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The Ray Dalio Bubble:
First: High prices relative to traditional measures of value.
Second: Unsustainable conditions – like, extrapolating past revenue and earnings rates when they can’t be sustained.
Third: Many new, and naive buyers who were attracted because the market has gone up
Fourth: Broad BULLISH sentiment
Fifth: A high percentage of purchases being finances from DEBT
And Six: A lot of forward and speculative purchases made to bet on price gains.
He noted that his “Bubble Indicator” was approaching 70% of the peaks last seen in both 1929 and 2001, suggesting that, some stocks were SEVERELY OVERVALUED…and, poised to crash under the right conditions.
Well, he shows that – relative to PREVIOUS BUBBLES – the market is HIGH – but, declining. The price to earnings growth is also somewhat elevated, but – as fewer NEW investors come to the market, valuations have had a chance to come back down…forward growth suggests there might be some more room to drop…but, the shocker from all of this: BULLISH SENTIMENT is at an ALL TIME LOW.
Now, here’s why that last point is SO interesting: Studies have shown that – GENERALLY – the MORE PEOPLE BELIEVE the market is going to crash…the more likely it is to do THE EXACT OPPOSITE. After all, Recessions follow Peak Euphoria…NOT Peak Fear…so, when consumer sentiment drops, and bullish sentiment is at an all time low…that generally indicates that…hey, it might be a good time to buy.
This is important, because the overwhelming data finds that…the average investor is almost always WRONG at the most crucial points….and, if the “Average” Person believes prices will continue going higher…USUALLY…that’s a sign that…things are actually going to get worse.
So, to me – the best diversification is to simply invest on a consistent basis, throughout as many different sectors as possible – including stocks, real estate, cash, and maybe a small portion of cryptocurrency…and then…understand that prices will fluctuate outside of your control for reasons that sometimes make absolutely no sense…
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I see your tear.
Oh, never mind, I have, too.
Kudos to you fighting, my respect towards you has grown!
Nuclear war with Russia will throw a big wrench in your calculations. We are most certainly headed there. By the way, I saw the latest diesel price in Maryland has now gone to $6.00/ Gallon. This will really crush optimism. We still have to suffer the fool, Biden, for 2.5 more years.
Big props to you champ for stepping into the ring!!
Dude why are all your titles just pure fud lmao
Great Job Graham! Thanks for the entertainment from the fight.
Is already dropping
Graham the only dude to voluntary tko himself in the fight, hilarious. Props for putting yourself out there though.
Hello Graham Stephan, can you do a video on the process of evicting a tenant? (Where to start the process, the following steps, how does the landlord get back rent?)
The boxing match was dope. I personally would never get into a ring with Michael he is a cycle path
London Bridge is falling down
Falling down, falling down
London Bridge is falling down
My fair lady
Build it up with lies and greed
Lies and greed, lies and greed
Build it up with lies and greed
My fair lady
Build it up with printed money
Printed money, printed money
Build it up with printed money
My fair lady
London Bridge is falling down
Falling down, falling down
London Bridge is falling down
M-y f-a-i-r l-a-d-y
You cant fight, that means you cant invest, you cant react and adjust. Im Disappointed
🤣
great fight Graham! Was an epic one!
Lol what’s up gram it’s guys here that’s awesome
Never knew about your channel until the creator clash. You did a great job and had even better sportsmanship. You’ve definitely earned my subscription! Great job Graham💯
Great fight at least you try 👏 👍 👌
Good job in the fight, much respect!
what your not understanding is that the feds will print more into circulation and pumping up higher and higher, also nice fight !
Bro Im not listening to you, cause you got your ass SMACKED TF DOWNMNNNnn
Great job at the boxing match graham! Really fun to watch the match:)
Graham lost because the stock market is down. During the bull run Graham will dominate the boxing scene.
Hey man. Just wanted to say, I saw your fight and it was great. You’re an absolute unit and provided some of the best ‘ bang for your buck’ entertainment I seen in a while.
P S. Great right btw 🙂
Dude respect for that fight!
Good job on your fight graham
Bruh I didn’t know how small this dude and the other dude is 💀💀💀💀
Bible: Evil “Waxes Worse and Worse” Until Second Coming!!
Born-again/Rapture is the only Escape!!
Great fight! Good job
The s@p500 has been in two channels since 2000 and last year it entered another channel.
I loved watching you get knocked out. Way to take a beating. Keep it up!
I was there in Tampa, drove out and it was awesome seeing you bro. Happy you did it. Great job.
in 800 years £20,000 has become £10.
I recommend a professional broker to you guys sometime ago, can I get some persons who invested with her
comment below
Oh hey guys, Graham here
To all you people in the comment section saying That Fight was Great… STOP THE CAP🧢🤣 Yall know that shxt was wack
The only thing that dropped was u
I’m just here to let you know it doesn’t matter how much money you have. If you are a weak turd who can’t fight out of a wet paper bag
12 minutes to tell us nothing new!
Good fight you had, might not have ended your way but you put on a show ! Respect and hope you are fully healthy
Bro got his ass whooped…
Thanks for supporting charity Graham 💕
Graham you did great my guy
There are also some companies greatly UNDER valued. Tesla has a price to earnings ratio that is absurd and their stock price should be much higher than where it’s at.
I am a fan now because of the fight, just echoing what everyone else is saying
Just seen this dude fight and learnt of his existence lol. GG. I got respect for anyone stepping in a ring out of their zone like you guys. GG.
my wife and I were cheering you on in tampa!!… That shark tank intro had us dying.
Respect Graham for stepping up on the ring for charity!!!
Becareful in Arizona…… No water…..its a desert…..good luck
Wonderful fight!
tactile decision??? huh
Any thoughts of doing a video on the best ways veterans can use their benefits to invest in real estate. I know the VA loan can be great, but I’m curious how YOU might use it to your advantage.
Meanwhile me in SPHD looking around like Travolta asking what crash.
Yo bro you got beat up abit in that boxing match bro ha ha.
What you think I’m some idiot.
Ozzy man reviews home boy.
Great job Graham!
POV: you just watch graham Stephan get bodied in a boxing match 😂
Thank God your not giving advice on fighting because that boxing match wasn’t good. I hope that give you a new found respect for fighting.
Graham, i have to say you´re bigger man than most. Even though u lost the fight against Micheal but u gained so much respect from everybody. With more training u could have had him. Big props for doing the charity.
Hi Graham, sometimes you say it’s hard not to run out of ideas but here’s a few I’m personally interested in and I’m sure at least a couple of other people will be:
– Have Idubbbz go over the money side of putting up an event like that on iced coffee hour I think would be really interesting.
– Doctor Mike on the Iced Coffee Hour would also be pretty cool if he was open to talk about money.
Obviously they may or may not be comfortable with talking about it.
– Why youtube boxing was a good investment/bad investment (You could go over maybe the aspect of networking with some of the other creators, and cost of going there, cost of training etc. Did they put you up or did you have to go out of pocket? That sort of thing)
– Why don’t you just buy foreclosures? (This is because I wonder why most people don’t just buy foreclosures considering that they are cheaper. I think you’d have a lot of content to put in a foreclosure video)
-How to be an accredited investor (I’ve seen on one of the latest Iced Coffee Hours that you’d have to be accredited to invest in your syndication so it would be good to have a video over what it takes to become accredited.)
Hope this was helpful.
good fight man!
keep buying the dips guys… keep buying the dips… 🤣
Good job on the fight g
did he just say whats up Gram its Guys????
Brain damage from boxing? lol.
he bought amd
What an amazing experience you got to be a part of Graham! Glad that you went through with it.
I hope you know that Jesus loves you all personally, and died all of us, Just call to Him and you will be saved, Romans 10:13 Thank you and God bless✝️✝️✝️
Bruh how could u quit against someone like Michael reeves, smh
Absolutely great fight you did amazing. Your jab really was doing great work. KEEP IT UP!
You’re the man Graham. Showed some real heart going out of your comfort zone to get in that ring brother.
Graham, awesome job fighting this weekend! It takes a lot of heart to go in there in the first place, and I’m so glad you decided to do it! Good to see you leave your comfort zone, I know you will never regret it! Would love to see a follow up on it man!
Graham… is selling sunset real ??
Successful people don’t become that way overnight. What most people see at a glance- wealth, a great career, purpose-is the result of hard work and hustle over time. I pray that anyone who reads this will be successful in life..
Assets that can make one successful in life
Please cover the Terra Luna mess ! Would love your take on the drama
Mate ur fight was the coolest and most inspirational thing I’ve seen. Great job and it was awesome to watch. Watching ur passion in the fight was eye tearing. U both won !
your fight got me so madd like come on dude throw a decent punch 🥊!!!
big fan of yours that’s why I got upset but for reals dude next time use both your hands Ill give you props on your stance you cut him off and were on top of him nice foot work but those punches Man its like your were punching in your dreams
Good job graham on the fight. Respect anyone that steps in the ring like that
You sir are the Tom Cruise of explaining real estate.
hahaha that’s pretty awesome.. yea definitely a great channel with lots of great things to learn. I’m ready for the next level of growth for sure– wanting to get a few more rentals under my belt and keep growing my channel
Hope you are out there CRUSHING IT! and best of luck on your channel 🔥
Pause the video at 04:30 and look at the chart. Graham says the lower Consumer Sentiment goes, the higher the stock market profits. But that’s NOT what the chart shows. If you put the ‘Consumer Sentiment’ numbers from lowest to highest, the ’12mo % Change’ would be listed as 15.4%, 33.2%, 7.7%, ???, 33.1%, and 29.1%. So not only does the chart contradict what he’s saying, the chart doesn’t even seem to show any correlation at all between Consumer Sentiment and stock profits.
“whats up graham it’s guys here” 🤣
Dalio also bought AMC and GME 😉 js
Jesus dude, relax. One has to watch this at 50% speed and 50% volume just to try to make out what you’re trying to say behind all the flailing, rushing and shouting.
What’s up Graham it’s Guys here? 😂
I’m aware the present market provides equal chance to make high-value gains or make losses, so I’m careful with my decisions, regardless I read a trader made over $850k in this market and I could really use pointers on ways to reach such gains
After a few good years in the market, I assumed I had a hang of it, things changed after the Rona, I had to diversify into safe haven assts, so I touched base with a coach who devised a structure that matches my goals and in my first year, I made a whooping $795k, I hope to scale to a million by the end of the 2nd quarter.
I think that’s reasonable, this is the second “The Market Is About To Drop – Again” Graham is dropping and at this point I could really use a coach or just stay off the markt.
I made a loss of $6000 this week, it really hurts cause I’ve been saving up for my new business, who is this person that guides you
the coach that guides me is Denise Sharnell Proctor, she’s got a web presence and she’s quite known, so you can search her.
I usually would not take advises online but i curiously looked this Denise up and scheduled a phone call with her. she seems proficient and well-grounded.
My greatest happiness is the $ 28,000 biweekly profit I get consistently
I’ve got up to 700K returns since I came across Mrs Nora trading platform, my financial life has completely changed all thanks to Mrs Nora.
Wow😮I know her and I have also been trading with her, She’s such an amazing woman with good skills keeps me happy all week knowing I earn 15thousand extra income trading with her.
I started with just 4thousand now earning upto 15thousand WEEKLY
Oh please, how can someone get to speak with Mrs Nora?
I keep buying my targeted stocks on low days. They keep dropping and I keep buying. I’m still in on Renewable Energy, EV,Tech, Health.coins too gotta be greedy when others are fearful. At this point I’m grateful for my FA Rita Wildrin Mora. Already with a 7 figure portfolio but I have no doubt investing more.
Nicely done. love diversity.
out of curiosity I did read about Rita Wildrin Mora on the web.,she has a great resume.
I invest in stable stocks, my rule: if you previously liked the stock, then you should love it at a discounted price
Did a quick search and found her web page. she seems very proficient, I wrote her and I’m waiting on her reply.
What’s up Graham, it’s Guys here! – What an intro xD haha
I’m in my late 50s and I’m more interested in investments that could set me up for retirement , I mean I’ve heard of people that netted hundreds of thousands during these crash, I listened to someone on a live event who earned over $550K in less than a year, what;s the strategy behind such return;s
Very true , I diversified my $400K portfolio across multiple market with the aid of an investment advisor, I have been able to generate over $850k in net profit across high dividend yield stocks, ETF and bonds in few months.
How can one find a verifiable financial planner? I would not mind looking up the professional that helped you. I will be retiring in two years and I might need some management on my much larger portfolio. Don’t want to take any chances.
credits to Diana Claire Lougen, one of the best portfolio manager;s out there. she;s well known, you should look her up
I usually would not take advises online but i curiously looked this Daina up and scheduled a phone call with her. she seems proficient and well-grounded.
This is a good thing, we can finally get into housing and stocks!
I’m 16 and this is all very scary, I’m investing in lots of big caps and everything is just tanking and inflation just keeps going up because we printed trillions. I literally have no idea if I should slowly keep putting more in or just not and I have little to no faith in our country because our government leaders aren’t doing good things (imo) and we just keep spending which devalues our currency so much and I feel like China will beat the United States in my lifetime so any recommendations or comments?
Talk about how he sold Tesla and bought AMC!
is tesla still a safe investment
w video
What I think we may see in the next couple of months is a shift from risk-off stocks to more risk-on stocks (and other asset classes as well), as the market becomes more comfortable with inflation. The flow of liquidity towards risk will most likely result in the removal of money from the “safer” plays in the market, or the “hideaways” (j&j, proctor and gamble for example) and big tech, resulting in big drops from the stocks that have held up well, and rallies in riskier assets as money rushes in.
These are the conditions where life changing money is made to those that stay calm, are patient, and take controlled risk. Volatility goes both ways. Larger the red candles the larger the green ones.
When the stock market is back up, you will wish to have invested today in the red. you may never see these prices again. There’s always opportunity within chaos you just have to got the eye for it.
Nicole Deanne McKay, look her up.
Thank you Biden
I like you, but you need to stop being associated with FTX and Sham Baldman-Fraud
What’s up Graham it’s guys here, did anyone else notice? lol
These videos are extremely clickbait. Using the same thumbnail images and headings for multiple videos saying the same thing in a different way.
I keep buying my targeted stocks on low days. They keep dropping and I keep buying. I’m still in on Renewable Energy, EV,Tech, Health.coins too gotta be greedy when others are fearful. At this point I’m grateful for my FA Jane Marie Kunak. Already with a 7 figure portfolio but I have no doubt investing more.
Great video. well explained!
The worst thing you can do is attempt to time the market as an average person. I keep buying regardless of what the market is doing, and if you’re most working people and you’re not near retirement keep investing over the long haul and over the course of your lifetime you should beat the average.
You will likely not beat wall street or the standard s&p 500 day trading. If you’re going to do individual stocks as well, buy and hold. No more, no less.