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The US Dollar Crisis:
As it stands right now: the US dollar serves as the reserve currency for the entire world. This means that EVERY COUNTRY trades in US dollars because of its stability, resiliency, and global acceptance.
HOWEVER…here’s where things begin fall apart: Because inflation has become a WORLD WIDE problem…countries are constantly looking for a safe place to park their money…and, since the United States raised THEIR interest rates the fastest, and is seen as the most secure…everyone is buying up the Dollar. That means, even though our money is “losing value” to inflation here in the US…it’s INCREASING IN VALUE, RELATIVE to to the rest of the world.
Bloomberg explains that countries can chose to LIMIT their exposure by SHORTING the US dollar as a hedge…and that means, if the US dollar CONTINUES going higher, countries would be forced to sell of their OWN assets to pay for those losses, and so far – that’s happened near the end of almost every quarter in 2022.
In addition to that, a higher US dollar means that our own EXPORTS become THAT much more expensive…after all, 1 euro USED TO BUY $1.20 worth of American Goods…but NOW it only buys 97 cents…so, everything – for the rest of the world – is more expensive than it was previously.
So far, here’s what we do know:
Number One: Some of the largest funds are stocking up in cash.
After all – why take the risk in equities…when you can earn 4.3%, guaranteed, with no work buying Treasuries?
Two: The Housing Market Is Falling.
Like I mentioned earlier, The Housing Sentiment Index is near an all-time historic low, as fewer and fewer people believe that NOW is a good time to buy.
Three: The Bank of England is in trouble.
They recently came on record to warn that “Households will Face a Strain Similar to Pre-2008 Crisis,” as their markets begin to crumble. For them, higher rates will decrease business activity…higher prices will lead to less spending…and, foreign investment will slow as people sell off their assets. This could probably be a video in and of itself…but, starting today…their central bank is no longer backstopping bond purchases…which, is likely going to lead to a LOT more volatility.
And Four: Expect higher unemployment.
To me, the writing is on the wall that – as companies scale back – employees will be the FIRST to get cut…so, I’d use this as an opportunity to make yourself as indispensable as possible…and, save up extra cash just in case something were to happen.
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Thank you, Graham. Appreciate so very much all that you do. Keep up the great work!
“People are making too much money” please explain. 80% of the working class wages have less buying power now then anytime in modern US history. AND ITS BEEN LIKE THIS FOR THE PAST 20 YEARS.
Ron Paul warned us years ago this was going to happen. Sharp guy
I wish you’d talk slower
you know what i actually noticed to have sky rocketed in terms of price? junk foods. like chips, cookies, candy, mcdonalds menu.. but the price of fruits and veggies have remained fairly the same. interesting 😆 another great video thank you Grahm!
Eggs went from $1.67 last year, or $2.21 adjusted for inflation to $4.25 in 2022. Meats are much the same. TBH I don’t really look at the price of our veggies. We just buy what’s in stock at Aldi.
@GoodLife i love aldi seriously its the only reasonably priced market in the us.
What do you mean just? Stock market has been kicking my ass all year
There’s no time to waste.Deploy your resources.
I live in sweden and the dollar is really expensive right now for us.
I was planing on a vacation to america but now is seems a bit to expensive for me I think I rather invest the money and will travel in europe instead 🙂
So basically, we wouldn’t be where we are if QE would have ended sooner
So… 🤔 Print money, create inflation; create jobs to mask inflation; but blame jobs for sustained inflation? Wow. The American administration is SICK.
You seem very stressed.
thats why the fed sucks, it takes time. they should stop asap and let things play out. i see massive deflation
Thank you for the snail photo. Please make this a thing.
Good video: everyone needs more than han their basic salary to be financially secured, the best thing to do with your money is to invest, money left in savings always end up used with no returns,
You’re right ma,
I have been earning good profit investing in the stock market with the help of Maurice Ed Zander.
@David Leonard O’Yes I’m a living testimony of Mr Maurice Ed Zander,.
Maurice Ed Zander has changed my financialstatus for the best all thanks to my aunty who introduced him to me..
True to a point. I keep a chunk in savings as an emergency fund. But large stockpiles? No thanks! I invest it!
Paul Krugman’s NYT article yesterday says 40% of this inflation is rent increases, and those appear to be flattening, but because people have annual leases it appears a year late in inflation statistics. So the vast rent increase seems to be due to work from home and closed businesses in 2020 and 2021, and is now stabilizing, but it won’t show up in inflation statistics until next year. You mention rents as one major contributor but didn’t address this.
Biggest lesson of 2022 in the stock market: Nobody knows what is going to happen next, so practice some humility and follow a strategy with a long term edge.
Buy quality companies Hold for 10+ years Add to your positions on dips Keep contributing to your portfolio Reinvest all dividends Don’t check your portfolio every day Investing is easy if you make it easy
@erich kraetz good advice. I also would want to get in touch for help to salvage what remains of my dividend stocks
@lawerence miller You can glance her name up on the internet and verify her yourself. she has years of financial market experience.
Exactly. Humility is THE lesson of 2022.
Facts
“Mistakes”
Great Content
Almost as if inflation is due to a global supply chain issue and raising interest rates isn’t going to help immediately…
The high dollar might be a good opportunity. Buy some foreign property as the cost in reference to the dollar would be low.
Now to discredit myself, but couldn’t XRP solve the dollar crisis? The goal is cross boarder payments where you exchange local currency for XRP, transfer XRP, and then exchange XRP for local currency. It is getting more and more acceptance all over. If everyone accepts XRP, doesn’t that make it basically a world currency? Wouldn’t that be a better safe haven the any one nations currency? I am legit asking, feel free to respond with how right or wrong I am.
Supply and logistic problems driving up prices more than anything
Fantastic video as always keep it up!!
“Inflation is transitory” dont worry, we will be okay. /s
federal reserve and other central banks created inflation in the first place
There’s nothing federal or reserved about the Federal Reserve just like There’s nothing federal about FedEx
Crazy stats! Still good investment opportunities out there even in the chaos!
Thanks Graham!
How can you say incomes are too high , they have barely moved in 40 years, profits are too high! Nobody talks about profits causing inflation, but they also cause inflation. Workers deserve real wage increases.
STOP THE DRAMATIC VOICE FOR THE LOVE OF GOD
Horrible advice on this one. Markets are going down 20% on the low end and Gramham suggests to just kepp DCA’ing. Santa Claus rally could happen but who wants to lose 20% BEFORE that? People need to learn how to time the market broadly at the macro-scale. Otherwise they/you will be waiting a decade for your investments recoup losses. Why?
Yo, you gotta like before asking for the lake that was hilarious that we are totally blank
Starting early is the best way of getting ahead to built wealth, Investment remains the priority, the stock market has plenty opportunities to earn a decent payout, with the right skills and proper understanding of how the market works.*
You actually need an expert trader assign by a registered brokerage company to help you out.i currently trade with Mr tim Jasper . I think he’s the best when it comes to investment.
Does this guy get paid per hand gesture?
Seems like it.
hey how can I make money under 18 I’m 15
My greatest concern is how to recover from all these economic and global troubles and stay afloat especially with the political power tussle going on in the US.
Simply invest.
Susan Agnes Hancock helped me with my financial freedom. I am now retired at 36 living in Bora Bora. Yeah I lied don’t fall for the SCAM folks.
I’m going with the cross my fingers plan.
We need something to unify us and give a cause, america is simply too rich with too little adversity, we are literally debating on making fucking trees a gender identity and we have a bunch of unskilled people who think they are undervalued refusing to work minimum wage, I mean who can blame them if it’s not gonna get them through, like Graham was saying. But seriously, every-time we have had a major recession, we always find something to unify us, in 2008 it was ISIS (although didn’t reach their peak till 2014) in 1963, it was the beginning of proxy wars in the Asian peninsula held by Russia and the U.S., in 1935, it was WW2, in 1914 it was WW1, hopefully we can find something that isn’t war, but Ukraine might have been the point where it will tip, everyone will unify, and we go into a bloody war and then prosperity for 50 or so years
Ny
Is this guy Italian?
We watch our own demise with popcorn. Humans are stupid
Mr.Graham, pick my next book to read!?
I can believe that shutting out nation down for two weeks could cause such a domino effect.
Even sadder, most people in America have no clue to inflation and just keep punching the time card.
No dollar crisis for me I’m in Asia and getting great exchange rates. No complaints here
Was told by a banker in the next 6-9 months. It’s all gonna crash
what does he mean when he says 75 basis point rate hike?
Time for TIPS? Gold?
Liked for the snail! Really though I listen to most of your videos. Your channel is in my daily rotation
Graham why so doom and gloom lately? Are you depressed or just click baiting?
Bold predictions, but decent (typical financial) advice. Better to lead with “I don’t know what will happen next…”.
You have all this money and you still have that awful hairline smh. Makes no sense
The clickbait here makes this channel unwatchable. I now come to vote these down and not watch
If I had a nickel for every time finance YouTubers use “emergency” “crisis” etc I’d make Elon look like a pleb
Graham will you make today video about *AMP5Z*
It’s fake
*AMP5Z* is skyrocket by Graham Stephan
Graham let us know about *AMP5Z* today
Less than a minute in and I’m already taken a back. What tf did I just hear about pizza hut?
If u didn’t know that it’s going to get worse by now then ur not paying attention
Biden did this on purpose
The democrats want out country to fail
They want everyone but them selfs to suffer
not true nov hike would be 100 or higher
Inflation is out of control let’s crash the housing market.
🙃🤔
Please attempt to solve the actual problem.
i can’t get over his damn hands….
That multi trillion stimulus on March 20th 2020 cost me $485,000. Did a lot of good huh?I’m still pissed and I’m getting pissed more and more by the day with this bullshit market
More like 15% inflation going by pre-90’s KPI’s
I’m the TA guy and the dxy is by far one of the most bullish looking charts there is, and to make matters worse it’s no where near over bought territory yet!
Greed is far worse than money.
Shoutout to the Jerome Powell reference, that was exactly like him and while were at it, F that guy
“stay employed” yeah.. everyone please stay employed keep working your lives away..
Dang man u get alot of spam on people’s comments
I like your content. But try to portray it like “think school”
THIS IS WHAT I WANNA HEAR, BABYYY.
GENERATIONAL WEALTH OPPORTUNITY!!!
ATTAIN AS MANY ASSETS AS POSSIBLE, MF!!
yup… Colombian pesos are actually worth less than monopoly dollars… 🙁
Hi Graham, curious as to how this effects Australia are we in the exact same situation with inflation and therefore will feel the same effect of interest rate hikes to curve the inflation?
We’re in a different position. Similar, but different.
Our inflation numbers were not as extreme, but our hikes have been relatively similar.
We’re not in a bad position. Prepare for some more paper losses but don’t stress 🙂 These are the cycles that inevitably occur
I stopped watching your videos because their always in self destruct mode
Hey Graham, do you have an email for business inquiries?
You look like jack from the titanic lol
I heard the U.S. outsourced minting new Silver coins to Fiji. Has this ever happened before? Never thought we would make legal tender in another continent
inflation is the result of no competition and corporations raising prices because they can.
It’s definitely part of the problem.
A lot of gouging and opportunistic companies out there!
congrats on that Pizza Hut deal
cool
Wow! I’m surprised you know her too. I’ve been making a lot of profits investing with her for a few months now.
@Kelly Meghan <<< insightful comments, I curiously looked up Elizabeth Ernst David and could really use the recommendation, I'm super impressed.. been losing a shit-ton lately but hope her strategy helps, thanks for sharing!
@Simeone Barret Yeah Indeed she’s Prolific. You are welcome
With the media, its usually sad news. Nonetheless, this administration has strung us all up. Ab Initio, dividends are what got me into investing in the stock market. The thing to me is, if you invest and have other income outside of dividends then you will be able to live off dividends without selling. Which means you can pass that on to your kids which will give them a leg up in life. Have over $730K in my portfolio as I bought a lot of dividend stocks before, I’m buying more now, and I will buy more when it drops further
After a few good years in the stock/ETF market, my thought was that I had a grip on it. However, things changed during when I was laid off my job and needed to diversify my savings,, so I contacted a coach “Johanna Mussche” who devised a system that suited my goals, and in my first year, I made a little above $670k. I am now in charge of my own business and hope to scale to a million by the end of this year
These days, you can clearly see the difference between those who have a short-term mindset and a long-term mindset . Out of curiosity i was able to find Johanna when I looked up her full name and found her website, read through her resume and seems pretty tight. Left her a message & hopefully she replies soon. Nice one, i commend this
The Lady really seems to know her stuff. I found her website after looking her up, read through her resume, educational background, qualifications and it was really impressive. She is a fiduciary who will act in my best interest. So, I booked a session with her.
Johanna Mussche sounds like a scammer.
@Eric Herde They’re on every financial video. Just reported them.
The USD is used as the “reserve currency” under GREAT DURESS. No one agrees to it… they are COMPELLED to use it. Works great if you are the FED with US Military to back you up.
If you want to stop inflation, stop the government from spending money it doesn’t have.
Let me know when someone can convince a gaggle of politicians with a printing press and facing re-election to do that.
And to think we have the power to completely solve our own energy and food demands in the USA……*heavy sigh*
who would of thought shorting fossil fuels that power the logistics of food, and critical supplies would cause inflation, and then the FED raising rates(increasing costs for company’s) would further cause inflation to go up even more.
That’s why I started investing in Crypton cryptocurrency now, because it has excellent price dynamics.
Thank you Stephen
Raising interest rates will not reduce inflation. That’s a fact. Inflation is not being caused by low interest rates. We have supply chain issues and high oil prices, until we address these inflation will always be there. Increases in interest rates makes a stronger dollar which hurts developing countries that make our stuff and thus hurt our supply chains
This system that we have in the US for economics is messed up and running amok. The system will collapse and the little guy will throw a revolution and a new system will replace this crazy, economic system,
I am under the impression that we need interest rates to at least equal inflation rate in order to bring inflation down. With fed fund rates at ~3% and inflation at ~8%, this means we still have a ways to go and the Fed cannot pivot yet. I expect interest rate hikes to continue well into 2023/2024 and increased federal fund rate targets come the November 2022 meeting. More pain for the market. This is my take. Buying Puts to swing into November 2022.
Yup… this crash is going to be bigger than we imagined… I just released a video on this same topic… it’s a horrible time in history
The Fed is fucking up raising rate so quickly. This inflation isn’t because of wage growth. Their rate increases don’t affect the real causes on inflation. And that’s evident by the fact that their efforts haven’t worked.
I understand the fixation on the Fed.
The problem here, though, is that the Fed is working at cross-purposes to the real driver of the economy, government spending.
Good explanation of the difficult situation of the dollar. If you want another perspective on the subject, I have a video on my channel about it. Thanks.
Although u talk fast..all I hear, (wen u take a breath) is: who’s ur daddy is gonna steal everything from everybody. Once u let outside demons come into ur country and control money n rates..and u don’t expel them from sight..just make a video sayin: we hate these MF’ers and they are the devils..real people will take it from there
That inflation is this persistently high is not really a surprise given the huge monetary expansion of 2020 and 2021…the surprise was more that inflation stayed so low from 2011-2019 even with the massive global monetary expansion of that period, which actually shows just how deflationary that time would have been without the intervention…but the central banks may have gotten the wrong lesson from that period and thought they could ‘get away with it again’ in terms of an extreme monetary expansion without inflation…there are many factors that had been driving the unprecedented low inflation since even as far back as around 2000 that are no longer impeding price rises as much.
Congratulations, you’ve outdone yourself. This video is one of the most impressive one-punch recovery moves I’ve seen in a while: the coding, the clickbait, the references from other channels/people… *WTRADE INSPECTS* on the internet just knows an opportunity to recover lost money when he sees one.
*WTRADE INSPECTS* has been helping alot of people recover their losses from the crash with ease, he’s all we need right now.
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The way you guys just remain humble & move behind the recommendation is how more people should move. *WTRADE INSPECTS* on the internet deserve it all!
Just remember that Graham Stephan heavily promoted FTX. He was a paid sponsor and remained so up until the end.
This is by far the most objective analysis I’ve seen on YouTube to date. As a foreigner who spent the last three years living through the entirety of zero covid in China. Starting in 2023, economists and business leaders are expressing their concern that the year would be challenging. CEO of JPMorgan Chase & Co. Jamie Dimon indicated on Tuesday that the Federal Reserve may need to hike interest rates above their peak level this year. According to a report I read, during the financial crisis, some people were able to make up to 50k with just 10k in starting money. What percentage of that is accurate? Which asset is the greatest one to watch right now.
@Ali Yunko Personally, I think it’s best to keep an eye out for one close by, but just now Juliet Eve Downey has been a huge help. The rate is worthwhile despite the somewhat poor ROI.
@Ali Yunko We are in a financial precarious position because of our persistent need to do things on our own. Time is crucial, and delegating is unavoidable.” Juliet eve downey has been of great help if my opinion mattered. I inform you forehand that rates are high but better safe and high than cheap and risky
Having encountered a lot of losses. I can say for a fact that my portfolio has increased substantially following yvonne annette lively • you could look her up. met her off an interview on cnbc.
@Ali Yunko having experienced quite a few from the market, this is coming from someone who’s been pitched supposed Wall Street stock only for the company to go bankrup. •yvonne annette lively has been of great help rebuilding my portfolio. A little slow but steady is better than not.
@Ali Yunko Coming from someone who was sold supposedly high-probability Wall Street stocks that turned out to be a nightmare. I can say that Yvonne Annette Lively has been a huge assistance in helping me rebuild my portfolio.
Year-over-year inflation stood at 6.5% in December 2022—the lowest that figure has been in more than a year. Inflation was in line with what economists expected and gave many of them a reason to believe that the peak of inflation may be behind us. I have approximately $150k stagnant in my port_folio that needs growth. What is the best way to take advantage of this downturn?
you’re right! The current market might give opportunities to maximize profit within a short term, but in order to execute such strategy , you must be a skilled practitioner
I’m sure the idea of a coach might sound generic or controversial to a few, but new study by investopedia found that demand for portfolio-coaches sky-rocketed by over 41.8% since the pandemic and based on firsthand encounter, I can say for certain their skillsets are topnotch, I’ve raised over $400k from an initially stagnant reserve of $150K all within 14months
@Belinda Rupp I’ve actually been thinking of reaching a portfolio-adviser, my 401k and stocks been losing everything it’s gained since 2019, mind if I looked-up this one coach you use?
@Steve Sorensen The adviser I’m in touch with is Nolan Velden Brent, he works with Merrill, Pierce, Smith incorporated and interviewed on CNBC Television. You can use something else. for me his strategy works hence my result. he provides entry and exit point for the securities I focus on.
@Belinda Rupp I just Googled his name and his website came up right away. It looks interesting so far. I’m going to book a call with him and let you know how it goes.Thanks