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THE COMING RECESSION:
THANKS TO https://marketsentiment.substack.com/ FOR HELPING!
From 1869 to 2018, there have been a total of 16 recessions which had POSITIVE stock market returns….in fact, of those positive recessions…the market went UP an average of 9.8%, during a time the GDP declined by 3%…. or, in other words…out of 30 recessions…HALF had no correlation whatsoever with lower stock values.
https://russellinvestments.com/us/blog/us-stock-market-recession-history
To take that a step further, since 1869…one study found that the correlation between GDP growth and stock market returns was nearly ZERO…at 0.05%….and, on average, the US stock market peaks SIX MONTHS before the start of a recession…and, that’s where we get into some of the bad news.
According to AWealthOfCommonSense Blog, who I’ll link to down below in the description…throughout EVERY SINGLE RECESSION SINCE 1945…the stock market has – at SOME POINT – seen a sell off…with the average drawdown coming in at a whopping 29.2%…
https://marketsentiment.substack.com/p/recession-primer?s=r
HOWEVER…the GOOD NEWS is that, even though there CAN be a rather abrupt sell off…by the time the recession is OVER, the market actually RECOVERS, and has posted an average PROFIT of 1.7%…with, an average gain of 15.3% the following 1 year….meaning, INVESTING DURING A RECESSION is one of the most profitable times to invest. Not to mention, in the 3 years following every single recession we have ever had…the market was 100% in the green.
https://awealthofcommonsense.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/recession-perf.png
HOWEVER…as Ben Carlson pointed out…it’s not as easy as thinking: “OH PERFECT…I’ll just invest during a recession when the market drops…SIMPLE!” – because, as he points out: You don’t know you’re IN a recession…until it’s too late. Since, technically, a recession is 2 periods of Negative growth…we could be in the start of a recession RIGHT NOW…but, not “officially know it” until much, much later.
In this case, SeeItMarket found that – MOST OF THE TIME…the market saw PEAK PAIN 6 MONTHS PRIOR TO A RECESSION….because, for the most part – the stock market tends to be FORWARD THINKING.
If anything, Bloomberg notes that a bear market tends to be a better predictor of a recession…rather, than a recession being a predictor of a bear market…
https://assets.bwbx.io/images/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/i1t1EHT3ZHHQ/v2/pidjEfPlU1QWZop3vfGKsrX.ke8XuWirGYh1PKgEw44kE/1240x-1.png
That’s why, based on EVERY other recession in the past…the best course of action is to simply stay invested…and, if we ARE IN a recession…it’s best to KEEP INVESTING when times are bad. Just expect that stock market volatility will become a LOT more common, it’s always a good idea to focus on STAYING EMPLOYED….and understand that NO RECESSION has EVER lasted more than 18 months…meaning, there will always be a light at the end of the tunnel….if you subscribe.
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What is 45 recessions?
I’m the pump hunter 🚀🚀🚀
You have a good skill.
@bishop51807 every time you give a thumbs up. I drink
Woah that’s a lotta debt 😂😂
all thanks to youtube transcripts.
You advertise wayyyy too much
Why keep saying “coming” if it is already here?
gv!
hey sony is even doing bad in the stonks, im pretty sure its a reccestion right now. just dont know if we’ve hit rock bottom yet.
Recession, please. I just wanna buy a house.
Thanks mY friernd 🙂 Like always top infos.
My i still Love Oppa Token 🙂
@Pînned by Graham Stephan Thanks 🙂
Hate to say it, maybe we need another recession so that the housing prices can coming crashing down again.
Waiting for real estate
69 dude
I guess u gonna say recession 23 times
Or you consider that capitalism has run out of options.
There’s no crash, if you look outside instead of getting information on the internet by bias media. You see that people are spending more than ever. Just the other day, the mall are fill w people inside of them
Everything is crazy, I recommend investing in dog coins.
We will avoid recession. US government can give free stimmies and forgiven loans. I got free 100K each year in free unemployment and forgiven PPP loans in 2020 and 2021.
16 to 25
:whiny voice: “…and I still haven’t subscribed!” Haha! Well played, sir. Well played. If I weren’t already subscribed, that one would have gotten it done.
I’m diversified and sooner or later a recession will come and I’ll just keep doing the same as I’m already doing. Predictions are a bit of a crapshoot as far as bear and bull markets go.
whatever. I’m still in the accumulation stage of my portfolio. I throw in alittle more toward my beaten up stocks and index funds. If world peace kicks in tomorrow and inflation disappears and everything booms- I throw in a little more funds regardless.
I’m working, paying off debt, and prepping a house for house hacking.
gotta work hard for those extra income streams.
Best time to buy right now. Money everywhere🤑
How many more videos from the crash?
i was thinking of buying a horse lol its that bad
money wages so bad & inflation. if i was pretty i would sell my soul on onlyfans lol
I didn’t need google trends to tell inflation is out of control.
America is BACK!
Shorter lines. Contractors show up. Cheaper used cars. Empty planes. We can only hope.
I feel bad for that guy. Everyone deserves a chance to buy a Pokémon card of their choice!
never trust a realtor
We are screwed
GOLD
Grapham titles for the videos are so dramatic 😂
So keep riding this ship to the watery deep, got it.
Crash, recession, sold all, urgent warning.. those titles but you still give the same conclusions every single video lmao. Index fund investing, never sell and keep buying😄
9:33, an image of Jimmy Carter Flashed in my mind
This guy is an absolute clown. People still listen to this guy lol!?!?
👍
The assholes here telling you to sell it all will be 1st in line to buy. Remember that.
It’s always incredible to me that you have a better understanding of financial markets and economic concepts than most of my MBA classmates and you don’t even have a university degree. A self-taught millionare right there.
We r already in it it’s not coming it’s here
Could you maybe making a video how to become a entrepreneur as a teenager and profitable please thanks
mainly for clothing brands or products please
Stop the fud. You ready to buy more?
Once the fake war is over everything will go up
Just let the stocks go down fast and not over 10 years.
What recession ? My portfolio has been recess since last February, can it go even lower ? Lol
Imagine this guy holding a beer.
There is no recession lol, when there is recession fed just print more money and stock goes to the moon again
9:29 In my country we call this fenomenon “Argentina”
52
If we are talking about a coming recession, then we are already in it.
Venturing into the trading world without the help of a professional trader and expecting profits is like turning water into wine, you would need a miracle, that’s why i trade with Samantha Jack, her skills set is exceptional.
I also make huge profits by trading with her weekly, her consistency is crazy
I haven’t seen anyone so determined to make her clients profits as Samantha. How she allows you express your fears and still calms your fears is something I admire about her. I don’t usually comment on videos but I must put the word out there. She’s really great.
@Nicolas Morales you can reach her on Tele
gram with her username
Investwithsamanthajack, that’s it
Loving all the recession videos 👍
Awesome piece!!! Very engaging right from beginning Business and investments are one of the best ways to ensure financial freedom even under the nose of the pandemic.🇺🇸🇺🇲🇺🇸🇺🇲
Yeah, my first investments with Ms Linda earned me profit of over $18,550, and ever since then she has been delivering..
Good one, you’re A good teacher. Slow down a tad??
I swear Andrei and Graham could swap places on their channels and we would still get the same info from either vid… also, Gentlemens bet: One of them will say “just keep dollar cost averaging” at least once in the next three videos
You were in Magnum PI ?! So cool !!
Recession to get ppl working! Makes sense especially since the rising gas prices are because of capitalism
Soooo, buy the dips and try hard to keep your job.
Notice how there’s always a war event when these recessions come, not a coincidence
This is why Dollar Cost Averaging will always be one of the best courses of action.
Graham’s hand talking game is strong lol
Ok it feels like you make the same video every day… Theres no point even watching this one since you dont say anything new that isnt a repeat of your last 10 videos.
Let’s Go Brandon!
What do you think about the news articles coming out about Saudi Arabia considering accepting the Yuan instead of the Dollar for oil sales?
I love how you explain stuff
So, the vibe I’m getting is ‘everything is terrible, it is going to be great’
Yield curve still isn’t inverted.
ISM manufacturing still strong.
Unemployment still very strong.
Debt as a percentage of disposable income for consumers is at its lowest level.
Energy costs as a percentage of disposable income is still quite low, much lower than 90s and 80s levels.
Building permits still being issued at a high rate.
Consumer confidence is low and inflation is high. So yes, there are concerns, and we should expect slower GDP growth, but slow growth is much different from a recession.
I feel like if i watch andrei jikh videos and forget something i can come back to stephan to hear it again
The “still haven’t subscribed killed me”🤣🤣
What is it? Like the 67 recession or is it the 5th urgent warning to investors STOP INVESTING 💀🤣🤣🤣
Love your videos, but your title is super clickbait, and that’s an unfortunate turn off. Your video entirely contradicts your title. You don’t need the clickbait titles for the views man. You have a sound platform, and present your information in a seemingly unbiased and neutral (analytical and historical) fashion.
this dude doesnt blink
someone is copying thumbnails hhh
Literally thought this was an Andre vid at first because of the thumbnail haha
Who did it best
@Jlouisofficail depends. Andrei usually has higher production value and more visually appealing shots haha
Ever since the Democrats took over office, United States has been horrible to live in. Gas prices over here in California are absolutely ludicrous. Home prices are insane. The cost of food has gone up by 15 to 30% and the portion sizes are smaller not only at grocery stores, but restaurants are cutting down by 25% at least.
brought to you by the Brandon Administration also known as democrats that’s why they have rats in their name
Crash already damn
What ever bro there will be no stimulus to save us this time .
I really enjoy this channel, but lately it has been a lot of clickbait type videos with overly sensationalized thumbnails. I hope he gets back to the way it used to be!
I have never liked a video
WOW! That was a MOUTH FULL! My takeaway – stay invested and invest more when things are bad and everyone is panicing.
Sagflation is just another word for beerbelly.
Charizard!😂🤣😂🤣
I will forever be indebted to you, You’ve changed my whole life and i continue to preach about your name for the whole world to hear you’ve saved me from a huge financial debt with just little investment,Thanks so much Chloe Reed.
My guess is 17 times. Also I’m a graduate student. Help me pay for my final two semesters Graham 🥺
436
Thanks Brandon
What recession u should delete this video horrible click bait
Did you even watch the video?
Agenda 2030 at times I think Graham is paid by them to spill this.
Only counting the singular form, I believe you said “recession” 40 times.
A clickbait from hobbit as usual
this news is tough enough. why do you have to yell graham? honest question…
You forgot to incorporate that retail is allowed to trade. Retail is at war with hedge funds through squeeze plays. And you’re comparing apples to oranges because this isn’t business as usual.
Buffoon
The stock market has been a really tough one this past year, but I watched an interview on CNBC where the anchor kept mentioning ” TERESA JENSEN WHITE “. This prompted me to get in touch with her, and from September 2021 till now we have been working together, and I can now boast of $540,000 in my trading portfolio.
That’s right, getting in touch with a consultant during the pandemic was how I was able to scale through the crazy stock downtrend.
Like I said previously, her name is TERESA JENSEN WHITE , and you can reach her via her website.
Should I not pick up my new Supra CF edition? (1/600), or should I put my cash into some dips.
I was able to build during the dreadful lockdown I made lots of profit investing with Mrs Virginia Robbins , I was able to build a big income stream still hungry for more profits.
Mrs Robbins strategy has been helping a lot of traders/newbies out there, with her program I was able to recover my losses from the crash so swiftly.
I was sceptical at first until I decided to try. It’s huge returns is awesome! I can’t say much.
@Alice Stephanie You can communicate with her on telegam with the user name below
investwithvirginia??
@Avery Isabella thank you.
*Positivity always wins;* Tony Robbins words ’If you don’t do something about your financial state, your income will remain stable while expenditures raises.’ It made me so exigent on seeking ways on how to grow my money good enough to retire. Any aid…
Many successful ones actually seek the experience of financial advisors and then claim to achieve their success without any prior help.
To accomplish your goals, you must need a skilled professional to help make these plans a reality.
I believe in the law of compound interest and leveraging, I operate an exclusive package with a licensed body of a wealth management firm and so far I’ve compounded great returns (amount is confidential) and self managing my money with ease
@Theodore Rossi That’s very right of you aiding to such great question that’s also beneficial to me, please can you give more info on the financial advisor you talked about.