? Also, Gen Z and Millennials – especially males – are rallying around Trump according to recent polling from Quinapeic. How can Harris make a stronger push there? Thoughts!
Trumpists have hated this guy since 2020 when he rightly predicted Biden as president! However, they loved him when he predicted old fart would win in 2016. During that time every poll and pundits said Hillary would win.
They do not lose the incumbency key because Harris is the VP. She is also an incumbent. They also do not lose the mandate key because of abortion.
It wasn’t correct in 2000. You predicted Al Gore.
Gore won the popular vote so he adjusted the keys to include the electoral college
Al Gore won. FL Supreme Court stole it for GOP. Later recounts showed that to be true.
I disagree with the ‘turn of the century charismatic leader’. She’s beginning to show signs of a charismatic leader. And I don’t see her laughing and giggling as a fault. In fact, I see it as a charismatic leader.
Hakeem JEFFRIES FOR VIC PRESIDENT
Yes I’m very concerned that some very manipulative Democrats want to have an open convention.
@@Roseequartz they should have an open convention 🙂
Lichtman lost a lot of credibility in my eyes, supporting Biden staying in the race when it was abundantly clear he was devastating democratic enthusiasm and support. It was clear Biden was heading for defeat. Now democrats have a very good chance.
Okay 😂😂.
🙏❤️
terrible beeping sound in the background. Get it together Lichtman!! You’re on tv for godsakes…
He basically says Trump still winning.
No. Check his latest stream you’ll hear him saying Harris is winning at the moment as things stand. She’s up 8 out of 13 keys, which according to his model is enouh to win. But two of the keys can still switch over to the other side in the coming months, even tho according to Allan it’s not likely. Still not impossible.
Personally I’m not sure how well this model holds up in an election year like this. We have never seen a presdential election like this ever before, so I’d still take his model with a grain of salt and see where things are heading a few months from now. A lot can still change.
seems like she is winning on the charisma key
His keys didn’t say Biden was mentally unfit. He couldn’t have won at all
Don-old Trump still doesn’t fully understand what he’s up against! 😂
I don’t think you do either…..
Yeah a complete bubble head that has absolutely no business leading anything. Not too bright just like all of her supporters.
Oh, I think he does.
He is confused
Vote Harris-trump is too old
No he isn’t.
@@MrBannystar Ya he is. Who in their right mind talks about how great Hannibal Lecter is? The “late great” Hannibal Lecter. A fictional character that never even died in the movies. Anthony Hopkins who plays Hannibal is alive too, so what is he even talking about? He’s clearly not right upstairs constantly talking about a person that doesn’t even exist.
He’s not god
And GOD doesn’t want the destruction of USA 🇺🇸
Kamala
Will
Not win
Sorry sir
You are wrong
You say that because you are another woke democrat
You are not fair
You hate Trump and you want this witch to win
But is not gonna happen ok
maybe later fade. you will see. After endorsment , fade.
Hello No. she is on a honeymoon right now they will end after democrat national convention.
Is there a key for a Convicted felon/known sexual predator, how about 4 wives?
I was wondering when he was going to make his new pronouncement after president Biden announced his stand down from reelection before endorsing Kamala Harris to replace him.
There exists evidence to charge Ms Harris in seven cases :
a. 1. Failure to Comply with Federal Law Protecting Donor Privacy > she sought donor information about her political enemies without complying with federal law designed to protect donor privacy.
—–
b. Failure to Enforce Federal Immigration Laws > [as California’s top cop] failed to enforce immigration laws and used her office to push a political agenda paid for by taxpayers.
—-
c.Failure to Pursue Equal Justice Under the Law> failed to do justice when cop killers and gang members were members of minority groups.
—-
d. Failure to Disclose Conflicts of Interest> benefited from political favoritism and is investigating whether Harris properly recused herself or otherwise disclosed conflicts of interest to the appropriate ethical authorities.
—-
e.Failure to Address Evidence of Misconduct > [as California Attorney General] ignored clear evidence of misconduct over a penal entity under her jurisdiction.
——
f. former Attorney General Harris may have been subject to numerous probes by the California Fair Practices Commission and is committed to ensuring the public is educated about such investigations.
—–
g. Kamala Harris intentionally ignored or covered up misconduct by prosecutors under her watch as well as her own close political aides.
What is the ideal of a Democrat?
Voter enfranchisement and political participation are two key democratic ideals that ensure the engagement of citizens in the political sphere. Who has the right to suffrage has changed over the centuries and universal suffrage is necessary for a nation to be considered a democracy and not a dictatorship.
She got my vote
Another genius
@@trumpnation4198scared?
This man is joke 😂😂😂 last month said Biden is winning 😂😂😂
He is giving his economic keys to the dems and the no primary comp key to Kamala. This is wrong. He is buying into his own bias and it shows. Watch the video he did with his son last week. Zero credibility.
People are tired of inflation and immigrants
Thank you Professor!
Kamala is worse and unpopular
Iam a Democrat But now voting for Trump :
Don’t fool yourself. Far Left extremists can will ?!
No military success will happen within minutes
And even if it happens these are bidens not hers
We only had Gerald ford election as incumbent Veep, that is before Alan’s system
And never a veep nominated directly
Military failures happened in Afghanistan, during Biden term
Blame Harris maybe, but inconclusive
Social unrest thank god didn’t happen
Unless you call the trump assasination attempt unrest so we will see
And therefore the most critical election depends on third party election
That is why Alan is waiting for the DNC, democrats shouldn’t do it
But even if they don’t, Harris’ position is very shaky
Shaky enough to make MAGA crazy if she wins
Which they will they will call the election stolen and they will go crazy
And if she doesn’t well, project 2025 is going to grind the election into a complete standstill halt!
Your system it’s NOT going to work this year bro, you can’t change your keys rules every time you predict someone. So get over it.
Yeah ok two weeks ago Lichtman said “Replacing Biden would be folly.
So let’s replace with the most incompetent brain dead president ever with someone even worse. Absolutely mindblowing. SMFH
The most incompetent president in the history of the country was DONALD J TRUMP .
A fraudster talking for the oligarchs.
Our Lord above is in charge .. He allows and disallows governments to do his will. Pray for our country.
Kamala Harris will be the first woman elected President of the United States!
In 2016, Hillary Clinton beat Trump in the General election. She had 65 million votes and Trump got 62 million. He beat her by 70 points in electoral votes. It is believed that Jill Stein, on the ballot as the Green Party took the votes that would have given Clinton the win. Putin also hacked a few machines
Now that Biden is out,
Kamala’s got the keys and clout.
Trump is toast. 🙂
Be living in a country like Hungary if Harris doesn’t win. Hope everyone votes.
Nephew Says Trump Suggested Some Disabled People ‘Should
Just Die’
In a new memoir, Fred C. Trump III claims his uncle, Donald J. Trump, made cruel and racist comments.
By Shawn McCreesh
269/269 thats it. The republicans take it . Visit here soon
I DISAGREE. SHE HAS THE CHARISMA KEY!
That wig…
Vote kamala
I literally saw a video of him last month saying that the Democrats biggest mistake was to get rid off Biden..now he turns around and says the exact contrary 😂😂😂
I predict that this rigid old white man will need to revise at least 3 of his keys after this election:
1. The incumbent key to convey to the VP if people like both Pres and the VP
2. If Harris is able to convey support against the genocide without AIPAC going apeshit she ought to get the foreign policy key that was eluding biden.
3. Between the youth (18-34) and PoCs, she is FDR and most certainly deserves the energy key.
The Old Man and the VP, by Ernest Hemingway
Harris for president 2024
This time he is wrong. Trump will win.
Kamala harris will win
President Harris Congratulations for a landslide win this Nov… well deserve…
America Strong…vote🇺🇸💙🇺🇸💙🇺🇸💙🇺🇸