My Thoughts On The Stock Market Collapse

Here are my thoughts about the election vs the stock market and a warning from Robert Shiller – Sign up to Morning Brew for FREE today: – Add me on Instagram: GPStephan

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Warning from Robert Shiller: Robert says that ‘illness crisis and upcoming election have driven investor fears of a major stock market crash to the highest levels in many years. Yet, while investor confidence in the market is low, stock prices are trading at very high levels.’

On top of that, Robert Shiller also has what’s known as a VALUATION INDEX…which surveys those same people and asks if they think the market is undervalued, overvalued, or just the right price. And, as we can see from the chart – only 37% of individuals feel the market is undervalued….

That means…according to Robert Shiller…the vast majority of investors feel like a market crash is MORE than 10% likely to happen, during a time where 63% of investors feel the market valuations are high. I mean, it isn’t exactly rocket science here and this doesn’t exactly make any predictions – BUT, it does give us a gauge on MARKET SENTIMENT, which could have a direct impact on where the market MIGHT be headed in the coming few months.

NEXT: Bond Rates Are Rising. This all started the other week when the 10-year-bond prices began to increase pass .8%…for the first time in many months, and the assumption is that – at this rate – the 10-year prices could soon reach that psychological threshold of 1%.

Rates like this are rising with the expectation that – more likely than not – another stimulus is coming, and when that happens, the US will have averted any short term issues that could come up, meaning that long term bonds are able to pay MORE as fewer investors buy them – as we’re seeing here. I know that sounds INCREDIBLY confusing, and I’ve simplified things a LOT…but, when you think of these interest rates, all you need to know is that it’s all about supply and demand.

See, as these bond yields go up – banks need to INCREASE mortgage rates to remain competitive to the investors who buy those loans…therefore, the higher this bond rate goes…the more likely it is that we’ll begin to see interest rates SLOWLY begin to tick back up for mortgages, as well.

Now, it’s still too early to tell FOR SURE what type of impact this is going to have on the housing market, or if this type of rate increase is only going to be minuscule for the time begin…but, either way, the likelihood of mortgage rates dropping any lower than they are today is unlikely.

Overall, though – here’s what YOU need to do about this: FOCUS ON WHAT YOU CAN DIRECTLY CONTROL. Obviously, go out and vote so your voice is heard – that’s an easy one. But, besides that – volatility like this is going to be normal over the next few weeks to months, and it’s up to you to have an understanding of what this means for you, and to make sure you’re diversified enough NOT TO PANIC AND SELL.

And, listen…regardless of what happens, long term, the markets have shown us that they will do just fine long term. This article from Forbes broken down the returns from each president since 1926…and as you can see, the chart always go up, decade over decade.

For business or one-on-one real estate investing/real estate agent consulting inquiries, you can reach me at

*Some of the links and other products that appear on this video are from companies which Graham Stephan will earn an affiliate commission or referral bonus. Graham Stephan is part of an affiliate network and receives compensation for sending traffic to partner sites. The content in this video is accurate as of the posting date. Some of the offers mentioned may no longer be available.

143 thoughts on “My Thoughts On The Stock Market Collapse

  1. Lonut Ifrim Reply

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    • Ronaldi Bilbrey Reply

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    • Siegel Mc Reply

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    • mmp official Reply

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  2. Fruitaz Reply

    I saw the turtle without liking but it was cute and I felt guilty so I liked it after all

  3. Angel Arias Reply

    Trump will be the president ❤️

  4. James Barrett Reply

    What collapse is Graham talking about? I haven’t seen it.

  5. Mitch .Cadigan Reply

    I wonder how many ZNGA stocks Gram has from all referred Webull sign ups

  6. Matthew M. Stevick, CFP Reply

    The Real Question: When will white straight Republican financial professional males get their chance to rise up against their social oppression?

  7. MYX Capital Reply

    good coverage, great work

  8. isettech Reply

    Just in time for dividend reinvestment, another sale. Excellent, I can rise my Yield on Cost a few more percentage points. Currently getting 22.5% yield on cost. This sale should increase it as I add more shares with over 30% yield on cost. Love a good sale. Buy low, sell high, reinvest dividends to compound growth.
    I’m sure you guys figured out by now when the market is low an when it is high. PE under 10 is good. PE under 3 is fantastic. PE over 35 is in dot com bubble territory.

  9. T B Reply

    Smashed the like

  10. The Flying Penguin Reply

    I beat the system. I liked the video, saw the turtle, then UNliked. HA

  11. The Currency Nomad Reply

    Time for alternative investments

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  12. Melissa Martinez Reply

    I think a good video idea would be to review sites like roofstock for people who are trying to invest in real estate.

  13. Andrew H Reply

    I can identify with overshooting that peak in the Sept by one bump.

  14. T Money Reply

    Which collapse ? It’s been doing that for several days this year…..people watching this video anytime AFTER October 2020 won’t know what collapse is referred to. Especially since a collapse usually involves more than just 3% drop in a single day.

  15. Brian Nguyen Reply

    Is there a morning brew for Canadian market or is it only for the states rn

  16. Bruce Tran Reply

    buy the dip

  17. kebman Reply

    Robert Schiller is taking a percent of a percent. It’s not the most reliable of indicators, to say the least. And it’ll come off as confusing to most.

  18. Marjorie Jones Reply

    I’m in love with you Graham, I’ve been watching you for a year now, date me 🎈

  19. kebman Reply

    I really like what you’re saying about what the market will _statistically_ do. That’s a pure probability call. Now just remember that past prices do not necessarily predict future behaviour.

  20. kebman Reply

    8:01 “Now hopefully that makes some amount of sense, but even if it doesn’t, that’s totally okay.” I still love you if you’re stupid. <3

  21. kebman Reply

    What has the biggest impact on your own economy? Is it cutting back on spending? Is it getting a better job? Is it selling everything and starting over? Is it taking up new habits such as smoking, cocaine and whores?

  22. Nick Chew Reply

    Thank you Graham, your videos are the calm we need for the storm

  23. Todd Jensen Reply

    Could you tell me what website the graphs at 5:15 are from please?

  24. TheMchugh996 1 Reply

    Also, I ran some data and found that the VIX is also crazy the month prior to an election, as it is over 70% more volitle than other months. Remain calm and tread on!

  25. Men of High Value Reply

    Could you make a video on the s&p500 vs gold over the last 100 years ?

    It says that the stock market hasn’t grown at all if you had held from 1970 til 2020.

  26. TheOtherGuy Reply

    where is his yatta bank link?

  27. J J Reply

    Making money bij spreading fear.

  28. Johnny Reply

    damn graham is really scared of corona cant even show the word

  29. Nahid Shirzad Reply

    That turtle is horrifying

  30. Mason Boyd Reply

    Nice video!! Very engaging from beginning to end. Nevertheless, businesses and investments are the easiest way to make money.

    • Julian Kramer Reply

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      👏 👏 That’s great.

    • David obioha Reply

      It hurts to know that people remain poor out of ignorance.

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      I’m grateful to Mr Aaron Hughes. I got my profits now I have extra $17,000 after his charge on commission.

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      Mr Aaron is the man.
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  31. Chiszle Reply

    Interests can’t go up! I mortgaged all my houses on each other. And the first one in the chain is up for refinance in a year :O

  32. TrillionaireAce Reply

    I liked because of the turtle

  33. Drone Ninja Reply

    ALERT 📢

    Good Thursday morning 🙏

    Bull Markets make you Money over time but Bear Markets can make you Rich Quickly.
    So come prepared to play but with no preset plan for the direction of the market. It will be decided by the BROKERS disposition 😉

    Our team had a very prosperous day yesterday and I take my hat off to each of you for your vote of confidence in me. Thanks 😊

    Now to the numbers for today,
    AAPL, should play between 120 & 110 up & down.

    MSFT, between 215 & 202 up & down

    TSLA, Between 430 & 405 up & down.

    Oh and don’t let CNBC rope you into anymore of their crap with Earning Calls and IPOs because nothing more than a to slaughter. Designed to Hype you up,, mislead you and discourage you.

    Remember, to hedge ever trade, no exceptions. Getting greedy, opens you up to game, like Im using on the Brokers.

    Some of you want hedging and short selling explained. Which I’m more than happy to do. I will give a good detailed example in my next post today for our team mates.

    Until then,
    let’s treat each other with
    Love Peace & Soul.


  34. J P Reply

    I’m just here for the turtles. 😂 not at all for the financial Info.

  35. Willy Coldberg Reply

    Investment in stock are good but right now it really been controlled by the fed I swapped and began my investment in bitcoin (cryptocurrency) been earning alot over think bitcoin is at the boom level right now

    • Gerrad Nelly Reply

      It can be said a little simpler, if you want to be rich then focus on saving and investing, if you want to be poor then focus on spending

    • Henderson Jordan Reply

      Already invested in stocks and I cant really get a good returns from it

    • Richard Christopher Reply

      the stock crash is just inevitable that’s what you just have to understand

    • Michele jordan Reply

      Bitcoin and forex are more profitable with the favourable market rise

    • Marcus romeo Reply

      @Michele jordan You’re right I’m already earning much from it with the favourable market rise

  36. CapitalZone Reply

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      (K a t i e t u t o r 1 0 @ g m a i l . c o m )

    • CapitalZone Reply

      Shes active via Mail:

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      (K a t i e t u t o r 1 0 @ g m a i l . c o m )

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  37. Kyle Gordon Reply

    So” be greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy”? so buy more and more? lol

  38. cybercab Reply

    There is ZERO chance interest rates will go up in the next year. Zero!

  39. q n Reply

    Those idiot Fed should normalize interest and stop stealing interest from depositors. A bunch of greedy corrupt bankers.

  40. f. f. white Reply

    Stagflation: A condition of slow economic growth and relatively high unemployment – economic stagnation – accompanied by rising prices

  41. Daniel Jr Reply

    Another invedtmrnt strategy that has proven to be hugely successful over a long track record of performance is…. buy Berkshire Hathaway stock (Class B shares for most investors) and let Warren Buffett make the investment decisions for you. Nobody done better over a sustained period than Mr. Buggett.

  42. Caleb Spiers Reply

    Graham stop teasing us and just lose the shirt already

  43. Garth Stewart Reply

    “PUMP&DUMP” is what has been going on🤷‍♀️

  44. The Bureaucratic Cat Reply

    Ok serious question – multi grain toast smeared with avocado or nutella? And GO!

  45. Oostenwald Kotze Reply

    Its just a correction of where the market would have been going prior to March 2020. I keep on buying stocks from companies that have the potential to survive beyond the crash of the market.

  46. Hoodie Hennessy Reply

    Should I buy more Tesla under $410? Please answer and explain, thank you!!!!

  47. Logan Kean Reply

    The actual collapse hasn’t even happened yet.. THE WORST IS YET TO COME.

  48. Oscar Garibay Reply

    “We are always sitting down” clever! 😌

  49. Catherine Reply

    Strategy is the key element to a long term successful trading,binary option,forex and other cryptocurrency

  50. daniel Reply

    I love market crashes, if you invest properly and minimize risk they’re an easy way to get the best gains of your life in a decently short amount of time.

  51. Shaolin Showdown Reply

    Why that turtle looking like Squirtle

  52. yair tammam Reply

    Hi Tip for EV , look at BEEM , it is a very high probability of 10x in 3 years , they have a key technical advantage, just look.

  53. Rebecca McClure Reply


  54. Leticia Urbach Reply

    Should we wait to buy a property until the market carsh?

    • Graham Stephan Reply

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  56. Lemarkus Mywords Reply

    I hate this guys fake cocky yet humble personality

  57. MKillah Reply

    If you think he voted blue your on crack lmaoo

  58. Zack S Reply

    This video will not age well

  59. Dan Johnson Reply

    Graham, I can’t refinance my condo because I have to lay out closing costs again, is there ways around this?

    • Graham Stephan Reply

      I have not seen any specific strategy as that of Mr Allen Brooke as his signals are very accurate. You can reach out to him on WhatsApp….👇👇
      *+ 1 4 6 9 4 0 9 6 4 8 0*

  60. HEIDI GALVAN Reply

    Tesla Bonds? it was that a message for Meet Kevin? 😎

  61. sashko02 Reply

    Graham, I enjoy your content since you had less than 200k subscribers and I’ll continue doing so. But 4 advertisements for 12 min video – that’s the thing to make me use Adblock from now on.

  62. Let's Make A Million Reply

    I’m ignoring all the doom and gloom. Invest for the long term and never sell. Buy great companies and just hold. Im seeing deals for stocks (specifically REITs) that I have been waiting for. Great video Graham! Congrats on your new home as well!

  63. Mario Castellanos Reply

    SPXS is where I’m at! 😎

  64. Matt Reply

    Vote YES on prop 15

  65. Neil McCoy-Ward Reply

    Interest Rates will NOT be going up
    The stock market will NOT continue to go up

    • Kevin P Reply

      You should sell all your stocks then.. if you have any

    • Andres Zamora Reply

      Neil sold all his stocks at least a week ago.. And he is sitting on CASH… I did the exact same thing

    • ThePandaahBear Reply

      You. Can’t. Predict. The. Market. It’s literally not that’s hard

    • aarrow Reply

      @Andres Zamora you dont want to be sitting on cash. If you sell your stock you need to hedge against the dollar as we are about to get huge inflation. buying into the stock market is a bad idea but so is just sitting on cash. Its a false security.

    • Andres Zamora Reply

      @aarow i have a game plan to use my money strategically going forward… I never just sit on cash. My game plan is to keep multiplying my net worth as i have been doing consistently for the last 3 years… I stay active

  66. Marx The Don Reply

    YT Algorithm failed me by not showing me this video 😡

  67. Zachary Nielson Reply

    I just realized I’ve been watching graham for over a year now and never subscribed oops!

  68. Myles Koebel Reply

    I’m 16 and wanting to get into stocks, but I don’t really know where to start. I know the basics but I’m not sure what to do next

    • Multi Meter Reply

      Obvious fake account is obvious.

  69. Laughing Hyena Reply

    The stock market is down? Time to pull the fun bunce out from under the bed and invest.

  70. Natalie Bush Reply

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  71. danorion Reply

    It’s so tough to predict the month or even year of the crash in this economy because it’s being controlled like a mofo and not left to its natural cycles. However, you may be able to do this if you have been following the motives of the government as to when and when not to bail the economy out. That said, the economists were right in predicting that it was gonna crash because it’s way upside down; they technically don’t have to tell you when it’s going to crash to be right because this prediction isn’t the same analogy as saying where “you’re bound to be right only 1 times out of 10” because it’s like predicting death, being right once is enough to destroy a person’s retirement portfolio. This is in contrast to a lot of these guys who can’t even tell that it’s upside down but instead find stats that only benefit what they wanna believe until it’s too late then they’ll tell you that it’s crashing. =)

  72. Hyatt Hank Reply

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  73. 4235dipal Reply

    Turtle pic ruled…worth thumbs up

  74. quietsignal Reply

    Yeah, right, your a genius.

  75. Eman namE Reply

    Collapse = Biden winning. Should be like a 2 second video.

  76. quietsignal Reply

    Next up…the IRS has seized all my assets for tax evasion, interstate wire fraud, RICO act, money laundering. Well it was all good, Bubba in the shower is ok…

  77. quietsignal Reply

    And this, millennials, is an abject lesson of how to scam the system and go to prison.

  78. MissJo Reply

    But do you think the stock market will rise over the next decade, if countries continue to have lockdowns and what not?

  79. quietsignal Reply

    Your supposed GF owes income taxes on the 100,000 gift that you gave her. You deleted the video to late. The IRS is all over you like Clinton and the blue dress.

  80. quietsignal Reply

    It’s no longer a question of if, just a question of when you are going to be indicted for money laundering and interstate wire fraud.

  81. quietsignal Reply

    Nice still photo ops. Show us your moves on how to do yoga in the showers.

  82. quietsignal Reply

    Who wants to go and hang around your $50,000 swimming pool? Drug dealers and pro athletes. Which one are you?

  83. quietsignal Reply

    And this folks is what a desperate overnight millionaire with absolutely no friends, no family, no connection to society looks like.

  84. quietsignal Reply

    If my head was that big and my body so small…and claimed to be binary male…oh well whatever.

  85. holy fit Reply

    soo what do we do lord savior graham?

    • Graham Stephan Reply


    • Graham Stephan Reply

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  86. Adam Dyer Reply

    Sorry Graham. You’re wrong about rates going up. If the fed raised rates there would be absolute chaos right now.,The fed itself has said they won’t raise rates for up to 3 years in order to favor low unemployment over low inflation. If anything, rates will be low and inflation might be as high as 3-5% in the long run. Bond yields have gone up to due demand of a falling market and investors are looking for safety. Just look at Bloomberg’s FOMC rate hike probability, extremely low.

  87. Towne Duane Reply

    I’ve never seen profit opportunities like this before in any market even when other traders complain of loses. In case you are interested in venturing into investing bitcoin or perhaps you are trading and has been losing, feel free to contact Mr Richard Foy email (, telegram: @Richiefoy22. He will be sure to guide and assist you

  88. Wil Stein Reply

    I just wish everyone would stop using the words “collapse”, or “crash”. These simple words probably have the greatest impact on peoples ‘fear levels’ when it comes to the markets. Look at the graph at 10:33. See a crash? Notice any collapse in the last 80 YEARS! There hasn’t been one for the majority of people currently alive. Swap these fear seeds out for “correction”, or “downturn” if you have to.. but perhaps even preface those words with “minor”, or “temporary” for the sake of accuracy.

  89. Lewis Katy Reply

    The stock market controls a huge part of my passive income flow, I invest big and profits even bigger. Courtesy of my broker Mr. Anthony Lauberth 👍👍

  90. Clinton mark Reply

    My first investment with Mr. Anthony Lauberth earned me profit over $28,300 Ever since then he has never failed to deliver and I can boldly testify he’s the sincere broker I have known✔️

  91. Teen Finance Reply

    Bro Great Video. I do Stuff like this as a teen for teens would love some support guys

  92. Mastering a Quest Reply

    Hey guys, im from Malaysia and i want to share a good stock which ya’ll need to look at it right now before it surge up. Are you guys aware of Gloves stock? If no please read up about SUPERMX and TOPGLOVE which are the top producer of Face mask and Gloves in Malaysia. They are currently supplying their products to all over the country and their QR are booming just like their stock price. Please do read up about their company and invest in them during this pandemic. Please get this msg up so other can invest in them and make money out of it during this pandemic. If ya’ll want to read up Search for STOCKBIT Malaysia, the entire community is talking about it there. The stock price has surge up 1000% right now and currently going to head way more higher. My personal best stock $SUPERMX & $TOPGLOV @t

    • Mastering a Quest Reply

      Also, look into DNONCE they package this gloves for the above companies! im just want to help people to make money during this horrible event! Happy investing

  93. Ashley Marie Reply

    I’ll advice everyone to invest in stuffs like penny stocks and cryptos. It can generate short term profits for you. This ain’t stopping anytime soon, just the beginning of the great recession

    • Alvin Boston Reply

      Whats@pp… *+ 1 2 1 6 5 8 4 8 1 3 9*

    • Alvin Boston Reply

      Hudson handles my trades you can contact him for further inquiries

    • Antonio Maso Reply

      I have seen a lot of positive reviews and testimonies of HudsonTradingServices, he must be exceptional for you all be talking about him

    • Bobal Malik Reply

      Thanks to Hudson Roger and he’s group, I met him on the stock marketing aspect that’s binary/forex trade not bitcoin…so with his results then I strongly believe he will be ok in bitcoin trading

    • samson Thomas Reply

      When someone is straight forward with whatever they do, people will surely speak good of them,. I think that’s the reason HudsonTradingServices is good

  94. Tristan Green Reply

    Make a top 5 books to read video!!!

  95. Jeramiah Cox Reply

    thumbnail was a little click-baity, as it looks like a crash has already happened, and that you are crying.

  96. L Dog Reply

    Graham, if you give us a great photo every vid I promise to cautiously DESTROY the like button every time. Scouts honor 🙂

  97. Jordan Jones Reply

    It’s funny you say that the interest rates are increasing.. Here in Australia, our central bank has given it’s strongest signal that it will be further reducing the cash rate this month! couldnt imagine a better time to buy some property!!

  98. pantta567 Reply

    Lol savings accounts are the absolute most retarded position ever considering the fact that cryptocurrencies exist.

  99. Robert E. Davis Reply

    I’m so tired of the stock market manipulated by the FED, that’s why I’ve decided to try another investment

    • Francis schenk Reply

      They are making the lives of the masses suffer

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