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MARKET RETURNS:
As it turns out, the President (historically) has less of an impact on the market than most people think. Instead, the real deciding factor tends to be: Congress.
In this case, it becomes apparent that the highest historical returns come from (believe it or not) a divided Congress, where one party controls the House and the other controls the Senate. In this case, a Republican president – with a divided Congress, sees the highest returns of 13.7% – while a Democrat president isn’t too far behind, at 13.6%.
Beyond that, it seems as though a fully Republican congress (like we’ll soon have) yields the second highest returns, at 13% and 12.9% annually, regardless of who’s president, and the lowest returns come from a Republican President and a Democrat congress, at just 4.9%.
In terms of investing, the strongest returns also happen for those who invest early:
* If you invested $10K on Jan 1st of an election year, you had the best outcome 60% of the time.
* If you split the $10K into $1K each month of an election year, you had the best outcome 26% of the time.
* Finally, if you waited on the sidelines to invest after the election, you only had a 13% chance of coming out on top
SECTOR PERFORMANCE:
According to past performance, it’s impossible to determine if one sector will outperform another based on who’s in office. For example, During the Trump’s 2016 presidency, “clean energy outperformed traditional energy by 43% per year. During the Biden presidency, traditional energy outperformed clean energy by 53% per year.”
In terms of WHY this happens, an investment manager of Fidelity said: “It’s exceedingly rare that a candidate will be able to deliver on exactly what they’ve proposed once they take office. If you’re making investment decisions based on such proposals, that could be a risky way of managing one’s money.”
STOCK MARKET RETURNS IN 2025:
Obviously, stocks and cryptocurrency have absolutely rallied on news of a Trump Presidency – BUT, I’d be cautious about whether those types of massive returns are sustainable.
That’s why, I’m a firm believer that it’s a lot more prudent to look at yourself, and ask: What can I do – as an individual – to improve my overall situation right now? Is that working overtime? Is it learning a new skill? Is it finding another job? Is it ensuring career stability? Is it cutting back expenses? Is it getting rid of useless overhead? Is it investing consistently?
All of these things will have a MUCH more significant impact than tax policy and the presidency.
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Thank God for those tariffs. I predict life is going to get a lot better for everyone rich and poor.
Love it…you should do an update video now that CA prop 36 passed…go back to Cali and even come down to Huntington Beach and I can tell you what has already changed
@@desultorilypanaceayou know that Americans pay the tariffs right?
@@doom2060 yes and who cares if we pay .20 cents more if it ultimately gets China to make products here in the US
Those tariffs costs will be passed on to consumers and deportation will cost $$$. Our stock market will go up until…
Do you have a start from scratch video? Long story short I’m at basically 0 (plus debt) and trying to reduce spending to build savings. Net income right now is low because of a medical hardship and poor decisions in the past plus 1.5 income household. Trying to find a way to save our financial future if its not too late.
“I will also say, with all of that said” bro needs to quit YouTube. U fell off.
I must say you are an inspiration because I started up investing and trading as a scared investor who doesn’t want to lose money, glad to say I’m very profitable now and bought my first house through it
As a beginner, educate yourself: Learn the basics of investing and the stock market. There are many resources available online , including books, articles, and online courses. It’s a good idea to diversify your portfolio across different stocks and sectors to minimize risk.
The truth is that this is really not as difficult as many people presume it to be. It requires a certain level of diligence, no doubt, which is something ordinary investors lack, and so a financial advisor often comes in very handy. My friend just pulled in more than $84k last month alone from his investment with his advisor. That is how people are able to make such huge profits in the market
@@mariaguerrero08Hope you don’t mind if I ask you to recommend this particular professional you use their service?
@@mariaguerrero08Impressive can you share more info?
Her name is *Izella Annette Anderson* You can easily find her information to arrange an appointment.
Trump will fix everything that the liberals ruined!!!!! We are entering the GOLDEN AGE!
“Alright, so I’ve saved up a sweet 143k emergency fund (pat on my back, please), and now I’m ready to dive into this whole investment thing. This video’s title is screaming, ‘Get rich or cry trying in 2025!’ But seriously, where’s the starter kit for newbies like me? Do I YOLO into tech stocks or sip lattes while dollar-cost averaging? Help me out here, people!”
How do i make money from the market ? i want to redistribute around $200K stocks in my portfolio. what strategy should I use to maximize gains rn.
i’d advise you redistribute assets in your portfolio with the help of a pro so you don’t get burnt in the market
you are completely right, Advisors have information and paths that are not disclosed to the public.. I profited $560k in 2023 under the tutelage of my Fiduciary-counselor. Am I selling? Absolutely not.. I am going to sit back and observe how this all plays out.
pls how can I reach this expert, I need someone to help me manage my portfolio
‘Sharon Ann Meny’ is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment
Thanks, i did a quick web search and i found Sharon, i hope she responds to my mail.
Hand gestures going craaaaazy
imagine taking investment advice from this guy
$PINO IS THE NEXT BIG THING!
I’m pleased about the year-end market spike. Which hidden gems in the forthcoming bull run would you buy with $150,000 right now? My goal is to prepare myself for a prosperous first quarter in 2025.
Index funds and ETFs: 40-50%, emerging markets (e.g., VWO): 10-15%, dividend stocks: 10-20%, growth stocks/small-caps: 10-20%, and REITs: 5-10%.
To avoid getting burned, always work with a knowledgeable person in the financial market when first starting out.
“DCA DCA” is a clumsy but important phrase. My DCA dollar portfolio consists of 30% PLTR, 25% NVDA, 15% VOO, and more than 30% digital assets, owing to my CFA. This is the technique that works for my partner and myself. We’ve achieved more than 80% capital growth excluding dividends. Q3 taxable dividends for this year were $28,388.
Can you share details of your advisor? I want to invest my increased cash flow in stocks and alternative assets to achieve financial goals.
*Elizabeth Colleen Nurre* is the licensed advisor I use, she is a hot topic even among financial elitist in lower Manhattan with an aum of over 500m usd. You can Just search the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.
@@Siuliangcsc I looked her up. Based on what I read online, her track record appears to be really good. I booked a call to discuss more.
Clickbait
lets look at the wage gap over the last 30 years to determine if that extra savings for the rich will be pocketed or not lol
Does anyone know the Sniperfxbot, trading robot that made over 3000% this year? Can give me some feedback? thanks
Yet if you reject both parties and instead take a libertarian view and took your 1000 a month and intead invested in Bitcoin you would have 41,614,312 dollars .
😂
what a complete waste of time. If you’re in the comment section prior to watching this…DONT. This guy completely wastes your time.
Biggest lesson i learnt in 2023 in the stock market is that nobody knows what is going to happen next, so practice some humility and low a strategy with a long term edge.
Nobody knows anything; You need to create your own process, manage risk, and stick to the plan, through thick or thin, While also continuously learning from mistakes and improving.
If you lack market knowledge, your best bet is to seek advice or support from a consultant or investing coach. Contacting a consultant may sound simple, but it’s how I’ve managed to stay afloat in the market and increase my portfolio to roughly 65% since January. It is, in my opinion, the best way to get started in the industry right now.
Glad to have stumbled on this comment, Please who is the consultant that assist you?.
My Financial adviser is ‘’Melissa Terri Swayne’’ she’s highly qualified and experienced in the financial market. She has extensive knowledge of portfolio diversity and is considered an expert in the field. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market
Thank you so much! This is exactly what I needed right now. I wrote her an email and am waiting for her reply. Hopefully, she responds soon. I plan to start the year on a strong financial note.
What’s the impact of a fascist government?… asking for a friend.
Protecting your capital is much more important than making money. Basically because if you lose your capital, making money is much harder. ”Missing the train” vs. ”losing your money”. There are a lot of trains, but if your money is gone, it’s over. This is for stock holders.
Unfortunately, most people don’t get this, the majority is after chasing tops/bottoms where they fail & get out of the game. Therefore, in the current bear market, we should pay more attention to the risk rate of the market. We must control the risk to a minimum and improve earnings. It is best not to blindly enter the market.
Make a couple hundred and just pull out
Couldn’t imagine sitting across from this guy while he talks probably would hit you in the face throwing his hands and arms in the air.
What happens to an economy when you have mass deportation of your labor? Labor shortages? What happens when you put huge tariffs on products coming into America do you really think the companies are going to pay for it? No. The American consumer will pay for it. How can the federal reserve lower interest rates when inflation is heating up and the government deficit growing 😢💰
The price of houses is about the plummet in DC as bureaucrats flee searching for employment.
Any updates on the Dogecoin guy?
Thanks Graham, been watching for some time learning a lot from you 19 with 7,000 invested
Imo these are unprecedented times and what usually happens doesn’t necessarily apply
I want that mattress cover 👀
Ah yes… the good ole, buy both sides of the same coin strategy.
This entirely misses the massive paradigm shift going on. This isn’t the past. Everything is changing and people can feel it.
Please give updated information 🙏
Is anyone seeing the whole shift in economy? Ending income tax? USA stocking up on bitcoin? Tarrifs? This is not going to be the same at all… people still thinking of old systems.
Love the content. Hate the hands.
Sorry just came bc I’m a longtime supporter of your work and I can understand statistically there’s no difference in republic or democrats in the stock market but your are not a normal person who buys gas frequently and when trump was in office there were gas prices here of 1.70 so idk what pack you have been smoking but pass that here
I love u my dude!!!!!!
Trump isn’t a normal candidate, nor is the current “Republican” party like any other party. It’s no longer predictable in historic terms. So your take isn’t based in current reality. This is a christo-fascist takeover, not to mention the drastic swing to the far right in most other western countries as a result of the pandemic fallout. Your perspective is out of touch with current realities.
This was awesome! You honestly reported it very well and I did not feel any bias at all! I wish more people would just give the facts like how you all do!
This dude is all
About ads and hitting the like button wow
Alright, I’ve finally done it—scraped together a sweet $234k emergency fund. Now, I’m ready to play ball in the investment game. But THIS video? “Japan broke the US stock market”? Seriously? 😂 I don’t even know where to start. Stocks, ETFs, bonds… What’s next? Gold bars under my mattress? Someone point me in the right direction before I blow my hard-earned cash chasing conspiracy theories.
Id love to hear a video on the potential for a hyperwave theory playing out. Do you think we are in one regarding the markets. With a base of the peak of the dot come era being the target crash
What about real estate ?
Before watching the video. My guess is that he will recommend us to not get too excited, or too scared, and to keep plugging away at putting money away in a diversified portfolio.
I think your Facebook page Got hacked bro
I was gonna say the same
Wow! That is a load off. I have NOTHING to worry about now!
Dollar is getting too strong not good for foreign trade 😢
I think your FB page has been hacked.
Your Facebook is hacked
Take everything Graham Stephan says with a heavy dose of skepticism and study the classic economics and investing texts if you want to actually learn something.
The London Storm channel just put out an excellent video showing the emotional manipulation techniques, double talk and failed predictions used on this channel.
Your Facebook got hacked.
These are very valuable info for anybody who wants to get rich. Unfortunately, most people who will watch this video will not really be able to apply the principles. We may not want to admit, but as Warren Buffett once said, investing is like any other profession– it requires a certain level of expertise. No surprise that some people are losing a lot of money in the bear market, while others are making hundreds of thousands in profit. I just don’t know how they do it. I have about $109k now to put in the market.
I successfully trade in my own port-folio, and also follow others because I’m interested in their stra-tegies. I realized I’ve got better at managing the trader’s strategies too. There’s nothing wrong at all with having someone far more dedicated manage some of your port-folio.
Understanding personal finances and investing will most likely lead to greater financial independence. By being knowledgeable about money and investing, individuals can make informed decisions about how to save, spend, and invest their money. I know someone who made over $350k in this recession influenced market, but to the best of my knowledge, it was through a financial advisor.
who is your financial coach, do you mind hooking me up?
I personally work with Sonya Lee Mitchell. Just take a look at her full name on the internet. She is well known so it shouldn’t be hard to find her.
Thanks, I just googled her and I’m really impressed with her cre-dentials. I reached out to her since I need all the assistance I can get.
I think Graham’s Facebook account got hacked!!
Democrats talking like this is exactly what got us into this mess to begin with. “Everything fine. Don’t worry, inflation is at all time low. People can now afford more goods then ever.”
Has your fb been hacked or is the spam posts the new direction of your page?
Your Facebook page has been hacked
I want to start re-distributing my portfolio into other asset classes with that in mind. I know Trump is more open minded to trying out new things. I’m thinking of sharing my portfolio of about 300k over different asset classes. Any recommendations?
I don’t have specific recommendations, but I’d say he has a strong chance of winning. Strategically allocating assets isn’t as hard as people often think, though it does take a certain level of expertise that many everyday investors may not have. This is where a financial advlsor can be incredibly helpful—especially during pivotal market events like elections, which is often when big profits are made.
I agree. A financial advlsor can really help you re-adjust and identify blind spots that you yourself do not notice, like mine did in advising me during COVID on how the pandemic will shape things, and I made it out big and still make up to at least 20k in dividend per month.
That’s really great. I’ve tried doing some research myself to hire a financial advisor, but it’s really overwhelming. Could you recommend who you work with, please?
Melissa Elise Robinson is the licensed advlsor I use. Just research the name. You’ll find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.
Thank you for the recommendation. I’ll send her an email and I hope I’m able to connect with her.
Graham…I’ve been following you since 2001 – there is no such thing as the Democrat Party, it is the DemocraTIC party – not putting the IC is a slur… It would be like saying the ‘Republic party’ – interestingly your slides said Democratic… BTW – GDP and jobs grow more under the Democratic Party – would love to see that with the legislature included. I hope you’re right about the market – I’m an expat living in Europe and am watching the conversion rate daily. I fear that this time will be different because of the policies of Project 2024/Agenda 47. Tariffs on all imports is not going to solve the income inequality and problems with the American economy. BTW Kamala is NOT that progressive. FDR was MUCH MORE progressive than the Democratic party of today. Tax cuts and tax incentives and loans that turn to grants with certain metrics are NOTHING compared to Social Security, the GI Bill, etc.
Graham, I can’t help but notice that you base the performance solely on the S&P 500 which is not representative for the country…
Facts. I love them! Thanks.
Thanks for the great explanation Graham. The diagram showing the pendulum from Dem to Rep presidents is something everyone should see. Bottom line is living beneath your means, saving, getting out of debt, investing long term. Every 10-20 years we have something big (1987, 2000, 2008, 2020…) but we always recover. Hold the course. Be flexible. Be willing to pivot.
Trump’s policies had been viewed by many experts as more positive for the financials sector, spurring this massive rally. It’s enticing to consider purchasing some stocks, I’m contemplating investing $150k. Thoughts?
Your Facebook account got hacked?
yep…trying to get it back, FB hasn’t helped so far…
@@GrahamStephanSorry brother. FB is useless. My account got hacked too. I had to directly negotiate with the hacker. FB is useless
It looks like your Facebook has been hacked…
Guys he says to yolo DOGEcoin
Graham wth is going on on your Facebook page
I’m ecstatic with Trump’s win and the year-end market surge. Which hidden jewels in the upcoming bull run would you buy with 150k right now? My goal is to position myself for a prosperous Q1 in 2025.
It’s best if you buy growth/blue-chip/large caps stocks only. Also, as a newbie its advisable you work with an investment advisor to help set up a well-structured portfolio.
That makes sense. I’ve been using a financial market expert for two years now and I own a six-figure diversified portfolio from investing in stocks. I want to diversify more this year, though.
@@PatrickLloyd- Could you kindly elaborate on the advisor’s background and qualifications?
Sharon Ann Meny is the licensed advisor I use and i’m just putting this out here because you asked. You can Just search the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.
I just googled her and I’m really impressed with her credentials; I reached out to her since I need all the assistance I can get. I just scheduled a caII.
Trump’s policies had been viewed by many experts as more positive for the financials sector, spurring this massive rally. It’s enticing to consider purchasing some stocks, I’m contemplating investing more than $300k. Thoughts?
If you are trying to time the market in 2024, you have not done the requisite research to be investing. (In my opinion)
Testing to see if Graham will respond… This happens again and from what I remember it worked before.
On Kamala being the most liberal: I don’t think you can truly be on the left and simultaneously fund a genocidal right-wing apartheid ethno-state. I believe the establishment Democrats are more center-right than left. With the Overton window shifting because of how far-right the right is, it would appear that Kamala is super liberal, but I don’t think so. We deserve candidates focused on the needs of the working class, which unfortunately neither of these parties offer.
How come no news in the last few days about how the trump stock market rally is collapsing?
When you say diversify.. what does that mean?
Oh please Graham we all know business owners are NOT going to invest it into the workers.
Sure didn’t want to talk about the more recent ,previous presidents. Obama. This dude voted for Kamunism. I can smell it.
A lot of news have been going on about a rally after the election, urging investors to watch out for stocks that would be experiencing significant growth. Any idea which stocks to put on my watchlist?
These days, the market is full of shocks, so it’s best to follow expert advice.
Because of these uncertainties, I don’t rely my assessment on a “heresay.” Before I saw any notable returns in 2020, I was holding garbage stocks, but I was fortunate enough to have a professional help me restructure my portfolio. My ROI has increased by around 320% so far. Four years and counting have passed. We’re not far from our seven-figure ballpark objective, which my advisor and I are working towards.
Can you share details of your advisor? I want to invest my increased cash flow in stocks and alternative assets to achieve financial goals.
Her name is Annette Christine Conte can’t divulge much. Most likely, the internet should have her basic info, you can research if you like
Thank you for the recommendation. I’ll send her an email and I hope I’m able to connect with her.
TRUMP IS NOT REPUBLICAN OR DEMOCRAT HE IS THE FIXER SHAKER WILD CARD !
Facebooks hacked
Just posting on all platforms I following you on
I do appreciate that he said my prediction rather than spreading more rumors and big click bait titles
I lost over $80k when everything started to tank. Not because I was in an exchange that went belly up. I was just stupid to hold and because that’s what everyone said. I’m still responsible. It just taught me to be a better investor now that I understand more of what could go wrong. It took me over two years of being in the market, I’m really grateful I found one source to recover my money, at least $10k profits weekly. Thanks Charlotte Grace Miller.
I’m surprised that you just mentioned and recommended Charlotte Miller, I met her at a conference in 2018 and we have been working together ever since.
The very first time we tried, we invested $1400 and after a week, we received $5230. That really helped us a lot to pay up our bills.
She is my family’s personal broker and also a personal broker in many families I’m United States, she’s a licensed broker and a FINRA AGENT in United states
I’m new at this, please how can I reach her?
I just withdrew my profits a week ago, To be honest it was an amazing feeling when the profits hits my wallet I wish I could reinvest but, too much bills
what age do you think is fit for starting to invest.
Trump has been elected, I had no idea!
Graham great think peice as usual, Have you been working out 0.0
Yo i think your facebook is hacked
It looks like your FB got hacked
Crash or no crash, when everything is pushing ATH, it’s time to start trimming some of the fat and increase dry powder. looking at the growth projections of 7-figure portfolio I can’t tell where the market is headed, Do i hold on or perhaps I should just sell off assets and avoid the panic?
Don’t sell everything, just raise some cash so you can go shopping if and when a correction or crash takes place.
”DCA DCA” is the sloppy term but the key. My dollar portfolio i DCA with is made up of 30% PLTR, 25% NVDA, 15% VOO and over 30% in digital assets, thanks to my CFA. This strategy is what works for my spouse and I. We’ve made over 80% capital growth minus dividends. Q3 taxable divs this year was $18,388 this year.
wow!! this is impressive.. how can i reach this advisor if you don’t mind me asking?
I’ve stuck with ‘’Sophia Irene Powell” for years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive. She’s quite known in her field, look her up.
I just checked Sophia Irene Powell website, and I’m even more impressed! The range of financial strategies and resources she offers is amazing. I can see why so many people trust her with their investments—looking forward to working together!
Hey just an FYI your Facebook has been hacked
I was going to say the same!
Good day Mate, I don’t draw lines in the sand when it comes to TA, rules, lines , are broken all the time ,100% probability ? high probability yes anyway , I agree more than not with you I think 90% of gains will be made in bitcoin by April I have riot toping in march so the halving is condensing , bitcoin has to go higher and sell off farther down and reset for the next halving , that’s why made new high earlier this time will be interesting to see the price structure when it resets,… I have managed to grow a nest egg of around 2.3Bitcoin to a decent 24Bitcoin. in the space of a few months… I’m especially grateful to Francine Duguay’s, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.
Francine duguay program is widely available online..
Thank you for sharing your experience. She’s helped grow my reserve, despite inflation, from $87k to $246k as of today…..Her insights and daily siignals are worth following.
Thank you…. I have searched her up Google I think I am satisfied with her experience.
The market has gone berserk! whether you’re a newbie or a veteran trader, everyone needs a sort of coach at some point to thrive forward.
Francine goes deeper than just looking at surface-level trends.. she explores technical, fundamental, and sentiment analysis, offering a comprehensive perspective on the market..
Post election has seen some serious price movement with most stocks with Tesla leading the charge alongside Cryptocurrency with bitcoin reaching an ATH, presenting an opportunity for investment in the financial market . Would be interested in knowing what happens now after this and if its advisable to stick 200k of my savings into financial markets investing at this time ?
DCAing amongst various assets is a good strategy and can help reduce the impact of market volatility and thus a good strategy if you are looking to compound . However it is important to consider financial advisory when investing .
true, despite having no prior investing knowledge, I started investing before the pandemic and pulled in a profit of approximately 950k that same year. In reality, all I was doing was getting professional advice.
That’s a great tip. I’m setting out 50k to invest in the market this year. Any particularly useful tips you could offer to me?
*TRUDY ELIZABETH STOUFFER* . .. has always been on the top of my list..She is regarded as a genius in her area and well knowledgeable about financial markets. I highly recommend you look her up if you want excellent collaboration.
Thank you for the lead. I searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
..Post election has seen some serious price movement with most stocks with Tesla leading the charge alongside Cryptocurrency with bitcoin reaching an ATH, presenting an opportunity for investment in the financial market . Would be interested in knowing what happens now after this and if its advisable to stick 200k of my savings into financial markets investing at this time ?
Dude, Graham, what kind of audience do you think you have that can casually afford a $2-5K mattress? Don’t you think you’re pricing out your people with that sponsor?
Be careful listening to this YouTuber. Research your sources. Exercise critical thinking.
Your Facebook has been hacked.
bro, your Facebook is beyond hacked. had to unfollow….
Things change, example western societies are more corrupt, as Roman Empire come to an end, corruption was highest. Western societies citizens want to receive income by just thinking, no physical work. AI will make citizens thinking irrelevant. Roof need repairs, electrical problems, food harvested, and other physical work. Society is evolving, but most citizens are not evolving.
HEY GRAHAM! YOUR FACEBOOK PAGE HAS BEEN HACKED SOMEONE KEEPS POSTING RANDOM ANNOYING NEWS LIKE EVERY MINUTES!***********************
Does graham still think a housing market crash is right around the corner?
i think your Facebook got hacked im seeing a lot of clickbait posts
His last tenure was a virtual yo yo and crash.
The shell game comes with more debt.
I find it interesting that clean energy outperformed traditional energy under trump, but traditional energy outperformed clean energy under biden.
My theory is that Trump is a democrat. He is just there to destroy the republican party.
In the last I don’t know how many years, Republicans inherited good economy & crashed it! Also, for the energy sector performance, I don’t time is being taken into consideration here. When governments invest or support certain industries, it takes time to see the returns, specially if deals are done mid term. Which makes it look like conventional outperform under Dem, when a rep set the seeds, and vise versa when renewables outperform in a Rep term when Dem set the seeds
Your Facebook is hacked and posting malicious things
It’s amazing how history keeps repeating itself, and the urgency to prepare is definitely real! Investing can be the best decision of your financial life. I started my journey in 2021, and it’s been the best choice I’ve made for my finances.
What’s the best way to begin, and how long until it starts yielding profits?
No matter how long you wait, opportunities will arise in the market. Invest for the long term, and avoid being too greedy or too fearful. Making informed decisions is crucial; relying on luck isn’t enough, so partnering with an advisor is essential.
I hope you don’t mind suggesting your sûpervisor, as you mentioned before
Olivia Charlotte Oswald
She’s an amazing professional I’ve had the pleasure of engaging with. You can look her up